An Analysis: Senate Race 2024 and More

By Rich Kozlovich

There are 33 United States Senate seats up for election in 2024. There are 3 Independent seats (who always caucus with the Democrats, which is why the Democrats have a majority in the Senate) 20 open Democrats, and 10 Republicans.  That seemingly gives the Republicans an edge, 23 Democrat/Independents, versus 10 Republican seats up for grab. 

That's pretty good odds, but let's face it, has there ever been a time when Republicans couldn't snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory?  

Note: I've updated this regularly, but I've left all the speculations and potentials in place to show the events and the time line in place even though some of it's meaningless now.

Democrat/Independent Seats

The Democrat's message amounts to white people are evil, big oppressive government is just being neighborly, you have too much freedom, and vaguely proclaim, "too many politicians in Washington are focused more on the special interests than the interests of the people they’re supposed to represent.”  

What's that mean? 

They don't name names, and they don't tell the world who and why.  And they don't because that's blatant projection on the part of Democrats, and that's not working any longer, because they're absolutely guilty of that which they accuse others. 

1. Arizona, Kyrsten Sinema. She's toast in Arizona's Democrat politics, and is now an Independent.  Kari Lake will beat which ever Democrat is chosen in her place, provided they can stop the corrupt and massive amount of that's gone on in Arizona, which is why she didn't get elected Governor. I list it as going Republican. *Update, 3/5/24:  Sinema has dropped out. (R) Update, 7/31/24: Kari Lake won the Republican nomination.  Ya just gotta hand it to those Republicans.  The Democrat nominee, Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), ran unopposed, Lake had two running against her. (R)  Update:  AZ Uncovers Further 120K Voters Without Citizenship Proof. (R)
   Arizona's Secretary of State has announced the discovery of an additional 120,000 registered voters who lack documentary proof of citizenship, bringing the total to 218,000. The extensive error is attributed to data coding issues involving driver's license information between the Arizona Department of Transportation’s Motor Vehicle Division and the state voter registration databases.  (R)
   
2. California, Dianne Feinstein's Seat. This is California, no Republican can get elected to the Senate from that state, so there's really nothing to analyze here except to note Pencil Neck Schiff isn't doing all that well. Will stay Democrat. *Update, 3/5/24: Republican Garvey leads in polls with 27%, but that lead is against three Democrats, who in combination represent 52% of the voters, and Garvey will not get any of that 52%.  So, unless there's a scandal, and that's a very real possibility, Schiff will win.  But either way, California will still go, (D)
3. Connecticut, Chris Murphy. He's being challenged by a relative unknown, Gerry Smith. Republicans in Connecticut rarely get over 43% of the vote. There are two other Republicans making noise, but they have tens of dollars and Murphy has millions of dollars. Will stay Democrat. (D) 
4. Delaware Tom Carper,  is retiring, and as far as I can tell the Democrat candidates are Lisa Blunt Rochester, and Pamela Brown, and the Republicans have two running, Eric Hansen, and William Taylor. If Delaware wasn't a New England state, I would rate this 50/50. This is Delaware. Joe Biden's corrupt empire, and it will go Democrat. (D) 
5. Hawaii, Mazie Hirono. As far as I can tell, she's running unopposed. Stays Democrat (D) 
6. Maine, Angus King, is an Independent, which means he caucuses with the Democrats. There are two Democrats running against him, Natasha Alcala and David Costello. The Republican running is Demi Kouzounas, but she's been one of those responsible for getting Rona McDaniel elected as head of the RNC. King will get re-elected. (I/D) 
7. Maryland, Ben Cardin, is retiring and as of right now there are six Democrats, one Progressive, two Independents (which actually means there are nine Democrats), and four Republicans. Initially I thought this would stay Democrat, but Maryland Republican Larry Hogan Announces Senate Bid in Blow to Democrats.  - Update, 6/5/24: Hogan is a bit of an odd duck telling voters he's not a reliable Republican vote, but also saying he's not a reliable Democrat vote, but votes on issues not party, and won't go to the Republican convention.  I still give this race an (R).   Update 9/30/24:  Since Hogan has now come out and said he won't vote for Trump, and he's made it clear he's going to fight Trump every step of the way, I think that just changed the odds.  it's now 50/50, and only because, in spite of his stupidity, Trump has endorsed him.  However, I'm inclined to think a lot of Republicans may think it's better to have the adversaries outside rather than inside, polluting the mind of their fellow Republicans, which in some cases won't take much.  Call this a 50/50 may be optimistic.  (R/D) Update 19/7/24:  Well, it's gotten worse with Hogan.  He now says he vote to certify election results, apparently with no questions asked, and he will only vote to confirm a SCOTUS candidate if there's bipartisan consensus.  Which means only Democrat approved nominees.  Since I'm now convinced any conservatives living in Maryland will simply refuse to vote for the John McCain clone, as they refused to vote for McCain, I've decided Maryland will remain (D). 
   
