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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Showing posts with label Census. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Census. Show all posts

Friday, August 8, 2025

Trump says he is ordering a new census that will not count illegals: Can the administration do this?

by John Hinderaker  

President Trump says he is ordering a new census that will not count illegal aliens:...........

Can the administration do this? If Trump means a census that would have legal effect, there are at least two issues: 1) The Constitution requires that a census be carried out, for purposes of apportioning the House of Representatives, every ten years. Is there a legal basis for doing a census now? 2) Trump doesn’t want to count illegal aliens, but illegal aliens have consistently been counted in the census, at least in modern times. What does the Constitution say about who should be counted?.............The mid-decade census is intended, among other things, to be used to re-allocate spending in government programs, not to reapportion Congress. So, contrary to some speculation, nothing the administration does now can impact the 2026 election................

 But a political point can be made: the vast number of illegal aliens puts a thumb on the electoral scale in favor of the Democrats. If there are 20 million illegals in the U.S., that corresponds to around 26 seats in the House of Representatives. How seats in the House might shift if these persons were eliminated from the count is unclear, but an unofficial census of the kind described by President Trump would shed light on that question, and would highlight the unfair impact of illegal immigration on power in Congress. Also, of course, such an unofficial census could provide a good estimate of the number of illegals still residing in the country.

So, if political as opposed to legal impact is Trump’s goal, he may achieve it.............. To Read More.....


Thursday, August 7, 2025

This is Huge!

By Rich Kozlovich

Early this morning I posted my commentary on the Texas gerrymandering issue, and made it clear the outrage and hypocrisy by Democrats was the least of their worries.  Little did I know how prescient that was. 

 President Trump has now ordered a new census, and has made it clear only America citizens will be counted, ending a significant number of House of Representative seats for the Democrats. 

Can the President legally do such a thing? Yes, he can!  As the Heritage Foundation has reported:

In a shocking report that has not received the attention it deserves, the U.S. Census Bureau recently admitted that its 2020 Census count of the American population was incorrect in at least 14 states.

 And those mistakes were costly to certain states in terms of congressional representation, number of electors, and money those states are likely to receive from the federal government during the next decade. To put the scope of these mistakes into perspective, contrast the errors in the Census Bureau’s latest recount (the 2020 Post-Enumeration Survey, or PES) with the recount from a decade ago (the 2010 Post-Enumeration Survey)—in which there was a net overcount of a mere 0.01 percent (36,000 people), a statistically insignificant error.

As explained below, as a result of these errors, Florida did not receive two additional congressional seats and Texas did not receive one more congressional seat. Meanwhile, two other states, Minnesota and Rhode Island, each retained a congressional seat that they should have lost, and Colorado gained a new seat to which it was rightfully not entitled.

Trump tried to end counting illegal aliens in the past and faced court challenges over that.  If that happens again, and I have no doubt it will, and the courts find against him, he just may embrace the Jacksonian solution.  Ignore them.  

Update: While a mid-decade census is legal it is "intended, among other things, to be used to re-allocate spending in government programs, not to reapportion Congress. So, contrary to some speculation, nothing the administration does now can impact the 2026 election."  As for not counting illegal aliens that's also problematic.  Follow the link to see the reason why. 

Thursday, September 12, 2024

Census Bureau Income Data: Four Years, No Progress

I’ve repeatedly cited monthly data from the Labor Department to show that workers have struggled during the Biden-Harris years because inflation has increased faster than wages.

Those monthly numbers specifically show that workers lost a lot of ground in 2021 and 2022. There’s been a bit of progress since then, but the best-case scenario is that workers have merely recovered their losses.

Which means zero overall economic progress over the past four years.

Today, let’s look at some annual numbers from the Census Bureau, which just published its yearly report on income in the United States.

The good news is that median family income rose last year. The bad news is that families are still worse off than they were before the pandemic.

So is this good economic news or bad economic news? Is it good political news? If so, is it good for Harris or Trump? Here are some excerpts from Abha Bhattarai‘s report in the Washington Post.


