Robin Itzler on the Senate Races

By Robin Itzler

Editor's Note:  This is one of the commentaries selected from Robin's weekly newsletter Patriot Neighbors. If you wish to get the full edition, E-mail her at PatriotNeighbors@yahoo.com to get on her list, it's free. RK

This is how some senate races look as we head into the final two weeks of the campaign. Most political observers believe Republicans will win the Senate. But EVERYONE MUST VOTE so that we make this election TOO BIG TO RIG. President Trump needs Republicans to keep the House and take back the Senate. Everyone can do something to get out the vote!

ARIZONA—Arizona used to be a red state. Unfortunately, polls show Republican Kari Lake trailing Democrat Ruben Gallego. Does this mean that some Arizona Republicans hate Trump so much that they want a Marxist Democrat as their senator? Yup! It appears that way … How fast can you say, “McCain Republicans?”

Also, many Democrats moved to the Grand Canyon State from blue states with high crime and high taxes — and they brought their leftist Marxist politics with them. The most populous counties in Arizona are Maricopa and Pinal have become increasingly Democrat while the more rural areas lean Republican.

CALIFORNIA—During the primary, some political observers begged Republicans to let the general election be a mud fight between Democrats Adam Schiff and Katie Porter. For eight months Schiff and Porter would have thrown political grenades at each other while Republicans watched and smiled.

However, when the March primary votes were counted, the top two were Democrat Adam “Liar” Schiff and Republican Steve “Dodgers” Garvey. Schiff was elated and started measuring for drapes in what will be his new senate office. Then he took his millions of campaign dollars that he didn’t have to spend on commercials or ads and started spending it to help Democrats in other Congressional races—in and out of the Golden State. The latest RealClearPolitics poll average shows Schiff ahead by 22+ points. Steve Garvey has as much chance of winning the senate race as chickens have for surviving a visit to El Pollo Loco.

FLORIDA—Incumbent Republican Senator Rick Scott is comfortably ahead of Democrat Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. One poll shows him ahead by 7 points and leading with Hispanic voters. Mucarsel-Powell has Latin America heritage, but most people wisely vote based on the candidate and their policies, not how many boxes they check on a form. No need to worry about this race.

MICHIGAN—It’s an open seat since Democrat Senator Debbie Stabenow is not running for re-election. Republican Mike Rogers has a good opportunity to win the Great Lakes State against Democrat Elissa Slotkin. The GOP is now pouring money into the race and hopes to flip the seat in what will be a close race.

MONTANA—Republican Tim Sheehy is polling ahead of incumbent Jon Tester in the Treasure State. Why this deep red state has repeatedly elected a Democrat, is difficult to fathom. This year, with Trump at the top of the ticket, Sheehy should win. Still, Democrats are pouring lots of greenbacks in a state with a population of about 1.1 million. Between the two parties, the ad-tracking service AdImpact predicts $265 MILLION will be spent.

NEBRASKA—Incumbent Republican Senator Deb Fischer is being challenged by Independent Dan Osborn. The GOP wants to keep this seat and has recently started financially helping Senator Fischer with advertising.

OHIO—Incumbent Sherrod Brown was slightly ahead in the Buckeye State through the summer, but then polls showed a tightened race. Brown’s only hope is that liberal women come out and vote solely on the abortion issue. Sheehy hopes that Ohioans who are fed-up with rising crime, illegal immigration and soaring inflation will vote Republican.

PENNSYLVANIA—Incumbent Democrat Senator Bob Casey is seeking his fourth term. However, Republican David McCormick regularly reminds voters in the Keystone State that Casey hasn’t much to show for all his years in the Senate. Casey had been leading, but the race has tightened in these final weeks. If Trump wins Pennsylvania, McCormick should win, too.

TEXAS—What we shared about Arizona is the same for Texas. Democrats are moving from blue states with high crime and high taxes and bringing their progressive Marxist mentality with them. Incumbent Ted Cruz is only slightly ahead—within the margin of error in some polls—against very progressive Representative Colin Allred, supported by George Soros. In the third quarter, Allred raised $30.3 million compared to Cruz’s $21 million.

WEST VIRGINIA—No contest here. Both parties know that Republican Governor Jim Justice will win the seat being vacated by Democrat Joe Manchin. Why deep red West Virginian continually re-elected Manchin remains puzzling. GOP Justice is leading Democrat Glenn Elliott by 30+ points. We can move on from this race.

WISCONSIN—Incumbent Democrat Tammy Baldwin is feeling the heat from Republican Eric Hovde. She had a sizable lead in the Badger State until recently. The Cook Political Report changed the race from “lean Democrat” to “toss-up.” Hovde is a wealthy businessman who can open his wallet in the final weeks of the campaign.