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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Friday, September 4, 2020

The Covid-19 Pandemic is Ending

September 3, 2020 By James G. Robertson

Covid19 has already passed through all 50 states as a single major contagious wave in each state.  There were 33 early states where the epidemic was over by June, and 14 late states where the epidemic now is ending.

Every week in America about 51,000 people die from all causes.  This number rises and falls during the winter due to flu-like illnesses and goes back to baseline in the summer.  No one panics about it, and most people don’t even realize that it happens.  This year was worse than normal, but we’ve almost returned to baseline.

But this year -- everyone panicked!  William Briggs has documented this in his Coronavirus Update series, and this article adds to his analysis by examining state level data.

As Briggs has argued, the most important data is the data for deaths from all causes.  Covid19 attributed deaths are subject to interpretation as either died from or died with Covid19, and death certificates can be misleading because of the attribution of cause (here and here.)  The bubble burst his week when the CDC reported that only 6% of the total Covid19 attributed deaths were from the virus alone..........Briggs also has argued in his Coronavirus Updates that massive public testing has contributed to panic about the virus. Nationally, we are performing about 5 million tests per week......

Nature controls the virus, not the politicians. The ignorant will always be with us, just like the virus. But the virus is not that hard to figure out. Don’t panic. Keep the big picture in mind. Quarantine the sick. Protect the elderly. Let the rest of us free breathing Americans live our lives.........To Read More....

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