The Iran Deal is Already Crumbling

 By Rich Kozlovich 

Since I posted this article on June 15th, "Is the Iran Deal Really That Good?", I've been collecting dozens of articles dealing with the point/counter point arguments about this deal.  In my article I started out saying:

This "deal" Trump has negotiated is being lauded and touted as something great.  Let the oil flow, ships can now start their engines, the world is safe now.  It's being lauded as if it's going to stand the test of time.  I think that might be just a bit premature.  

Premature?  Okay, let's start out with this foundational logic based on factual and historical reality: Any Deal With Iran is Worthless:

Deals between Islamic terrorists and 'infidels' only end one way.  Deals with Islamic terrorists don’t work. Period.  Deals with Islamic terrorists don’t work. Period. The Trump administration should have learned that lesson from its deal with the Taliban, which was negotiated through the auspices of Qatar and assorted ‘insiders’, and which the Jihadist group broke and took over Afghanistan. There’s over a thousand years of history on how deals between infidels and non-Muslims go. For that matter, there’s the humiliating ‘Peace and Friendship’ treaty that John Adams signed with a Muslim pirate state, which was promptly violated, leading to the first Barbary War.

Sane and civilized people are opposed to "forever wars", but what do sane and civilized people do when they're facing adversaries who not only believe in a forever war, they believe those wars are commanded by god?   We  have over 1400 years of Islamic world history that tells that tale, and we have 242 years where America has been fighting an Islamic "forever war". 

Jefferson and Adams both heard directly from the Tripoli ambassador that the aggression “was founded on the Laws of their Prophet, that it was written in their Koran, that all nations who should not have acknowledged their authority were sinners, that it was their right and duty to make war upon them wherever they could be found, and to make slaves of all they could take as Prisoners, and that every Musselman who should be slain in battle was sure to go to Paradise.”

“The precept of the Koran is perpetual war against all who deny that Mahomet is the prophet of God. The vanquished may purchase their lives, by the payment of tribute,” Adams wrote in a later essay. “The command to propagate the Moslem creed by the sword is always obligatory, when it can be made effective. The commands of the prophet may be performed alike, by fraud, or by force. The natural hatred of the Mussulmen towards the infidels is in just accordance with the precepts of the Koran.”

Critics say this deal isn't appeasement, it's a "pragmatic" victory.  What exactly does that mean?  I think it's a "pragmatic" victory, much like John Adams Peace and Friendship treaty with the Barbary pirates, and we know how well that worked out.  When has it ever occurred when pragmatism overcame insurmountable obstacles?  Often times pragmatism is a justification for appeasement. 

Trump says Iran's regime is finished, but like the Barbary pirates, they've haven't gotten that message yet, since they're still in power and they have all the guns.  

Victor Davis Hanson outlines the bombing wars conducted by both Obama and Bill Clinton, and lists and refutes the Iran War misconceptions saying: "in this confusing, ongoing drama, many fabrications and distortions still circulate", such as:

1.  The Strait of Hormuz was open before the war and is now closed, so the war was a failure.
2.  Trump’s agreement will simply be a copy of Obama’s earlier Iran deal.
3.  The U.S. is bereft of allies and strategically isolated in the war.
4.  The war has torn apart the Republican Party, ensured a Democratic landslide in the midterms, and endangered a Republican victory in 2028.
5.  The Iran War was a betrayal of MAGA’s commitment to no “forever wars.”

He concludes saying:

There is a good chance that less than six weeks of active bombing achieved far more than 20 years in Afghanistan and a decade in Iraq—at a fraction of the human and fiscal costs. The key to negotiating an end to the war is to always remember that Iran’s regime—its theocrats, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, military leaders, and elected officials—has no history of telling the truth or abiding by any agreement it signs. So the only means of enforcing concessions is to use disproportionate force each time Iran inevitably violates the terms of the armistice.

Jefferson's answer to the backstabbing Barbary pirates?  Disproportionate force.  I'll tell you what,  we'll come back to that.  Hanson reaffirms that point here, Iran Deal Can Work If We Hit Them Every Time They Break It.

Hanson is one of my favorite writers and my favorite historian.  History is a story, and there are a lot of great historians out there who are lousy story tellers.  If you're wanting to teach the world history, then great story telling and great history go hand in hand, and Hanson is a great story teller.   In his article, This Is the Trigger That Could Shred the Memorandum of Understanding and Cause All-Out War to Erupt in the Middle East, he starts out saying"

 I cannot understand the people that are dancing around and celebrating the “memorandum of understanding” now that we have the full text of the agreement. After reviewing the document, I am having a difficult time processing how horrifyingly bad it is. JD Vance and the other U.S. negotiators essentially surrendered and gave the Iranians whatever they wanted.