Household incomes rose last year for the first time since 2019 but are still lower than they were before the pandemic, according to a new U.S. Census Bureau report that helps explain why so many Americans remain dissatisfied with the economy… After inflation, median household income rose to $80,610 last year, up from $77,540 in 2022 but less than the $81,210 families brought home in 2019. …White households saw a 5.4 percent increase in income, while median incomes for their Black, Asian and Hispanic counterparts remained largely flat. …The White House…has struggled to persuade Americans that they’re better off financially than they were four years ago.

My assessment is that neither Harris nor Trump will benefit from these numbers. The somewhat good news in 2023 is offset by the very bad news the previous two years.

So the tiebreaker may be the monthly Labor Department numbers for 2024. I’ll be sure to do a column when new data gets released in early October.

For what it’s worth, here is some of what I wrote about this time last year, when the 2022 Census Bureau income numbers were released.

Median household income dropped by more than $1,000 in Reagan’s first two years, and even dropped by a couple of hundred dollars in 1983, yet that did not preclude big improvements in 1984 and a landslide reelection for the Gipper. So there is still time for Biden to turn things around.

I’ll stick with that analysis, other than replacing Biden with Harris.

Now that I’ve issued my amateur political analysis, I’ll close with hard-headed economic analysis. If we want more jobs, higher wages, and better living standards, free markets and limited government are the right approach.

(Editor's Note: Dan and I diverge on what he's calling Trump's "protectionism", but I'm concerned about the "endless spending" no matter who's elected.  RK)

Unfortunately, a Trump victory may mean economically debilitating protectionism and a Harris victory may mean destructive class-warfare taxes. And endless spending if either of them win!

So whoever prevails, I’m worried that the American people lose.

Sunday, May 12, 2024

The Census – Where Citizens and Illegal Aliens Collide

If voting is a right of citizenship, why should non-citizens expect representation?

by | May 12, 2024 @ Liberty Nation News Tags: Articles, Opinion, Politics

House Republicans have pushed a bill through that aims to add a citizenship question to the next census in 2030. The plan is to ask people if they’re citizens, legal non-citizen residents, or illegal immigrants, then only count the citizens when setting congressional districts. But Democrats are solidly against it, calling it everything from unfair and racist to overly expensive.

Apportionment by the Numbers

The current number of representatives in the US House is set at 435, where it has been since 1929. This is split among the 50 states relative to state populations. This total would only change if Congress passed a law to increase or decrease the overall size of the House. The distribution, however, can change every ten years after the census, when the new national population count shows which states have lost residents and which have gained. For example, after the 2020 census, Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon each gained one seat and Texas gained two. Those seven House seats came from seven other states, each of which lost one: California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.

The Electoral College distribution is determined by the number of congressional seats – so the number of US representatives a state has plus two senators equals its number of presidential electors. Since there are 435 seats in the US House and 100 in the Senate, that means there are 535 electors spread out across the 50 states, plus three in Washington, DC, for a total of 538. The states that either gained or lost representatives after the last census also gained or lost an equal number of electors.

Fixing a Broken Census, or Playing Politics?

Currently, everyone counted by the census – citizens, non-citizen residents, and illegals alike – is counted toward the apportionment of congressional districts. If the GOP effort succeeds, non-citizens won’t count toward the total population for determining the spread of House seats and electors after the 2030 census, meaning the states with the highest concentration of undocumented residents stand to lose the most. According to the Pew Research Center, the states with the most non-citizens – the biggest losers, in this situation – are California, Texas, Florida, New York, New Jersey, and Illinois.

It’s important to note that the two red states on that list – Texas and Florida – are the two biggest contributors to Republican electors. Yes, the Democratic Party stands to lose more than a few representatives and presidential electors, but so does the GOP. Still, Democrats unanimously oppose this effort. The House passed the bill 206 to 202, split precisely along party lines. The only bipartisanship here were the 11 representatives from each party who didn’t vote.

The White House warned that this bill – which the president “strongly opposes” – would be costly and make it more difficult to obtain accurate data. “It would also violate the Fourteenth Amendment of the Constitution, which requires that the number of seats in the House of Representatives ‘be apportioned among the several States according to their respective members, counting the whole number of persons in each State,’” the Office of Management and Budget’s statement added.

