Paul Driessen @ CFACT
The ultra liberal enclaves of New York City and San
Francisco, Oakland, Santa Cruz, San Mateo, Marin, and Imperial Beach,
California all claim to be deeply worried about manmade climate cataclysms.
They detest petroleum, oppose pipelines, fracking and onshore and offshore
drilling, and strongly support renewable energy and expensive electricity:
already 17-18¢ a kilowatt-hour for families, rich and poor.
Their fundamental cause of action claims greenhouse gases (primarily carbon
dioxide) from burning oil and natural gas are disrupting Earth’s climate and
weather, causing heat waves and frigid winters, floods and droughts, more frequent and intense hurricanes, melting ice packs and rising seas –
costing the cities billions of dollars for repairs and adaptation. The
calamities pose an “existential threat” to the cities, humanity and our planet.
If they’re not happening already, they will within decades, the litigants
assert.
The oil companies have known about these risks for
decades, the cities and counties continue, but hid the information from the
public and failed to disclose it in annual reports, stock offerings and other
documents. They are thus guilty of fraud, negligent and deliberate failure to
warn, product design defects, trespass with dangerous pollutants, and being a
public and private nuisance.
The litigants seek compensatory damages, abatement of the
alleged nuisance, attorneys’ fees, punitive damages and disgorgement of
corporate profits. NY Mayor Bill de Blasio
also wants his city to divest from fossil fuels (which generate revenues for pension funds, and invest more in wind and solar, which require subsidies) and “bring the death knell” to the entire oil industry. It’s a classic shakedown.
Nice companies ya got there. Sure’d be a shame if
something was to happen to ‘em. also wants his city to divest from fossil fuels (which generate revenues for pension funds, and invest more in wind and solar, which require subsidies) and “bring the death knell” to the entire oil industry. It’s a classic shakedown.
The ironies are delicious – ripe for being exploited in
courtrooms, Congress and courts of public opinion.
Start with the fraud allegations. Much to the chagrin of
scientists who say humans are not causing climate cataclysms, these oil
companies’ reports and press releases have frequently said fossil fuel
emissions are a real concern, and the companies haven’t funded climate chaos
skeptics for years. Where’s the fraud?
Compare that to Marin County, whose court pleadings
assert a 99% risk of catastrophic storm surges and flooding, because of oil and
gas combustion. San Mateo County cites a 93% likelihood of climate-related
surges, floods and sewer overflows. San Francisco
claims an “imminent risk of catastrophic storm surges.”
But SF’s 2017 municipal bond
offering downplayed the risks, saying it is “unable to predict whether
sea-level rise or other impacts of climate change or flooding will occur.”
Marin and San Mateo made similar statements to current and prospective bond
investors. Ditto for other litigants and climate chaos claims. Their panicked
concern about devastating climate impacts has suddenly vanished.
Courts don’t like forked
tongues, prior inconsistent statements, duplicity or fraud. Neither do
investors or SEC commissioners. Watching this lawsuit vs. bond offerings tar
baby schizophrenia play out in court will be entertaining, and perhaps even one
more reason to dismiss the frivolous lawsuit with prejudice.
It’s also ironic that the litigants claim the oil
companies are causing local, state, national, international and planetary havoc
– but wanted to sue in state courts, where they hoped to get friendlier
judges and juries than they might in a federal venue. Boulder, Colorado’s city attorney also promoted that approach,
in suggesting that this equally liberal town join the litigation, to “propel
change” and “put a price on carbon.”
However, a Federal District judge has ruled that the case must be tried in federal courts,
since the claims “depend on a global complex of geophysical cause and effect
involving all nations of the planet.”
Add to that the unrelenting efforts by these cities,
counties and states, climate activists and modelers, and various politicians to
stifle debate, assert that 97% of scientists agree that climate change is manmade and
dangerous, and even use racketeering laws and Spanish Inquisition tactics against climate chaos skeptics – while
profiting handsomely from climate hysteria. But now they want to haul
oil companies into court, where they must present real-world evidence, prove
their case against fossil fuels, reply to weighty evidence that contradicts
their assertions, and endure brutal cross-examination by defense attorneys.
It will be interesting to watch them try to silence
defense witnesses and keep inconvenient evidence out.
Two new books, by Marc Morano and Gregory Wrightstone, offer superb laymen’s guides to the real
science of climate change today and throughout Earth’s long history – and how
difficult (nigh impossible) it will be for the litigants to prove their
allegations: That today’s climate fluctuations are unprecedented. That they
pose an imminent threat to people and planet. That humans and
(plant-fertilizing) carbon dioxide now control climate and weather processes,
replacing the sun and other powerful natural forces that did so previously.
That they can somehow separate and quantify human versus natural influences and
impacts.
The cities and counties also want the courts to focus
only on the alleged social, environmental and economic costs of
carbon-based fuels and carbon dioxide emissions. They want no mention of the
enormous benefits – to the cities, counties and their citizenry: lights,
heat, clothing, transportation, communication, healthcare, employment, crops, parks, forests and much more. Indeed, a comprehensive,
honest analysis shows the benefits of carbon exceed their costs by at least 50:1, to as
much as 500:1.
The litigants demand that the targeted companies
“disgorge” their profits. Perhaps the cities should first disgorge the
trillions in benefits they received from using the companies’ products for the
past century.
In the end, the case against the oil companies rests on
bald assertions, selective evidence, revised and “homogenized” data, an assumption that
industrialization caused modern global warming – and above all, computerized
climate models that have been wrong about every temperature and other
prediction. This may work in the “mainstream” media, universities and other
liberal circles. It shouldn’t in a court of law.
As “logic of science” expert David Wojick
observes, climate models are basically garbage
in-garbage out, or GIGO: Input the assumption that rising CO2 levels
cause climate change; output increasingly disastrous climate disruption
scenarios. The process also involves constant circular reasoning: If all the drivers of climate change are
assumed to be human-caused, all the observed changes must also be caused by
humans.
That is how the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
operates – and why we have so many disaster scenarios and demands for an
immediate transition to renewable energy. It helps explain why these litigants
oppose drilling, fracking and pipelines within their borders – but voice few
concerns about the impacts of wind and solar installations on wildlife,
habitats, and metals mining and processing in distant lands … or about the
land, fertilizer and water demands, and CO2 emissions, associated with
biofuels.
Two principles seem to guide the litigants: Whatever
happens today or in the future – even if it happened many times in the past –
is the oil companies’ fault, and it’s going to be catastrophic. Misrepresenting
facts or failing to disclose relevant evidence violates anti-fraud laws –
unless the cities and counties do it.
That is absurd. A lot is riding on these baseless climate
lawsuits – and not just for the oil companies.
Every city, county, state, farm, manufacturer, hospital,
business, worker and family whose operations, technologies, living standards,
investments, pensions and hope for the future depend on the energy and
petrochemicals that oil companies provide will be harmed by a court finding in
favor of these litigants.
Every one of them should follow this case closely – and get involved
deeply and personally in this crazy lawsuit, by intervening, providing evidence
and expert witnesses, submitting amicus curiae briefs, and helping citizens, journalists and
elected officials understand what is really at stake here. (Hint: It’s not
Earth’s climate, which has changed often throughout history – beneficially,
benignly or detrimentally.)
Paul Driessen is senior policy advisor for the Committee
For A Constructive Tomorrow and author of articles and books on natural
resource issues. He has degrees in geology, ecology and environmental law.
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