Iran thinks this memo requires Israel to leave Lebanon in order for Iran's terrorist cats-paw Hezbollah to survive.  The U.S. says it doesn't say that at all.  More importantly, no one asked the Israelis what they wanted during the negotiations.  Iran is insisting any attack by Israel on the Hezbollah violates the memorandum.  

1. Vance Issues Reality Check To Israel: America Is Your Only Ally, Start Acting Like It
2. Trump Seeks Ceasefire on All Fronts as Israel Holds Ground in Lebanon

Well, for the next minute or so that's not a problem any longer as Israel and the Hezbollah have agreed to a ceasefire which, based on history,  means Hezbollah can still lob missiles into Israel's civilian population and Israel can protest their violations.  Let's face it, Iran can in no way be considered a civil society, under the rule of the current regime. 

Update:  Apparently that minute is up as, "Israel launched new airstrikes in southern Lebanon overnight, hitting 80 targets that the Israel Defense Forces said were linked to Hezbollah. According to Lebanon's Health Ministry, 18 people were killed in the attack, while the Israeli military said four Israeli soldiers died."

The Deal

First, let's understand this memorandum isn't "the deal" as it's more like a suggestion on how to behave for the next  60 days of negotiations to actually signing a "deal", and President Trump says he is open to extending 60-day timeline in the Iran memorandum.  How is that not an appeasement?    

• An Iran Agreement Defined by Unanswered Questions - The Trump administration is promoting a new agreement with Iran as a diplomatic breakthrough. White House talking points emphasize Iranian commitments to forgo nuclear weapons, international verification, regional stability and economic incentives tied to compliance. Yet many of the details that have emerged so far raise more questions than answers.
•  Iran’s art of the deal - Consistent with President Trump’s prior formulation, Iran lost the war but won the negotiation. Relying on the Wall Street Journal’s annotated analysis of the Memorandum of Understanding with Iran here, I broke down the provisions of the MOU into winners and losers for each side. NBC has posted a version of the final text of the MOU here. On second thought, however, it seems obvious that on balance the terms significantly favor Iran. Why belabor the obvious?
•  Iran Got Everything It Wanted. All We Got Was the Strait - J.D. Vance, playing point man for the deal with Iran, has been not so much defending it as attacking anyone who objects to it and claiming that there’s lots of ‘misinformation’ about the deal. There’s certainly plenty of ‘misinformation’ about it......
•  The Truth About the “First Muslim Country to Recognize America” - When Gov. Gretchen Whitmer announced that January would be Muslim American Heritage Month, she began it with the claim that “Muslim-majority Morocco was the first country to recognize the United States of America. Together, the two countries signed the Treaty of Friendship in 1786, which remains America’s longest-standing unbroken treaty.”  Islamists have repeatedly injected these and other blatant lies into American history............

Both Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law are troubling. I’ve watched their antics for some time and my view is they’re actions and positions are not much different than the positions being taken by the Islam/RINO/Democrat cabal. They suffer from the Nixon Bargain syndrome, and now we’re seeing the disaster of his “bargain” with China, and Carter set all this in motion with his abandonment of the Shah of Iran. One more thing about all these short term fixes that failed to have a low long term vision and wisdom fix; who really is responsible? America’s intelligence community going back decades, and the insanity is still being embraced.   But allegedly the real driving force behind this deal is Vice President Vance,  who I find troubling as a result of his relationship with Tucker Carlson, who has become an irrational antisemitic Islamic supporter, and in my opinion is in serious need of psychological help.   If this deal is flushed down the toilet, which I think it will be, who's going to be blamed?  

1.  Blame Vance' Strategy Emerges on Iran Deal 
2.  Trump Ties His Name and Credibility to Vance's Dubious Iran Diplomacy
3.  READ THE FULL DEAL WITH IRAN: Text of Memorandum of Understanding Revealed

 On June 18, John Hinderaker posted this piece, Some Deal, saying;

 For some weeks now, ever since the bombing stopped, I have been writing and saying on radio and television that there is no point in trying to make a deal with the IRGC, that we should finish up our bombing and go home. I was baffled as to why President Trump was so determined to negotiate an agreement, and chalked it up to his love of deal-making. .........I have no theory as to how Trump could have done something this foolish. It is being viewed everywhere as a massive defeat for the United States, and the Democrats, who are unabashedly on Iran’s side, are turning cartwheels.  