But Republicans point out that non-citizens already can’t vote in federal elections and, therefore, should not be counted specifically for the allocation of House seats. Allowing non-citizens to affect the distribution of House seats and presidential electors, they argue, creates an imbalance in power between states, in which everyone’s vote is not equal. For example, Illinois and Pennsylvania both have 17 seats in the House and 19 presidential electors – but there are considerably more non-citizens in Illinois than in Pennsylvania, giving actual voters in Illinois a stronger voice in national politics.

Introducing the bill in the House, Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC) said, “Incentivizing illegal immigration and exploiting our democracy to skew the number of congressional seats or electoral votes for the presidency is immoral and a sure path to the downfall of our nation. Only American citizens can vote, and only American citizens should be counted when determining federal representation.”

However, with such strong Democrat opposition to the bill, it’s sure to die in the Senate. Barring that, Biden would almost certainly nix it, and it’s inconceivable that such a measure would gain enough votes to overturn the veto. Still, the bill raises an interesting question: If voting is a right of citizenship, why should non-citizens expect representation in Congress or the White House?

 
Read More From James Fite

Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Yes, it's been reported that the CENSUS BUREAU COMMITTED FRAUD. They knew they errored and refuse to correct.

Census numbers forecasted that Minnesota was scheduled to lose a congressional seat, right up until “blue state” numbers miraculously shot up in contrast to the usually reliable December estimates.  The Bureau has admitted it “over counted” Minnesota, which helps explains why DFL Chair Ken Martin giddily touted “the state with both the highest census response rate in the nation at 75.1% and the highest voter turnout in the nation.”

Imagine that.............To Read More...




Monday, May 23, 2022

Wall Street Journal: Dems Stole Congressional Seats From Red States With “Rigged” Census — Calls For Investigation

By ProTrumpNews Staff  May 21, 2022 364 Comments

The Gateway Pundit previously reported on how 14 states were significantly miscounted in the 2020 census.  Out of the states that were undercounted, most of them were red states.

Out of the states that were overcounted, most of them were blue states. According to analysis, the inaccurate counting cost Florida and Texas one house seat each — for the next 10 years!  Breakdown by state:

  • Hawaii: overcounted by 6.8%
  • Delaware: overcounted by 5.5%
  • Rhode Island: overcounted by 5.1%
  • Minnesota: overcounted by 3.8%
  • New York: overcounted by 3.4%
  • Utah: overcounted by 2.6%
  • Massachusetts: overcounted by 2.2%
  • Ohio: overcounted by 1.5%
  • Arkansas: undercounted by 5%
  • Tennessee: undercounted by 4.8%
  • Mississippi: undercounted by 4.1%
  • Florida: undercounted by 3.5%
  • Illinois: undercounted by 2%
  • Texas: undercounted by 1.9%

 To Read More.....

Sunday, January 9, 2022

America’s Millions of Fake Indians Outnumber Real Indians

January 04, 2022 @ Sultan Knish Blog

It’s not just Elizabeth Warren.

America has a huge “Fake Indian” problem. It’s hard to know exactly how many people, often white leftists, falsely claim to be descended from the nation’s early Indian population, but census numbers show either a massive population boom or a sharp growth in fake Indians.

According to the 2010 census, there were 2.9 million American Indians and Alaskans, and another 2.3 million who claimed to be a combination of Indians and another race or races.

The 2020 census however shows that 3.7 million claimed to be American Indians or Alaskans, and another 5.9 million described themselves as part Indian.

5.2 million to 9.7 million is an 86.5% rise. And going from 4.1 million in 2000 to 5.2 million in 2010 and then almost 10 million suggests that what we’re seeing here is not a natural increase that happened through a baby boom.

“Why the jump in the Native American population may be one of the hardest to explain,” CNN shrugged.

But the Census Bureau provides a simple explanation, “The American Indian and Alaska Native alone population grew by 27.1%, and the American Indian and Alaska Native in combination population grew by 160% since 2010.”

The biggest growth happened when the 2.3 million people who claimed to be part Indian in 2010 jumped to 5.9 million in 2020. That 3.6 million increase is responsible for the staggering growth.

While identity politics activists have claimed that the Census Bureau was undercounting the American Indian population on reservations, that’s not where the real growth is coming from.

