Australians shrug at their government’s draconian pandemic response.
Riot police firing rubber bullets into lockdown protesters. Rescue dogs being shot to prevent volunteers travelling to collect them. Nighttime curfews and one hour of exercise per day. Five-kilometer travel limits. Soldiers patrolling suburbs to enforce lockdowns. Health bureaucrats advising the citizenry not to stop and talk to their neighbors while walking their dog.
What the hell is happening Down Under? “Totalitarianism,” says Tucker Carlson. “Australia has lost its collective mind,” according to Ben Shapiro. “If we invade Australia we will be greeted as liberators,” argues Jack Posobiec.
Has Covid-19 really turned one of the world’s oldest democracies into a
dystopian health dictatorship? As my Polish grandmother used to say,
things are rarely as good or as bad as they appear.
First, some background to the current crisis. Australia has been the
victim of both its success and its failure in tackling Covid. At just
under 1,000 deaths, Australia has had the second-lowest mortality among
the OECD countries (after New Zealand). It stands at just over 36
people per million of population, versus 1,853 for the United States.
It helps, of course, to be an island nation that had closed its
international borders at the start of the pandemic. The border remains
closed today, with permits required to come to Australia (issued in
limited numbers and limited circumstances) and to leave it. The few
arrivals are subject to a 14-day quarantine.
In addition, state
governments have from the outset reacted with hard lockdowns and
closures of their own borders. Flattening the curve was so successful
that it prompted the transition to the elimination, or “zero Covid,”
strategy. Hence, nowadays a mere handful of new cases is enough to send a
state capital city with a multimillion population, or even an entire
state, into lockdown in an attempt to contain and suppress an outbreak.
Success in keeping the infection numbers and deaths down has bred
complacency, which in turn has led to failure. Starting late and slowly,
the vaccination program has been plagued by problems, such as the
locally produced AstraZeneca vaccine, on which the federal government
made its big—and sole—bet, generating serious side effects. Such
problems are extremely rare,
to be sure, but in an overall climate of public health hysteria, these
issues proved catastrophic for public confidence. Still, the rollout has
sped up significantly, and the population is approaching an 80 percent vaccination-rate target, lured in part by the carrots of eased restrictions in the future.
To those half-jokingly tweeting about invading and liberating
Australia, I have some bad news: Australia does not want to be
liberated. Strong majorities support the harsh measures. Several state
elections over this time have seen incumbents comfortably reelected on
platforms of acting tough against Covid, amid messaging that those
advocating a lighter touch want to kill your grandma. In Victoria, where
the left-wing Labor government has been by far the harshest and most
trigger-happy—Melbourne has been under “hard” lockdown for more than 200 days
so far—polling suggests only a small dip in support, not nearly enough
to unseat the administration. The consensus can be distilled into the
following: Look at the rest of the world! Our government has kept us
safe so far. We can’t allow what has happened in the United States or
Europe to happen here.
American readers might be surprised at such a supine public attitude
in the face of some of the hardest and longest-lasting Covid
restrictions in the developed world. To the extent that Americans think
of Australia, they might think of a staunch ally in wartime, or perhaps a
relaxed but tough and rough-around-the-edges country that has produced
Crocodile Dundee and a long procession of Hollywood’s leading action
men. All that might be accurate, but the truth is that Australia simply
does not (and never did) possess as strong a libertarian streak as
America. For all the jokes about theirs being a “nation of convicts,”
Australians have always been far more statist and beholden to authority
than Americans.
A powerful coalition of those with the most to lose and those who
have not lost anything is driving the official “zero Covid” fantasy. The
media has piled on, helping the government to terrify the population.
The Fauci Syndrome is strong in Australia, too: health experts and
bureaucrats have tasted unprecedented fame, power, and influence, and
continue to be among the main drivers of the most ridiculous
restrictions. The ever-growing section of society directly or indirectly
dependent on taxpayers for its livelihood has been well care for during
Covid-related upheavals. Those most at risk of death or serious
complications remain strongly supportive of government “protecting” them
from the virus. And the so-called laptop class also hasn’t had a bad
pandemic, with many enjoying being able to work from home.
This leaves a minority of Australians driven to despair by isolation,
lockdowns, travel restrictions, and the disappearance of their
livelihoods. Service industries, particularly hospitality, have been
hardest hit by forced closures and other restrictions. The economy
continues to chug along, as the money printer in Canberra churns out
tens of billions in handouts. The open federal money tap has allowed
state governments, mostly in the hands of the opposition center-Left, to
go to extremes; in any case, the center-Right small-business
constituency is suffering the most. This is not a sustainable strategy,
even if the governing center-Right has largely given up on fiscal
responsibility.
The success in suppressing Covid comes with other price tags. The
single-minded obsession that no one get sick and die from Covid is being
paid for by a slowly unfolding mental-health crisis. Social isolation
and dislocation are taking their toll in terms of rising suicide,
depression, substance abuse, and domestic violence. Physical health
suffers, too, as treatable conditions don’t get treated in the health
system that now seems to have only one goal.
How long can this last? If it was up to the drunk-on-power
politicians and bureaucrats who have found a winning electoral formula,
health experts who have found relevance, and the deathly scared who have
found a sense of safety (and, for some at least, the frisson of being a
part of something big and important), the answer is “forever.” Which is
why the federal government—belatedly trying to orchestrate a return to
some normalcy once certain vaccination levels are reached—finds its
efforts contradicted by state governments and health experts arguing
that the vaccination target actually needs to be (the unreachable and
unrealistic) 90 percent or 95 percent, that lockdowns should continue
even with a highly vaccinated population, and that international borders
should stay closed indefinitely. That this is not great marketing—get
vaccinated, but you still won’t be able to do anything!—needs no genius
to recognize. Sadly, little evidence has materialized of any major shift
in public sentiment. The powers that be still find it easy to taint the
opposition to their “zero Covid” policies as callous, anti-science,
anti-vax, right-wing extremists.
Will people finally start getting restless as the rest of the
developed world slowly returns to normal? Here’s wishing. For now,
Australia remains a salutary lesson—an example of what can happen when
an easily isolated population is subjected to a relentless scare
campaign that plays to existing prejudices and exploits popular
innumeracy and lack of critical thinking. The land Down Under is now a
Galapagos archipelago of fear, on its own evolutionary path to a utopia
where no one ever dies (but terms and conditions apply). Like the
Galapagos tortoise, too, the solution is to withdraw inside its
shell—but let’s hope it’s not for 150 years.
Arthur Chrenkoff is an Australian blogger at The Daily Chrenk.
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