Here's one of the biggest beefs about this deal,  U.S. Pledges to Help Provide the Islamic Republic of Iran With $300 Billion.  Now, Trump called that a lie, and he's right, and has bashed those critics stating this money will not be American tax dollars. While that's true it won't be American taxpayer money, that doesn't change the fact Iran has the potential to be handed 300 billion dollars to rebuild their nation, which has shocked the Iranian people, they can't believe America could make such a bad deal, especially when Trump promised them, "help Is on the way", and demanded unconditional surrender. Guess what, Hezbollah chief is celebrating Iran deal — ‘This is a great victory for us.' 

Here’s what’s in the US–Iran deal - The deal kicks off a 60-day period of negotiations before both sides reach a final agreement.'If it doesn't get done, we'll go back to bombing': Watch Trump take on global media with more about Iran deal

1.  Trump says Iran can keep arsenal of ballistic missiles.
2.  Trump Defends Iran Deal Not Including Restrictions on Iranian Missiles
3.  U.S. and Iran Beginning Discussions on a Final Deal — Here’s What We Know
4.  Details of US-Iran deal revealed in 12-point plan — timeline for US withdrawal, $300B fund, Hormuz passage 

  Arguments For Opposing the Deal

• Iran’s Crown Prince Warns of What’s Coming -  If Trump’s “deal” goes through, the damage won’t be limited to the America-First president’s legacy. President Donald Trump is going full speed ahead with his disastrous Iran deal, and that’s not good news for Americans, Israelis, Iranians, or anyone else. Fox News reported Wednesday that the Trump administration finally disclosed the details, which include “plans for immediate waivers on Iranian oil exports, a framework for at least $300 billion in reconstruction and economic development, and a 60-day negotiation period aimed at securing a final agreement on Iran’s nuclear program.”

Then we have Trump Derangement Syndrome lunatic Senator Cory Booker who would accuse Trump of trying starve the sharks if he saved a drowning child. 

•  Booker: Trump’s Horrific Deal Is an ‘Unconditional Surrender’ to Iran - Wednesday on MS NOW’s “All In,” Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) said President Donald Trump’s Iran deal was an “unconditional surrender.”  Host Chris Hayes said, “I think there’s basically two Democratic policy party positions I’ve seen. The war was a bad idea, stupid and reckless to enter into. And we it led to a bad agreement because of that. But that’s basically the best up of bad options. And the other is it was a bad idea to begin with. It led to bad options because of it. But ultimately it’s so bad he shouldn’t have signed the deal. What is your position?”

There's a lot of talk about the nuclear deal, and in my opinion the only thing making that work for the time being is their program is covered by a lot of concrete Trump blew up.  What's interesting is Nancy Pelosi calling ‘Obama’s disastrous nuclear agreement with Iran a masterpiece of diplomacy’.  She's the same nitwit that said the Congress must pass Obama care in order to see what's in it.  Brilliant! So, let's compare the Trump deal to Obama’s deal, point by point. Make no mistake, Iran never followed the ‘very strict’ JCPOA terms, and if given the chance, they won't follow this agreement.  

• General Keane strikes again General Jack Keane appeared yesterday for a brief segment on Fox News with Bill Melugin. He was great, as usual. Vice President Vance turns up in a clip at the beginning of the segment. I cannot square what Vance says in the clip about the right of destruction of Iran’s “enriched stockpile” under the Memorandum of Understanding with the terms as we have received them (no such provision exists). 
• Trey Gowdy is furious over deal with Iran, and his points are well made, but he's gone over the cliff too often to care what he thinks.  
• Mark Levin has "picked the Memorandum of Understanding  - President Trump ordered this military operation to prevent Iran from getting and using nuclear weapons. And the early days of this war was a spectacular success. For some reason, a ceasefire was quickly ordered, and it lasted for over 2-months, despite the scores of violations by Iran and Hezbollah. Great damage has been done to Iran’s military. And the president deserves enormous credit for having the courage to do what no other president did before him. My fear is that no other president after him will have the same courage to act should the terms of any agreement be violated,” began Levin, who continued:
•  Sen. Dave McCormick: Iran Sanctions Must Stay
•  Trump Gives Iran a Lifeline and Calls It Peace 
•  Kellogg: Iran Will ‘Probably Kill Americans in the Future’

Arguments Supporting the Deal

First, there Senator Mark Warner from Virginia who likes this deal because he believes it Pmakes America weaker and that will force Americans to see through it.  His take is strictly anti-Trump even if it hurts America.   

