By Rosslyn Smith
It's a PPP poll, and those always skew Democrat. Plus Hillary's 43% to 41% lead is within the margin of error. Cross tabs can be found here.
That said, I suspect this poll may be close to what is happening in North Carolina based on two data points. First, PPP asked who respondents voted for in 2012. While the answers show Obama with a 2% point edge while in fact Romney narrowly won the state, a percentage of loosely affiliated voters are known to falsely remember that they voted for the current office holder. Thus the partisan mix in the poll may be fairly close to that in the electorate.
Second, this poll tracks with the results of the North Carolina presidential primary, below, as well as with other recent polls. The national polling trend has been that Clinton's supported has slipped since the end of primary season while Trump's has not grown. In North Carolina unaffiliated voters can chose which partisan primary to vote in. Here are the presidential primary results from March 15...........More
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