There is a scene in the film Dumb and Dumber where Jim Carrey’s character, Lloyd, confronts the girl of his dreams wanting to know straight out what his chances were with her. When she replied that it was not good, maybe one in a million, he was absolutely elated. He had a chance.
This film was a precursor to the numerical illiteracy we face today in the Age of Stupid. One where people can at the same time accept a possible event that is highly unlikely while rejecting likely events due to the lack of absolute certainty. In other words, we have lost the capacity to measure, discern and distinguish probability from possibility (or what I would call having lost the capacity for reasonableness).
Some examples:............To Read More....
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