Now this piece has some interesting logic worth your time, The Hawks are Right, Iran Will Cheat...That's the Point.

Here the critics deserve their due, because their central prediction is almost certainly correct. Iran will cheat. It is what the regime does. It denied international inspectors access to the very sites America bombed. It squirreled away highly enriched uranium in a facility that survived the strikes. It has sworn for nearly half a century that it harbors no nuclear ambitions while building steadily toward exactly that.

Even now, before the formal signing, sanctioned Iranian tankers are slipping through Hormuz and the Revolutionary Guard is signing contracts for Russian helicopters. A leopard that has never once changed its spots is not about to start because a memorandum asked nicely.

But turn that certainty over and examine the other side. A performance-based framework backed by an open military threat accomplishes something a blockade alone never could. It converts Iranian treachery into American justification. When the regime reaches for the bomb, or throttles the strait again, or stiff-arms the inspectors, the waivers vanish, the snapback fires, and the case for force becomes cleaner and more defensible before a watching world than it was in February. The trap is baited with the one thing Tehran cannot resist, the appearance of having won, and it springs on the one thing Tehran cannot help but do..............Maximum Pressure, Repackaged as Patience

•  Gingrich Applauds Trump’s Iran Agreement - “Negotiating with Iran, monitoring its commitments and occasionally having to pressure the dictatorship militarily or economically is simply reality. (Remember Ronald Reagan’s advice to ‘Trust but verify’ and Connie Mack’s ‘You get what you inspect, not what you expect.’) There will be no end to the requirement to police, monitor, and occasionally penalize the religious dictatorship,” Gingrich wrote. “The leaders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will try to push for as much influence and flexibility as they can get away with. It’s simply their nature.”........
•  Republicans Lindsey Graham, Rand Paul Rally Behind Trump’s Iran Deal
•  Trump’s Coercive Diplomacy Exactly How To Neuter Iran 
• These People Are Nuts!

Of course Trump is in favor of this deal saying at G7: Iran Deal Will Bring ‘A Lot of Success to the World’; Demining Process Underway, Strait of Hormuz to Fully Open Friday 

Well, that minute has passed, and Iran Abruptly Nixes Peace Deal Signing in Switzerland, and Good News: Iran Blocks the Strait.  As Victor Davis Hanson noted, "the only means of enforcing concessions is to use disproportionate force each time Iran inevitably violates the terms of the armistice".  And if history is anything, it shows that's the final conclusion dealing with these terrorist fanatics.  

One more point, Rubio hasn't been on the pro-deal circuit, and it's been reported he wasn't in favor of this deal, at least in it's current form.  Rubio has become more impressive by the day.  He's loyal, smart, has a load of character,

Update, 6/20/26:   

1. Hezbollah fires 50 rockets at Israel overnight — IDF returns fire, killing 7.
2. Mullahs expected to earn $60 billion/year from oil sales.
3. Iran wants $100 billion in frozen funds.
4. DEVELOPING: Jared Kusher in Switzerland, Steve Witkoff en Route for Delayed Iran Talks
5. Marlow: The Definitive Breakdown of the Iran Deal

 

This is Your Brain on Marxism

By Rich Kozlovich

I'm posting this cartoon for three reasons.  First, Hillary is among the most despicable human beings on the planet.   Secondly, because Hillary just can't keep her mouth shut, and third, because the media panders to her hypocrisy. 

For years the meme of the Democrats was "character doesn't count".  Now, all of a sudden....watch out now, here is comes..... Hillary, in her attempt to demean Republicans, and Trump specifically, rants that character counts.  

However, as with the case of most of the philosophical flavors of the day embraced by Democrats..... that didn't last long.  Why?  

Because "Democrats have reduced their constituents to pavlovian conditioned mind numbed, emotionally triggerable zombie-like beer hall putsch hysterical hooligans and tantrum throwing kidults just at the mere utterance of the word ‘trump’. “The Manchurian Candidate” has spawned the Democrat Party-wide “Manchurian Constituency”'.

Democrats, being paragons of virtue and morally high minded as they are, have decided they were going full boat and support a confirmed, self admitted Nazi and Communist.   A man with what appears to be some sexual issues and may even be abusive to women, to run as their candidate for Senator from Maine.   Totally supported by Bernie Sanders, AOC, Schumer and a host of other radical left wing Democrats who rant unendingly about morality,  None of which they really believe in, including the loud mouth pontificating no nothing Hollywood celebrities.  

