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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Sunday, May 4, 2014

Caruba's Corner: The Mann Chronicles

Science, Free Speech, and the Courts
By Alan Caruba

 
The public, after decades of global warming advocacy, now called “climate change”, has begun to conclude that claims of a massive warming trend were dubious and that real climate change is the natural response of the planet to forces well beyond any impact of the human race.

The fact is that the Earth has been in a cooling cycle for some 17 years based on lower rates of solar radiation as the Sun undergoes one of its natural cycles, a reduction in the number of sunspots or magnetic storms on its surface.

The May 5th edition of the National Review devotes its cover story to “The Case Against Michael Mann: The Hockey Stick and Free Speech” by Charles C.W. Cooke because the creator of the “hockey stick” graph purporting a massive warming is suing the magazine, commentator Mark Steyn, along with the Competitive Enterprise Institute, and Rand Simberg. In his suit, filed in the D.C. Superior Court, Mann asserts that “in making the defamatory statement” they acted intentionally, maliciously, willfully, and with the intent to injure Dr. Mann, or to benefit (National Review) and Steyn."

Mann is asserting a “narrow form of libel that American law prohibits” said Cooke. “As a seminal Supreme Court case, New York Times v. Sullivan, outlined in 1964, using the law of libel, to drag journalists into court for expressing their sincere views on matters of major public importance is entirely inconsistent with our ‘national commitment to principle that debate on public issues should be uninhibited, robust, and wide open.’”

Mann’s feelings are hurt and he believes that any criticism of the questionable science he applied to the creation of his now-famous global warming graph is libel. I believe the court will conclude that using the charge of libel to silence his critics is wrong. That’s what makes the case important, in particular for a basic principle of science, and in general for the public understanding that global warming and/or climate change depends on vigorous debate.

Science depends on being able to reproduce the results of an assertion by other scientists. Suffice to say that Mann’s graph has been extensively disputed and found lacking in the methods used to produce it.

As Cooke reports, the graph “purports to depict global temperature trends between the years A.D. 1000 and 2000” and takes its name from “a mostly flat line of temperature data from the year 1000 until about 1900 (the handled of the hockey stick), followed by a sharp uptick over the 20th century (the blade).” The graph was published in the 2001 report of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Since then the IPCC has been retreating from its vehement claim that global warming posed a major threat to life on Earth.

In 2009, the leak of many emails between members of the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Center and others engaging in the global warming claims revealed that “Mann and his colleagues have processed their data in a way that makes global warming appear more severe than the evidence suggests on its own.” Most damning was Mann’s use of tree ring data and the way other data was ignored in order to make his claims about global warming appear to be valid. “The leaked emails suggest that some members of the IPCC were well aware of these inconsistencies—and even may have sought to conceal them,” notes Cooke.

Aside from the dubious science cited, the issue before the court is whether publicly questioning Mann can or should be deemed libelous. If it concludes that it is, then the most fundamental principle of science will be destroyed and the courts will fill up with similar cases whose purpose would be to censor and silence the debate that is the life blood of science.

Mann has claimed to have been a Nobel Prize laureate, but Cooke notes that the Nobel Committee “explicitly said that he is not.” He has claimed that the National Academy of Sciences and that the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit investigations into his conduct and his work “have fully vindicated him “when they in fact have done no such thing.”

Worldwide, people have been subjected to the greatest hoax of the modern era and 17 years of cooling demonstrates that carbon dioxide, a “greenhouse gas” plays no role in heating the Earth. All of the claims about global warming are demonstrably wrong, along with all of the computer models and other “proof” inaccurate to the point of being purposefully deceptive.

At the heart of the case against the National Review is whether a scientist can silence his critics and one can only hope for the sake of science, free speech, freedom of the press, and the truth that Mann loses.

Editor’s note: The testimony of climate scientist Dr. John R. Christy of the University of Alabama before a 2011 U.S. House hearing on climate change addresses how and why Michael Mann and his “hockey stick” became such a prominent part of the IPCC Third Assessment Report in 2011. It is available HERE!
© Alan Caruba, 2014
 
My Thanks to Alan for allowing me to publish his work.  RK

2 comments:

  1. The reason that the phrase “Global Warming Deniers” is used is that the “Deniers” ignore demonstrable evidence and fabricate stories that are not true.

