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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Wednesday, May 8, 2024

What Does The Militarization of China Mean?

By Rich Kozlovich 

Normally I don't pay attention to videos because unlike articles I can't scan them to see if there are any pearls worth harvesting, and far too often I find videos end up wasting my time.   But there are exceptions.  Peter Zeihan's videos have proven to be worth my time more times than not.  Below are two of them I think are worth your time, along with my comments.

Over the years I've written a lot about China. Their economy, their corruption, their military, and most importantly, their intentions, and

I've also commented on the fact they now have aircraft carriers, but they're based on very old Russian technology. Peter Zeihan outlines this, and compares China's aircraft carriers to air craft carriers around the world, and to American aircraft carriers.   

However, what I see is China's aircraft carriers are largely obsolete and nonfunctional.  Any new carriers based on this technology will be obsolete while still on the drawing board.  Drones and laser technology are going to be the future of warfare, and overcoming all that will require massively new and effective technology.  They don't have it, and even if they steal it, which is what they, just like the Soviet Union have always done, will still find that to be massively expensive, and technologically challenging for a culture that based on central planning.   A planning system where Lysenkoism thrives. 

I've also written about the idea China will invade Taiwan.  They won't.  And this analysis of China's aircraft carriers I think further confirms that view.   

 
Now, having said all that, no matter how flawed their ships may be, we have to recognize this is nothing short of provocation to those nations butting up against China, and China's bully boy efforts to create an economic hegemony via military intimidation. And guess what? These nations are prepared to do something about it, including Japan. 
 
 
The question is can China keep up with all this militarization of their culture economically?  The Soviets couldn't do it and collapsed.  So, in my opinion the answer is..No!  
 
China's economy is based on central planning, corruption, and full employment, not profitability.  Xi is a mini Mao, who was an economic illiterate who was happily destroying China until Richard Nixon bailed him out by opening up international trade with China.  All of which has financed all this militarization.  Thank you Richard Nixon.   
 
So, what does all this militarization of China mean?  Hopefully, with Xi at the helm, it means they'll follow the Soviet Union and collapse.  
 

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