Ya just can't make this stuff up, but watch out now,...... here it comes...... there are those who actually think prison is the best place for certain prominent Democrats?  And it gets worse: Democrat crimes need to be prosecuted, pronto!  Wow! What heresy!  How dare these right wing nut extremists demand Democrats live up to their meme; "no one is above the law".  That's only for non Democrats.  Be assured, you will not hear those five words uttered by any leftist for the rest of Trump's term, and if Vance is elected followed by Rubio, you won't hear it for many years hereafter. 

Are you old enough to remember the TV Public Service Announcement about what illegal drugs do to your brain saying:

"This is your brain, this is your brain on drugs".

Now, I really thought that was profound.  Yet it didn't work.  Illegal drugs are ubiquitous in America and at least 70,000 people die from their use every year, and I'm sure that number is low.  Either way, that doesn't account for the many more thousands who are taking these compounds daily and are surviving marginally.  People whose lives have been functionally destroyed.  When you look at all those homeless you find drugs are a major component in their predicament.  When I see this I can't help but think these were all precious babies at one time.  What waste!

It seems clear to me millions are being negatively impacted by these drugs and the nation suffers as a consequence.   Everyone knows and understands that .....Right?   Apparently not since people, including prominent people, are still using them.  

So, what's my point?  Truth and reality are so very often valueless to vast numbers of people.   The world is in what's called a historical end crisis.  The Marxist mentality promotes all things that are antithetical to stable societies.  Stable societies based on western Judaic/Christian values.   Remember these are the same people who think China is representative of the ideal government, a radical irrational, morally defective, misanthropic tyranny.   We have all the evidence we need to know all that's true about China and yet western nations are part to this insanity by embracing their promotion of multiculturalism and globalism.  A suicide pact for western culture.

•  Illegals Are Killing America
•  How the West’s Rejection of Biblical Christianity Fuels a Surge in Occult Practices in the Spiritual Vacuum

My friend Tom Harris co-authored this piece on June 15th,  Are our immigration policies based on suicidal empathy? saying;

 It is all very well to want to help the poor and less fortunate of the world by welcoming them into our nations. Canada and the U.S. were, after all, built by mass immigration in the first place. But should we let people in today who do not share some of our basic core values, such as respect for and equal treatment of women? And, if they get in anyway, legally or not, should we allow them to stay if they attempt to change our society in such a way as to violate the fundamental cultural standards of the West?

Case in point: many Islamic immigrants from the Middle East have a lifelong hatred of Jews, lesbians, and gays. Many of them do not respect women as equals. And many want to change our society to more closely mirror the archaic standards of the countries they left..........

On June 12th, Lars Møller posted this American Thinker article, The Hollow Laurels Of Angela Merkel saying:

After resisting the military invasions of the Caliphate for centuries, Europe, led by German Chancellor Angela Merkel, decided to open its borders wide to migrants with entrenched supremacist beliefs  .On May 19, 2026, the European Parliament inducted Angela Merkel into the inaugural European Order of Merit as a “Distinguished Member.”  ................ The honor bestowed on Merkel is politically tone-deaf, reflecting an equally arrogant and grotesque inversion of reality........

One reader posted this comment:

The awarding of the European Order of Merit to Merkel is akin to the Nobel Peace Prize given to the Lightbringer. Both of them responsible for the demise of Germany and America respectively, yet rewarded for their incompetence and perfidy.

One more demonstration of just how insane Europe’s leadership really is. Europe is doomed and I applaud his comment.  These international awards have not only become meaningless; they’re an embarrassment flying in face of reality or even common sense. They gave an unwarranted award of praise to a leader who has been instrumental in promoting what can't be called anything less than western civilizations suicide. It appears they believe suicide is sane. 

• Europe’s Suicide Pact: Citizens Double-Victimised by Savage Migrants AND a Traitor State That Protects the Butchers
•  Britain’s Rape Gang Scandal Inquiry Report: A National Reckoning and Warning for America

Victor Davis Hanson discusses the mass migration the left is promoting for America as an example of how destructive it is in the video:

The fact of the matter is the only thing that can save Europe now… is violence…. and it’s starting with protests in Ireland, England, Scotland, and Australia. Even France, who still suffers from the same kind of arrogant, self delusional stupidity that Charles De Gaulle embraced, is starting to question the destructive consequences of this Muslim invasion.  These are the same nitwits who are sanctioning Israel and welcoming the Taliban. How long will Europe’s leaders be allowed to continue letting these Muslims butcher, rape and rob their people? 