    For example, the statement
    “The fact is that the Earth has been in a cooling cycle for some 17 years”
    is NOT true.

    Despite the fantasies of Global Warming Deniers, the earth continues to warm at the rate of 4 Hiroshima atomic bombs per second – running 24/7 - including the years from 1998 to present.
    http://www.skepticalscience.com/4-Hiroshima-bombs-worth-of-heat-per-second.html
    Earth’s Rate Of Global Warming Is 400,000 Hiroshima Bombs A Day
    http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/12/22/3089711/global-warming-hiroshima-bombs/#
    Four Hiroshima bombs a second: How we imagine climate change
    http://phys.org/news/2013-08-hiroshima-climate.html
    This measured/observed warming rate is via the Argo buoy system. http://www.argo.ucsd.edu/About_Argo.html

    2005 was warmer than any previous year. Then 2010 broke the 2005 record. Data at:
    NOAA/National Climate Data Center
    https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/anomalies.php

    2012 was the warmest year on record for the United States.
    http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/news/ncdc-announces-warmest-year-record-contiguous-us

    Sea level continues to rise due to thermal expansion and glacial melting. The rate of sea level rise has quadrupled since the 1870 to 1924 period.
    Columbia University
    http://www.columbia.edu/~mhs119/SeaLevel/

    Glaciers continue to melt, and the rate of melting has accelerated since 1998.
    World Glacier Monitoring Service
    http://www.wgms.ch/mbb/sum12.html

    Ocean heating has accelerated sharply since 1998. (Note: Over 90% of Global Warming ends up heating the oceans.)
    Graph at:
    http://www.durangobill.com/GwdLiars/GwdOceanHeat.jpg
    Full peer reviewed paper at:
    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50382/full
    Up to date info at:
    NOAA/National Oceanographic Data Center
    http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/OC5/3M_HEAT_CONTENT/ (click on “2”)

    Finally, November 2013 just set a record for the warmest November in history.
    NOAA/National Climate Data Center
    http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2013/11/


    More at:
    http://www.durangobill.com/GwdLiars/GwdGlobalWarmingStoppedIn1998.html



    ReplyDelete
  2. Mr. Butler,

    The problem with all of your source information is that it fails to be corroborated by satellites. What satellites do show however is the warming trend stopped just under 20 years ago, the sea isn’t rising or warming and the idea that 2012 was the warmest year on record was provided by the National Climate Data Center and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, both notorious for their lack of integrity due to the fact they receive millions to promote global warming claptrap, just as other Departments and Agencies of the federal government are being pushed to do so that have nothing to do with science or climate. And in order to promote warmist views they do not publish raw data. They publish data that has been adjusted, including a failure to adjust ground temperature readings for the well-recognized urban heat island effect, where 89% of the ground stations are located. Furthermore, NOAA has inflated the 2012 record maximum number by adding new stations which didn’t exist during the hot years of the 1930s.

    Organizations such as NOAA, like NASA, the Met Office, WMO, IPCC, HADCRUT, and other highly politicized institutions promoting global-warming alarmism, has been caught more than once “adjusting” the data and working their computer modeling to create what can only be called “deceptive science”. I call it “game boy science” since the computers then feed out what it’s told to feed out.

    That isn’t the end of their corruption since it has been shown the NCDC has actually changed the history of temperature readings from what was actually recorded in order to create a warming trend in the 20th century. But was 2012 the warmest year in history of the world or the United States, no one knows for sure but probably not. However, even if it is argued and accepted that it was so in United States, that was not the case worldwide.

    As for glaciers and ice overall. Glaciers that did have serious melting demonstrated that in days gone by trees with substantial trunks grew in those locations, indicating a much warmer period that lasted for a very long time. So the natural question should be; if it was much warmer in days gone by did any of the scares they’re promoting now happen then? There is absolutely nothing in the historical record to show any of these things occurred then. If these activist promoted catastrophes didn’t occur then why should we believe they’re going to occur now. We shouldn’t!

    Truth is the sublime convergence of history and reality, and Global Warming activist's views fail in both categories.

    No Mr. Butler….you’re the one who is wrong!

    ReplyDelete