The question of who is an Indian when it comes to the tribes is a fraught issue. Some tribes have attempted to preserve their population integrity with blood quantum requirements and documented evidence of ancestry, while others have thrown open the door to everyone. There have also been legal battles over the dubious move to count the descendants of former black slaves who belonged to members of Indian tribes as being enrolled in those tribes.

Some tribes are legitimate peoples while others are little more than legal fictions with white leaders who act as fronts for international gaming interests and shadowy corporations.

The membership rolls of even most legitimate tribes can grow a lot when money is on the table.

The Navajos boasted that they had reached 400,000 members, but an Associated Press story noted that, "Navajos also saw an enrollment increase as the tribe offered hardship assistance payments from last year’s federal Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security Act, boosting the tribe’s rolls from about 306,000 to nearly 400,000 citizens.”

The Cherokee Nation shot up from 360,589 in 2018 to an alleged 400,000 now. Even media accounts conceded that "there was a significant increase in applications after Principal Chief Chuck Hoskin Jr. announced $2,000 COVID-19 assistance payments to enrolled Cherokee citizens as well as people approved for citizenship in the tribal nation by June 2022."

But most of the growth in the American Indian population is not coming from the tribes.

Who are the "new" Indians?

The 2010 Census Bureau numbers showed that 63% of the mixed race population "identified as American Indian and Alaska Native and White." In other words, more Elizabeth Warrens.

A percentage of Americans, especially in states like Oklahoma, have rightly or wrongly claimed Indian ancestry, but the striking growth in recent years is not the natural result of old family legends, but wokeness and career development based around affirmative action.

White people face growing discrimination in applying for college or looking for work. And for the new generation there is much less shame and fewer taboos around lying about race. Anecdotally, the number of millennials and zoomers who falsely claim to be black, Latino, Jewish, or members of any other minority group, has exploded according to employers.

Elizabeth Warren may have been a pioneer, but the number of fake Indians is growing sharply.

One author, Circe Sturm, an anthropology professor at the University of Texas at Austin, theorizes in her book, “Becoming Indian", that the explosive population growth among the American Indian population is actually driven by white people who are "fleeing whiteness".

But the fake Indians, like Senator Elizabeth Warren, aren't fleeing whiteness so much as they're exploiting a racist attack on white people that they've stirred up to profit from a minority identity.

And even setting up fake tribes.

Strum writes, "The number of these new self-identified tribes is startling. Over the course of my research, I discovered 253 groups scattered across the U.S. that identify as some sort of Cherokee tribe. This is a huge number considering that there are only 573 federally recognized tribes, three of which are Cherokee."

American Indian tribes have been fighting a rearguard campaign against fake Indians, but it’s one that they are likely to lose as the Left embraces fake Indian activists who are happy to put their fake identities at the service of their political causes.

The fake Indian problem is not unique to America.

The exposure of Carrie Bourassa in Canada, after she appeared in Indian garb and blamed systemic racism, was a major scandal in that country. Even more absurdly, Australia’s “white aborigines”, leftist academics, often blonde and blue-eyed, who claim special status and privileges because of their alleged aboriginal status, are a longstanding problem.

But the rapid growth of America’s fake Indian problem suggests we’re heading for a crisis.

Indian tribes enjoy a unique legal status that has conferred significant economic and political benefits. The replacement and displacement of the tribal populations by a new activist base entirely dedicated to radical leftist politics would be a new Trail of Tears, but also quite dangerous. And yet it’s a crisis that’s been coming since the American Indian Movement.

Between 2010 and 2020, the number of part Indians went from a minority to a majority of the American Indian population. If this trend continues, the vast number of people who build careers and public identities around being American Indians will be fake Indians.

America’s fake Indians already outnumber real Indians. And it’s only getting worse.

Daniel Greenfield is a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center. This article previously appeared at the Center's Front Page Magazine.

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Thank you for reading.

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About Daniel Greenfield
Daniel Greenfield is a journalist investigating Islamic terrorism and the Left. He is a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center

 

 

Thursday, January 21, 2021

Biden Orders Census Bureau to Include Illegal Immigrants in Apportionment

By Zachary Stieber  January 21, 2021  

President Joe Biden in his first day in office issued an executive order mandating the Census Bureau include illegal immigrants in its apportionment.  Former President Donald Trump sought to exclude aliens.