This is what happens when you fry your brain on Marxism.  That's history, and that history is incontestable.  Why is that so hard to get? 

Is There a New Golden Age on the Horizon?

By Rich Kozlovich

There's something I find really interesting.  There are those who are really smart and really successful, many of them economists who also believe we are on the verge of a "Golden Age" if we can crush the deep state and drain the leftist fever swamps.  Crushing the deep state and draining the leftist fever swamps will make a huge difference admittedly, but a “golden age”? I doubt that.

I've always believed in historical cycles, and I've read three books on the subject, and while the writers all have their own terminology and odd ways of creating coherence through connectives, they all come to the same conclusion. We’re in an end cycle, and all end cycles involve massive economic downturns, and violence, and much of the violence and economic folly is the result of embracing multiculturalism and globalism.  

Remember how Henry Kissinger promoted globalism and multiculturalism as the answer to the world's economic and social issues, and Western nations bought into that insanity?  Well, I recently published a Kissinger article, Henry Kissinger: Time is The Great Leveler of Truth, outlining what a disaster Henry Kissinger was for the world.  

Europe made a grave mistake by listening to this nitwit and the man he mentored, Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum, which is in fact pushing on the world a form of viral neo-communism.  At the end of his life he proclaimed it was a grave mistake for Europe to have listened to him.   

As of 2024 the world’s governments were in debt to the tune of almost 310 trillion dollars, and many of these nations are incapable of repaying that debt, and the debt holders are incapable of collecting it, and I include China.

There are six things a nation needs to be self-sufficient. The ability to feed itself, fuel itself, arm itself, defend itself, create its own internal market, and pay off their national debt. There’s only one nation on Earth that can do all six, and that’s the United States. The international debt will destroy the world’s economy, except for America, but make no mistake, there will be economic pain in America also. 

While international trade is an important economic factor, it’s not life saving for the United States but there will be no golden age, just national survival.  While much of the rest of the world breaks up into semi to totally autonomous states, which is Europe’s foundational social paradigm, as well as China’s, and the Middle East and Africa will break up into tribal states, South America will mostly remain as it is because the geography is so difficult, but they will all be broke. 

Can there ever be a new golden age?  Yes, after the new historical cycle begins, but this end cycle has to finish playing out first, and let's not get too excited about this "deal" with Iran.  Deals with the Muslim world become meaningless as soon as things change and they can justify reneging on anything they've agreed to in the past, it's called "taqiyya", a doctrine of deception.  The concept is to deceive adversaries in order to protect themselves, and then later renege on the agreements when it becomes convenient.  The Barbary Pirate Wars with early America is just one example. 

That's history, and that history is incontestable.  

 Here's are some articles you may find interesting, especially number four. 

1. Chilling details of California terror ring’s plot against Freedom 250 — as ‘mastermind’ is unmasked 
2. FBI disrupts alleged explosive-drone plot targeting White House UFC event, officials say
3. Socialist ‘Red Rabbits’ are training for national uprising against cops 
4. The Dawn of the Modern Nationalist Age

Why Europe is Doomed

 By Rich Kozlovich

Over the years I've stated the EU would collapse by 2025 or at the latest by 2030.  Well, 2025 was wrong, will it be in 2030?  Truth be told, it's coming, and it's coming soon.  The actual date is immaterial.  It's the cycles and patterns that matter.  Let's start with England.  

There's been a lot of talk over the years about England's "free" health care system, but the end result has been disastrous, and right from early on.  As of now the UK's emergency room waits kills 300 poeple a week in their "free" system of socialized medicine.

The opposition leader of the Reform UK movement, Nigel Farage, was "referred for potential prosecution over his public critiques of the British justice system amid the controversial "Manchester Airport trial", comments that needed to be made over the failure of the British government to properly prosecute as a result of their two tiered criminal system involving Muslim criminals.

How clueless is Prime Minister Starmer?   

Keir Starmer says 'successful, brilliant, creative' Muslim immigrants have made great contributions to Britain’s story .............Well, they certainly have been successfully creative at bilking British taxpayers out of billions of pounds of hard-earned money. And they have been similarly successful in their creative use of knives against the native island-dwellers...............It is almost impossible to overstate the trouble the United Kingdom is in.

