News April 08, 2020 Phil Shiver
Several states who have refused to completely shut down amid the coronavirus, despite mounting pressure from health experts and members of the media to do so, have seen their death toll projections revised downward in recent days.
The new information undermines the notion that a national shutdown is necessary to defeat the virus and supports a geographically flexible approach to social distancing and shutdown measures.
What are the details?
As of Wednesday (April 8), officials in eight remaining states have yet to issue full stay-at-home orders. Those states are Arkansas, Iowa, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming. Officials in three other states — Alabama, Missouri, and South Carolina — only issued stay-at-home orders within the last few days after being resistant to enacting such a measure in the weeks prior.
Conventional wisdom would suggest that those states, due to their inaction, would reap the consequences in the form of higher COVID-19 death toll projections. But that has not been the case.
According to data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, which tracks the coronavirus outbreak in each individual state, predicting its death toll and hospital resource usage, all but one of the states in question have downgraded their death toll projections.
On March 27, the the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation published a study detailing the projected death toll for all 50 states. Listed below are charts showing the March 27 projections alongside the revised projections from Wednesday.
All of the states have had their death toll projections lowered, except one: North Dakota. But it was not immediately obvious as to why North Dakota had its projection raised. As of Wednesday, the state has only reported four deaths as a result of COVID-19.......To Read More....
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