The Bray and von Storch 5th International Survey of Climate Scientists 2015/2016

D. Bray, H. Von Storch

The latest update of a survey of international climate scientists from 53 countries examining their views of their state of knowledge concerning the possible causes and consequences of climate change.

Of the 651 scientists returning the survey, approximately 97 percent are convinced or very confident climate change, whether natural or anthropogenic is occurring. Just over 85 percent of that 97 percent express some degree of confidence human activities are the primary cause of present ongoing climate change, though 14 percent of those expressing confidence were only modestly sure of their belief.

Just 65 percent of the scientists survey felt some degree of confidence climate models accurately simulated the climate conditions they were disigned to portray, with only 23 percent expressing a high degree of confidence in the climate models. Interestingly, nearly 43 percent of respondents felt within the climate science community, "The collective authority of a consensus culture of science paralyzes new thought," with another 13 percent being unsure concerning this point......To Read More.....

Comments from the Heartland Institute regarding this survey -  Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch released the results of their latest international survey of climate scientists concerning the causes and consequences of climate change. Only 651 scientists returned the survey, a tiny fraction of the number of scientists entitled to hold opinions or have insights into this
"super wicked problem."

Most of the scientists who responded said they believe “most of the recent or near future climate change is, or will be, the result of anthropogenic causes,” but they are much less confident about this than the IPCC claims to be. Fewer than half (47.6 percent) claimed to be “very much” convinced of this. Just 65 percent of the scientists surveyed felt some degree of confidence that climate models accurately simulate the climate conditions they are designed to portray, with only 23 percent expressing a high degree of confidence in climate models. Interestingly, nearly 43 percent of respondents felt within the climate science community, "the collective authority of a consensus culture of science paralyzes new thought."

Like past surveys by Bray and von Storch, this one will be cited as proof of a “consensus,” even though it reveals considerable uncertainty about the underlying science. In the past, the authors admitted such answers amount to cognitive dissonance “holding two contradictory views at once“ and therefore exposes the triumph of "post-modern science" over genuine scientific knowledge. Don't wait for them to express such politically incorrect views today.