The knife attack in Belfast has triggered protests across Scotland and in England over the explosion of Muslim immigrant crimes and the government's efforts to hide them.  Brits are finally getting angry, but does the Labour party change their position and actions?  No... of course not.... the problem isn't Islam, illegal immigration, or mass immigration of people who hate western civilization and wish to violently destroy it.  The problem is the public is being misinformed, so their solution is to create a secret unit of ‘Thought Police’ that will manipulate the narratives and control the anger of the peasants. This is a massive government effort to curtail free speech.

In the wake of violent unrest in Belfast sparked by yet another brutal attack involving an asylum seeker, details have emerged of a secretive government operation working overtime to shape what the British public is allowed to think and say about the failures of mass migration. This isn’t organic crisis management—it’s engineered narrative control, straight out of a Cold War playbook, now deployed against ordinary citizens frustrated by unchecked violence and cultural erosion.

And we wonder why young Brits are ignorant of their history.  These demonstrations are shaking things up.  Even supporters want Prime Minister Starmer gone, and the Brits want the Labour party to join him.  

The EU is run by bureaucrats .........who are "petty, exhausting, and expensive, Euro-bureaucracy is steadily eroding Europe’s competitiveness and turning private-sector investment into a gamble. The idea of the free market -- namely that consumer demand for cleaner, more environmentally friendly production and logistics can be expressed through competition itself, one of civilization’s greatest achievements -- appears to have largely vanished within today’s EU.........

"Brussels always tells the same story: regulation is supposed to strengthen the European single market and harmonize economic and environmental objectives. A beautiful narrative -- especially for those who stand to profit from it. Similar dynamics have already emerged in other sectors, such as carbon emissions trading. In the end, compliance costs for affected businesses rise, the bureaucratic apparatus expands through new control and sanctioning mechanisms, and the overall economy loses competitiveness."

In France the 1 in 3 people are either foreign born or descendant of immigrants.  The issue in this case isn't just that they're immigrates. The issue is they're Muslim immigrants, and rightly so.  Would it matter if they were from Switzerland, Germany, Poland, or any of the other western nation?  No, it only matters because they're Muslims, and for good reason.   This isn't immigration, it's invasion.  An invasion by people who subscribe to a religion that demands the destruction of any and all who refuse to convert.  They want to destroy the nations that are foolishly taking them in, and worse yet, these foolish governments are pandering to them.  

The stupidity of Europe's leaders and the arrogance of Europeans overall is mind boggling.  One example is their smug superior act over their position on gun ownership, and yet foolishly ignore the rising crime involving knives, mostly done by Muslim immigrants, mostly to the unarmed local ethnic population, making them helpless victims.  Just as the knife attack by that Sudanese asylum claimer against an unarmed man in Belfast who he slashed, and blinded in one eye.  If a bystander hadn't taken a shovel to his head he might have beheaded his victim. 

Now the EU has decided trade with China isn't "sustainable".  Wow!  I'm shocked, shocked I tell you! Well, the bugman understood that from early on, and that should have been obvious from day one to the EU leadership.   But the EU being the EU, filled with arrogant multicultural wokeness, they just didn't get it.

It's interesting how the EU's pandering to Russia over the years is now playing out.  They're concerned Putin's ambitions for expansion aren't necessarily stopping with Ukraine, although he's claimed he has no aspirations to attack NATO nations.  But in response to Europe's efforts at what they're calling ‘Strategic Autonomy,’ he's also said:

...... "that membership in NATO “will not protect” Baltic states – Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia – that may be aiding Ukraine by hosting its military drones, something Russia accuses Latvia of doing. All three countries are members of the European Union that border Russian territory. "

Well, personally, I think that's big talk he can't walk.  He's in deep economic trouble and has serious demographic problems he can't solve.  In no way can he afford another battle front, but nonetheless,  Europe's scared now. 

Here's the lesson American's need to take away from all this European insanity.  These are the policies Democrats want for America, and disaster is sure to follow.  Europe no longer counts, economically, philosophically or culturally.  All they have left is arrogance.  Here's a reality that's going to come home to roost.  International debt, and inflation. 

Every major currency in the world has lost most of its value since 1971:

1. US:  $100 in 1971 is equivalent in purchasing power to about $822 today, a cumulative loss of roughly 87%.
2. UK:  The British pound has lost roughly 95% of its purchasing power between 1971.
3. EU:  The euro, which replaced the lira, has itself lost purchasing power: €100 in 1997, the year the ECB’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices series begins, is equivalent to about €184 today, a loss of 46% in under three decades.
4. Russia:  From 1993 alone, the ruble lost over 99.9% of its purchasing power, per OECD and World Bank data.
5. Canada: The Canadian dollar has lost roughly 87% of its purchasing power since 1971.
6. Germany: Deutsche mark lost roughly 76% of its purchasing power between 1971 and 2002. 

