Virtually all
scientists directly involved in climate prediction are aware of the enormous
uncertainties associated with their product. How is it that they can place
hands over hearts and swear that human emissions of carbon dioxide are wrecking
the planet?......
In the light of
all this, we have at least to consider the possibility that the scientific
establishment behind the global warming issue has been drawn into the trap of
seriously overstating the climate problem—or, what is much the same thing, of
seriously understating the uncertainties associated with the climate problem—in
its effort to promote the cause. It is a particularly nasty trap in the context
of science, because it risks destroying, perhaps for centuries to come, the
unique and hard-won reputation for honesty which is the basis of society’s respect
for scientific endeavour……
The trap was set
in the late 1970s or thereabouts when the environmental movement first realised
that doing something about global warming would play to quite a number of its
social agendas.…… In short,
there is more than enough uncertainty about the forecasting of climate to allow
normal human beings to be at least reasonably hopeful that global warming might
not be nearly as bad as is currently touted. Climate scientists, and indeed
scientists in general, are not so lucky. They have a lot to lose if time should
prove them wrong…..To Read More……
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