The secretary of commerce “shall report the tabulation of total population by State that reflects the whole number of persons whose usual residence was in each State as of the designated census date in section 141(a) of title 13, United States Code, without regard to immigration status,” the order states.

“In addition, the Secretary shall use tabulations of population reflecting the whole number of persons whose usual residence was in each State as of the census date, without regard to immigration status, in reports provided to the Governor and officers or public bodies having responsibility for legislative apportionment or districting of each State,” it added..........To Read More....

Wednesday, July 22, 2020

Trump Issues EO to Keep Illegal Immigrants off the Census

Cortney O'Brien Jul 21, 2020

President Trump has signed an executive order barring illegal immigrants from being counted when state officials draw congressional maps.  The president released the following statement about his decision, explaining that he is determined to keep illegals from being counted in the census.

Last summer in the Rose Garden, I told the American people that I would not back down in my effort to determine the citizenship status of the United States population. Today, I am following through on that commitment by directing the Secretary of Commerce to exclude illegal aliens from the apportionment base following the 2020 census.
 
There used to be a time when you could proudly declare, “I am a citizen of the United States.”  But now, the radical left is trying to erase the existence of this concept and conceal the number of illegal aliens in our country.  This is all part of a broader left-wing effort to erode the rights of Americans citizens, and I will not stand for it............To Read More....
 

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Even the illegals are fleeing California — and half the state's voters want out, too

September 28, 2019 By Monica Showalter

California, whose new leftist governor, Gavin Newsom, has big ambitions to be the counter-president for now, and eventually replace President Trump, has this one little problem that always comes of socialist rule: the locals are fleeing. Now it turns out half the ones who haven't fled are thinking about it.
Just over half of California's registered vote[rs] have considered leaving the state, with soaring housing costs cited as the most common reason for wanting to move, according to a new poll.
Young voters were especially likely to cite unaffordable housing as a reason for leaving, according to the latest latest [sic] UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll conducted for the Los Angeles Times. But a different group, conservatives, also frequently suggested they wanted to leave — and for a very different reason: They feel alienated from the state's political culture.

That just-over-half figure cited by the Los Angeles Times is actually 54%, broken down by 40% Republican and 14% Democrat voters.  They want out and are dreaming of new lives in states where jobs are forming and housing isn't just for billionaires.  Walk around any place in California and recognize that half the people you meet are people who want the hell out.

But it's not just registered voters.  Despite that vast banquet of goodies California has offered to migrants with zero regard to immigration status — sanctuary protection; driver's licenses; automatic voter registration; ballot-harvesting privilegesfree education well beyond K–12; a vast NGO/church network set up with state funds to "serve" illegals; free housing; free health care for the pregnant; no need to learn English; and, coming soon, free health care for illegals up to the age of 26 — even the migrants, both legal and illegal...are fleeing...........To Read More....
 

Monday, September 11, 2017

The Emerging Arab Vote in Congressional Districts

By Jay O’Callaghan and RJ Galliano

The exploding Middle Eastern-North African (MENA) Census Bureau racial population category (if implemented by the Trump administration and Congress) should mean an increase by 2022 of more than the two Muslim Democrats now serving in the U.S. House of Representatives. More than two thirds of Arab Americans live in just ten states: California, Michigan, New York, Florida, Texas, New Jersey, Illinois, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. Metropolitan Los Angeles, Detroit, and New York are home to one-third of their population. So, their voting power goes far beyond its present low percentage of the national population.

Arab Americans are one of the fastest growing ethnic groups in the U.S.

The Arab American Institute (AAI) estimates that more than “3.7 million Americans trace their roots to an Arab country,” while the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey estimates that there are almost two million Americans who claim Arab ancestry. This group has “more than doubled since the Census first measured ethnic origins in 1980 and is among the fastest growing Arab diaspora populations in the world.” It has grown even faster in recent years at a rapidly rising rate of “more than 72% between 2000 and 2010.” The “nationwide Arab American population, adjusting for under-reporting,” is closer to the higher AAI 3.7 million number, which is slightly more than one per cent of the U.S. population. The U.S. Census Bureau’s proposed new Middle Eastern-North African (MENA) racial category should provide a major boost in the numbers claimed by Arab American lobbying groups and community organizers in the upcoming 2020 U.S. Census........To Read More...