8. Massachusetts, Elizabeth Warren,  is facing Louis Marino (L) Brandon James Griffin (Workers Party) Shiva Ayyadurai (Independent) and four Republicans, Zakhai Akiba, Robert Antonellis, Rebekah Etique, and Aaron Packard.  Warren will be the Democrat nominee, she will win, and Massachusetts will stay Democrat. (D)
9. Michigan, Debbie Stabenow. There are a few third party show ups, and two Republicans. This could go either way, but this is a state that's still passing gun laws SCOTUS has shot down in principle and/or practice, and given the massive and ubiquitous amount of , Stabenow will most likely get it.  Update 3/12/24:  It appears Donald Trump has endorsed a RINO, a Deep State NeoCon RINO named Mike Rogers.  Will he win over Stabenow? In my opinion....No... (D)
10. Minnesota, Amy Klobuchar, has one Democrat running against her, and five Republicans. Berman will be the Republican nominee.  Don't let Klobuchar's cute pictures fool you.  She's a nasty human being, but she's going to win anyway. (D) 
11. Montana, Jon Tester, is the Democrat nominee, and there are four Republicans running.  I gave this a 50/50 until Tim Sheey entered the race.   Donald Trump Endorses Tim Sheehy for Senate in Montana  Exclusive — Montana Senate Candidate Tim Sheehy: Trump’s Endorsement ‘Great Honor’.  This could still go either way, but I'm going to give this to the Republicans.  In this April 10th Update: Tester is caught lying about his support for Biden and illegal immigration.  Democrat Jon Tester Attempts to Distance Himself from Biden in Ad. Tester twice voted against amendments that would have provided funds to U.S. Customs and Border Protection for narcotic and opioid detection activities — once in March 2021 and again in August 2022.  I said this could go either way, but I'm now thinking this will go Republican.  (R) August 15th Update: Montana Republican Senate candidate Tim Sheehy has opened up a six-point lead over Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT), according to a poll that reveals voters trust Sheehy more on key issues. (R)
    
12. Nevada, Jacky Rosen. She has one Democrat running against her, Michael Schaefer, and ten Republicans fighting for the Republican nomination, spending a lot of money fighting each other. Ya really gotta hand it to those Republicans. They really know how to come together to defeat an adversary. This is, in my opinion, a really shaky conclusion, but I'm giving this to the Republicans. (R) Update 4/4/24: We Now Have Another 'Toss-Up' Senate Race.  I already called this for the Republicans, with trepidation, but I think that prediction is now stronger! Update 4/18/24: Nevada: Veteran Sam Brown (R) has a different perspective from those of other pollsters. His internal polling shows him easily winning the nomination for Senate to run against Sen. Jacky Rose.  I'm sticking with my pick.  (R)
13. New Jersey, Robert Menendez. Ya gotta give this guy credit for brass. With all the corruption surrounding him like wolves trying to take down an old and weak buffalo, you'd think he'd go off into the sunset. But....nooooo... He's running to retain his seat. However, there are six Democrats running against him, and two Republicans. Of course, this is New Jersey, another East Coast Land of the Lost, so it really doesn't matter, New Jersey is staying Democrat. The only question is will Menendez be the nominee, and will he be in jail before or after the election? (D) 
14. New Mexico, Martin Heinrich has two independents, two Democrats, and six Republicans running against him. He's a bit of a mystery to me. Actually I never heard of him before this, but he's pure Democrat in all things.  Which clearly demonstrates he has issues. But this is New Mexico where they're a major oil producing state that votes for a Senator who believes in global warming being manmade, and want's to stop using fossil fuels, demonstrating the general IQ in New Mexico is almost as low as it is in California. This will go Democrat.  They deserve this loser, but unfortunately the rest of us have to suffer with them. (D)
15. New York, Kirsten Gillibrand has three independents, five Democrats, which I find interesting since she's another pure Democrat who never saw a leftist narrative or position she couldn't embrace, so what can the Democrats and Independents possibly use against her that would make the leftist nitwits in New York choose them over her? She also has four Republicans running against her, which really doesn't matter. She gets the nod, and gets re-elected. (D) 
16. Ohio, Sherrod Brown has a real problem.  He has three Republicans running against him and all three have a good chance to beat him.  Here's my take on that race and I think Republicans will choose Bernie Moreno because the contrasts between him, Brown and the other candidates is stark, and the endorsements are piling up, including Donald Trump. (R)  Update:  Bernie Moreno is now the Republican candidate.  (R) Update: If Senator Vance becomes Vice President that would create an open Senate seat the Governor would fill via appointment.  It looks to me we'll get rid of one far left Democrat, Brown, and get a left wing RINO on the order of Governor DeWine. It's reported he favors Matt Dolan, the invertebrate owner of the Cleveland Indians who changed the name to the Cleveland Guardians.  Just what the Senate Republicans need, another Collins or Murkowski.  Having said that, no matter who he picks, based on the US Constitution and the Ohio Constitution, depending on the expiration of Vance's term, that appointee will face a special election, with the next general election, but only after first being in office for 18 months.  (R)  Update: I putting this in the 50/50 category now, and I think this might not be a Republican win after all, and if it does become a Republican win it will have to be on Trump's coattails.     (R/D)
    