This is the tip of the iceberg, and for no other reason than these nations are writing checks they can't cover.  The legendary 37 trillion dollar national debt of the United States is shocking, but the federal government owns 150 trillion dollars in assets.  That debt can be paid, none of these other nations are true capital generating nations and they don't have trillions in assets that can be liquidated.  

There are four things that determine the state of any nation, or region.  Geographics, demographics, economics, and happiness. Those four points represent the first of my seven rules on geopolitics.

1. First Rule of Geopolitics: All geopolitics is about four factors, geographics, demographics, economics, and that most elusive factor of all, the happiness factor.  
2. Second Rule of Geopolitics:  Everything is about the basics.  You have to be able to see issues at their foundational root levels in order to understand and fix complex problems.
3. Third Rule of Geopolitics: History is everything since historical events lay the foundation for the social paradigms of nations, which have been in effect for centuries in most areas of the world. In short, culture is king.
4.  Fourth Rule of Geopolitics:  People are like nations, and will act in their own best interests, unless they don't.  
5. Fifth Rule of Geopolitics: Nothing is ever as it appears.  Look behind the curtain, there's always something hidden.
6. Sixth Rule of Geopolitics:  The patterns of life keep repeating over and over again. 
7. Seventh Rule of Geopolitics:  Everyone lies.     

Europe is failing in understanding all seven, and now the EU has invited the Taliban to visit Brussels for mass migration talks.  If you had any doubt as to their cluelessness, that should dispel them.  

Is the Iran Deal Really That Good?

 By Rich Kozlovich

This "deal" Trump has negotiated is being lauded and touted as something great.  Let the oil flow, ships can now start their engines, the world is safe now.  It's being lauded as if it's going to stand the test of time.  I think that might be just a bit premature.  

As General Flynn has publicly taken the position: 

“The regime in Iran is lying to you and your negotiators. Period, stop. Do not believe a word they say.”........... "General Flynn got it right. The Iranian negotiators were playing out a lesson taught by Mohammed himself. What the Iranians have been doing is engaging in the Islamic practice of hudna, the practice of calling for a truce while preparing for war."

Iran will not honor any agreement any more than did the Barbary pirates in the early 1800's.  They cut a deal and then things changed, they renege because that's Islam.   What's worse is Trump gave the impression to the civilian population of Iran he was going to take out this regime:

.....Trump told the Iranians, who were still demonstrating in the street by the tens of thousands, “Help is on the way”. But help did not come, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the multi-service primary force of the Iranian Armed Forces that is now thought to be running the country with an iron fist, murdered nearly forty thousand demonstrators and publicly executed many more, imprisoning and torturing others with extraordinary cruelty.

Thousands rose up and thousands were executed.  Iranians face a reign of terror, and it's not going to stop with this agreement.  As far as I can tell, this agreement doesn't require Iran to stop murdering their people, nor can it prevent it.  And if it did, it wouldn't be enforceable.  As it turns out this deal is already starting to unravel and it's not even in effect yet.  

No nukes and no money?  Right, but what about the billions in ‘humanitarian aid’.  Of course those billions can only be used for humanitarian purposes, just like the billions Obama/Biden gave to Iran.  In the past it appears that humanitarian aid in Iran meant supplying arms to terrorists organizations, but they'll be good this time.  Right?  Does anyone besides me find his abandonment of Lebanon troubling? And does it appear to anyone besides me his reasoning is very similar to the Islam/leftist rhetoric we've seen so often?

In spite of his "promises" to the Iranian people what he really wanted wasn't the elimination of a terror sponsoring regime, his plan was for a universal Abraham Accords in the Middle East, creating a binding economic environment that would overcome Iran's form of Islamic ideology.  That's delusional.  

With the views expressed by his son-in-law and Steven Witkoff I wondered why they were involved in the negotiations.  Now we know.  But his real goal.... at least it seems to me .......... is his desire to win the Nobel Peace Prize.   You know, the one awarded to Yasser Arafat, Jimmy Carter, and Barack Obama.  

History is the touchstone of truth and the creator of long term vision because the patterns of life repeat over and over again, people will be people, and Islam will never be a fit partner with western civilization. That's history and that history is incontestable.  It appears Trump doesn't read history books.