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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Monday, September 12, 2022

Environmentalists Almost Have a Monopoly on Being Wrong

By Rich Kozlovich 

On September 12, 2022 Frank Bergman published an article entitled, 9 Past Predictions from Climate Alarmists with a tenth prediction from the mental giant, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez who in  2019 claimed  “The world is going to end in 12 years if we don’t address climate change.".  So, if we assume she's as good at science as she is at economics, we can pretty much come to the conclusion by 2031 we'll all still be here, except with the possible exception of myself, since I'm 76, and if I'm gone, and most likely will be, it won't be because of global warming.  

Whether the left's predictions involve health or environment issues, they're failure rate is impressive.  The reason for such a failure rate?  Their predictions are predicated on political philosophy, lies, myth and hyperbole, and darned few facts and a total commitment to ignoring anything in the real world that's contrary to their narrative. They believe they must get "their truth" out and it doesn't matter how many lies it takes, as Joe Biden states, truth is more important than facts.  Twist that around in your mind for a while.   As Danae explains global warming: "Facts are the hobgoblin of the tenaciously faithful mind." 

As a famous scientist once noted prediction is really hard, especially about the future, and that's for those who are honest.  But when you merge honest data with a corrupt philosophy, it goes beyond hard into impossible, take the Biden Administration, which clearly has some serious issues with science and sanity.

These are thoughtless elites who have drunk deeply of the Green Kool-Aid while living in the fever swamps of environmentalism.  Elitists whose minds are ablaze with enlightenment!  An enlightenment that only they can fully understand. They revel in “rhetoric filled with unending deposits of spite, hyperbole, lies and odium” as if they were listening to a symphonic orchestra playing music filled with a grandeur and beauty that completely mesmerizes and inspires those who are capable of hearing it.

The reality is their rhetoric, with the aid of government bureaucrats and a false media, is a symphony of discordant notes filling the ears, minds and emotions of the uninformed and misinformed, making it impossible for them to think clearly.  Just as with bureaucracies and all their regulations, this discordant symphony constantly expands itself into issues such as animal rights, genetically modified foods, pesticides, private land ownership and hatred of the rich.
 
Then we have "This week's global warming predictions" July 20, 2021  By Pandra Selivanov

Every single day there is something alarming in the news about climate change.  Click on any headline about a natural disaster like a forest fire or a flood or a hurricane, and there will be dire warnings in the article about how this particular phenomenon is worse than ever before because of climate change.  Google the words "climate change" and you can learn about how it is making poison ivy itchier, glaciers smaller, and the world generally less pleasant to live in.  It is even being theorized that there could be a connection between earthquakes and climate change

What I don't understand is why climate change is seen as a bad thing.  It's normal for the climate to change.  Millions of years before the dinosaurs the earth was a solid ball of ice.  During the time of the dinosaurs there was no ice at all.  The planet continued to cool off and warm up, all without human intervention, and when humans did come along, they adapted to changes in the climate.  Up until the 20th century, nobody thought that a change in the weather warranted prophesying the end of the world.

18 Spectacularly Wrong Predictions Made Around the Time of the First Earth Day In 1970. Expect More This Year.  The prophets of doom were not simply wrong, but spectacularly wrong.

Here are the nine failed predictions Bergman lists.

  1. “‘The trouble with almost all environmental problems,’ says Paul R. Ehrlich, the population biologist, ‘is that by the time we have enough evidence to convince people, you’re dead. … We must realize that unless we are extremely lucky, everybody will disappear in a cloud of blue steam in 20 years.’” —The New York Times, 1969.  
  2. “No real action has been taken to save the environment, [Ehrlich] maintains. And it does need saving. Ehrlich predicts that the oceans will be as dead as Lake Erie in less than a decade.” —Redlands Daily Facts, 1970.
  3. “Scientist Predicts a New Ice Age by 21st Century: Air pollution may obliterate the sun and cause a new ice age in the first third of the next century. … If the current rate of increase in electric power generation continues, the demands for cooling water will boil dry the entire flow of the rivers and streams of continental United States. … By the next century ‘the consumption of oxygen in combustion processes, world-wide, will surpass all of the processes which return oxygen to the atmosphere.’” —The Boston Globe, 1970.
  4. “The world could be as little as 50 or 60 years away from a disastrous new ice age, a leading atmospheric scientist predicts. … ‘In the next 50 years,’ the fine dust man constantly puts into the atmosphere by fossil fuel-burning could screen out so much sunlight that the average temperature could drop by six degrees. If sustained ‘over several years’—‘five to 10,’ he estimated—‘such a temperature decrease could be sufficient to trigger an ice age!’” —Washington Post, Times Herald, 1971.
  5. “Dear Mr. President: … We feel obliged to inform you on the results of the scientific conference held here recently. … The main conclusion of the meeting was that a global deterioration of climate, by order of magnitude larger than any hitherto experienced by civilized mankind, is a very real possibility and indeed may be due very soon. The cooling has natural cause and falls within the rank of processes which produced the last ice age. … The present rate of the cooling seems fast enough to bring glacial temperatures in about a century.” —Brown University, Department of Geological Sciences, 1972.
  6. “However widely the weather varies from place to place and time to time, when meteorologists take an average of temperatures around the globe they find that the atmosphere has been growing gradually cooler for the past three decades. The trend shows no indication of reversing.” – Time Magazine, 1974.
  7. “Climatological Cassandras are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for the weather aberrations they are studying may be the harbinger of another ice age. Telltale signs are everywhere—from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest. Since the 1940s the mean global temperature has dropped about 2.7 [degrees] F. Although that figure is at best an estimate, it is supported by other convincing data. When Climatologist George J. Kukla of Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory and his wife Helena analyzed satellite weather data for the Northern Hemisphere, they found that the area of the ice and snow cover had suddenly increased by 12% in 1971 and the increase has persisted ever since. Areas of Baffin Island in the Canadian Arctic, for example, were once totally free of any snow in summer; now they are covered year round.” —Time magazine, 1974.
  8. “A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.” —Associated Press, 1989.
  9. “Unless drastic measures to reduce greenhouse gases are taken within the next 10 years, the world will reach a point of no return.” —former Vice President Al Gore, 2006.

Here we also have 20 of environmentalist alarms and their outcomes. Please, let's learn from them by not being so gullible! 

"There is only one possible conclusion regarding the reliability of climate predictions. Outspoken catastrophic-minded climate scientists and high-ranking officials don’t have a clue about future climate and its consequences, and are inventing catastrophic predictions for their own interest. Government policies should not be based on their future predictions.  Another conclusion is that studies and opinions about future climate are heavily biased towards negative outcomes that fail to materialize, while ignoring positive outcomes that are materializing." 

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