17. Pennsylvania, Bob Casey.  Rep. Tim Murphy (R-Pa.) resigned from his congressional seat after it was revealed that he had engaged in an extramarital affair. The scandal was compounded by the fact that Rep. Murphy, a staunch defender of the pro-life movement, reportedly encouraged his mistress to get an abortion when they thought she might be pregnant, this resulted in Casey being picked to replace him. Casey is a pure Democrat who never saw a far left item he wasn't in love with.  He's also popular in Pa. for reasons I don't understand, with one Democrat and six Republicans running for that seat.  Casey will win. (D).  Update: Senator Casey was a big supporter of the Iran nuclear deal, and in view of these Iranian missile attacks this is coming back to haunt him. Will it matter? I don't think so because I think voter fraud is so entrenched in Pa. politics it can't be overcome without serious legislative and legal action.  (D). Update: Dave McCormick Lands Blow After Blow in PA Senate Debate Against Bob Casey.  McCormick took Casey's record and brutalized him with it.  Will it matter in Pennsylvania?  I don't think so, and for the same reason I stated already.  I reluctantly, give this a (D).  But, this isn't over yet.  Update: It appears Senator Casey is now disavowing his own voting record, and distancing himself from Kamala and the Democrat party.  I'm still convinced voter fraud will decide this election in Pa., but I'm moving this into the 50/50 category.  (D/R)
    
18. Rhode Island, Sheldon Whitehouse has one Democrat, two independents and two Republicans running. He's a pure Democrat, and this is Rhode Island, he's going to be re-elected. (D) 
19. Vermont, Bernie Sanders has been their guy in Vermont for decades in one form or the other in spite of his views and ideas are blatantly treasonous. He'll be reelected. (  https://townhall.com/tipsheet/madelineleesman/2024/10/04/pa-senaD) 
20. Virginia, Tim Kaine.  There are no Democrats running against him, but there are three Independents and here we go again.....Ten republicans.  Ten mind you, how much money will be wasted there?  Kaine is as far a left lunatic as there is, and I have no idea what Virginians see in him.  This can go either way, and I find it so confusing, I'm going to give this a 50/50.  (D/R) - Update 6/19/24:  Hung Cao Wins Virginia Senate GOP Primary.  I'm now giving this to the Republicans.  (R)
    
21. Wisconsin, Tammy Baldwin, Local NGOs conspiring with Feds to ‘resettle’ Somalis behind the backs of the people and the elected representative.  (D) Update: Wisconsin Team Challenges 11% of Milwaukee Addresses – DNC Quickly Intervenes, Wants Ballots Sent to These Dubious Locations. / This Senate Race Was Never Meant to Be Close. Now Dems Are Freaking Out. With the debate performances by Harris and Walz, and now their blatant disregard for the disaster hurricane Helene caused, I'm putting this on the 50/50 side. (D/R) Update:  It appears in a recent debate Eric Hovde made mincemeat out of Baldwin over residency, and that's now an issue for Baldwin who lives in Wisconsin just like Liz Chaney lived in Wyoming.  However, I think it will still be close, after all, this is Wisconsin, and they don't seem to believe voter fraud is all that bad, so I'm keeping this at 50/50.  But..... Hovde may actually take this seat on Trump's coattails.  (D/R)
    
22. Washington, Maria Cantwell has three Democrats and four Republicans running against her, but this is Washington. A state that thinks riots by Antifa, BLM, and any other insane leftist group that's killing, raping, and burning are mostly peaceful.  Whether she gets re-elected or not is immaterial, this state will continue to stink up Congress with a far left Democrat.  (D)
    
