Can Fracking Fix the World?

By Rich Kozlovich

One of my favorite geopolitical analysts is Allison Fedirka who published this subscriber piece on May 1, 2024, Don't Expect Too Much From Venezuela's Elections, saying: 

The Venezuelan opposition has unexpectedly united around a single candidate: Edmundo Gonzalez. And though this is good news for a movement that has long been hindered by its inability to set aside its differences, much remains in the way of true regime change, which should still be seen as a long-term goal rather than a plausible outcome of the July 28 elections.

I've kept a running file on Venezuela, and written quite a lot about it in the past predicting Maduro's downfall.  And while I got a lot right, every one of my predictions of his downfall was wrong.  There was a lady who wrote a piece saying they were not going to be toppled and cited a lot of historical precedents, which I foolishly ignored, and unfortunately, I very stupidly didn't save her article, and she was right.

I don't see any real improvement in Venezuela for a number of reasons.  First, there’s no way Maduro and his band of thugs are going to give up power, it will have to be taken, and no one as far as I can tell is funding such an effort or supplying arms.  Secondly, there doesn’t seem to be a rebel movement in Venezuela.  I think there are and two reasons for that.  Their population has dwindled seriously, and the nation is as much under control of crime lords as it is the government.  The remaining population is scared, powerless, and just want to keep from starving for another day.

Everything else is maskirovka, a masquerade.  After Biden is gone…hopefully…. any deals between Venezuela and the United States will be toast.

Fracking oil isn’t just sweet, it’s super sweet making refinement less expensive or time consuming.    Venezuela’s oil is seriously contaminated and at one point it was predicted Venezuela was an oil rich nation that might not have a market, and there were few refineries that could handle their oil, and they were all in the United States.  

Well, it goes to show, there are no boundaries on stupid, and the Biden administration has done everything in it's power to destroy the use of traditional, reliable, easily available energy sources.   

Energy is fundamental, and he who has the most energy, is the boss, and America is massively energy rich, but it must be exploited or it's meaningless.

If Biden is gone America will return to fracking and drilling, and that will be a worldwide game changer.  That will disrupt all that’s going on in the EU, the Middle East, the Russo/Ukrainian War, China and South East Asia, and I believe the death kneel for BRICS.

Here are my seven rules of geopolitics

1. First Rule of Geopolitics: All geopolitics is about four factors, geographics, demographics, economics, and that most elusive factor of all, the happiness factor.  
   
2. Second Rule of Geopolitics:  Everything is about the basics.  You have to be able to see issues at their foundational root levels in order to understand and fix complex problems.
   
3. Third Rule of Geopolitics:  History is everything since historical events lay the foundation for the social paradigms of nations, which have been in effect for centuries in most areas of the world.
   
4. Fourth Rule of Geopolitics:  People are like nations, and will act in their own best interests, unless they don't.  
5. Fifth Rule of Geopolitics: Nothing is ever as it appears.  Look behind the curtain, there's always something hidden. 
6. Sixth Rule of Geopolitics:  The patterns of life keep repeating over and over again. 
   
7. Seventh Rule of Geopolitics:  Everyone lies.    
   

Can fracking fix the world?  No, as an overall concept, the world's unfixable, there are entirely too many nutrolls in powerful positions.  But it can go a long way to stabilizing the world.  Everyone wants perfection, but the best we can hope for is the most acceptable imperfection, and stable is the most acceptable imperfection we will have to accept.