23. West Virginia, Joe Manchin, is done, and isn't running. Like Mitt Romney, he read the tea leaves.  There are seven Republicans, which I find fascinating since a very popular former W.Va. Governor Jim Justice is now running, and the clear pick.  There are three Democrats and one Independent.  I'm giving this to the Republicans, and specifically ex-Governor Jim Justice.  (R)
    

Republican Seats

 Republicans were always a mixed bag.  For years the Democrats made it clear they wanted all of our money and wanted to totally control every aspect of our lives, and they wanted in immediately.  The Republicans were willing to wait a week,  mostly RINO's who merely claimed to be conservatives telling voter they were going to support things to get elected, while never having an iota of intention to do so.     That's changing.  Trump is destroying these invertebrates. As a result of Trump the dominate theme for Republicans is less of what we've had to tolerate, and more of what we should be.  Less taxes, less government, less regulations, less spending, less borrowing.  More economic sanity, pay off the national debt, fix unfunded mandates, and a whole lot more adherence to the Constitution.

1. Florida, Rich Scott.  Talk about a hot race, there are 6 Republicans, 11 Democrats, and 6 also ran parties in this race.  Counting Scott, that's 24 people running for that one Senate seat.  Remarkable! Scott is a pure conservative, and it seems to me he's not a party favorite, and given he's publicly stated the Republican leadership, in particular Mitch McConnell, is destroying the nation, which is understandable, but it's also clear he doesn't care.  Nor is he a DeSantis favorite as he endorsed Trump over DeSantis.  What will the voters think about his stands?  We'll see.  I like him, but either way this will go Republican.  (R)
2. Indiana, Mike Braun isn't running. but there are 2 independents, 1 Libertarian, 5 Democrats, and 6 Republicans running.  Who knows?  But I'm giving this to the Republicans simply because this is Indiana. (R)
3. Mississippi, Roger Wicker has 1 Democrat and believe it or not, 2 Republicans running against him, with a combined war chest of all three being about 25% of Wicker's.  Okay, so, I'm gong to go out on a limb here and say.....Wicker gets this. (R)
4. Missouri, Josh Hawley.  Believe it or not, he actually has 1 Republican running against him.  There are also 4 Democrats and 1 Independent and 1 from the Socialist Equality Party.  Who knew.  Hawley gets it.  (R) 
5. Nebraska, Deb Fischer has 1 independent and two Democrats running against her. She's interesting as she supports term limits for Congress. She's also right on guns, border control, global warming, but shaky on other issues.  She'll win. (R) Update: Never overlook the Republican's ability to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory. It appears this is now a toss up election, with the Independent candidate, who clearly doesn't have a conservative bone in her body, is now in the lead.  I put this at 50/50 but not with the Democrat candidate.   (R/I) Update:  It appears the Independent candidate, a leftist union leader Independent candidate, Dan Osborn, has surged in the polls, and it looks like he will win.  (I)
   
6. N. Dakota, Kevin Cramer has no Republicans running against him, 1 independent and 1 Democrat.  In a state with such a small population of three quarters of a million people, that seems normal.  But I see no reason this isn't going Republican. (R)
   
7. Tennessee Marsha Blackburn is facing 4 Democrats. 1 candidate, Wisdom Zerit Teklay, from the "Wisdom People Party".  Imagine that. No Republicans.  She wins.  (R)
8. Texas, Ten Cruz has 1 Green party, 9 Democrats, and surprisingly, 2 Republicans running against him.  George Soros is totally committed to turn this election over to Democrats, and I'm expecting to see a ton of problems as a result, but in spite of all that, Cruz wins.  (R)  Update: Ted Cruz Faces GOP Rebellion in Texas as Republicans Back Opponent. This is an effort by the Chaney, Kinzinger cabal, and this is still Texas, and I don't think it's going to work.  I'm inclined to think a recommendation by these two misfits is a political death sentence for a Republican.  (R) Update: Cruz is fighting for his political life, and as I've said so often; you can never doubt the Republican ability to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory.  Mitch McConnell controls funding for these elections and has refused to put a dime into Cruz's campaign.  He would rather lose Texas than support someone who has justifiably criticized his actions.  I'm now putting this at 50/50.  (R/D)
   
9. Utah, Mitt Romney, "A Born Loser From the Start, it's high time he stepped down". That was the title of an article in 2020 by Lloyd Billingsley calling Romney “a political outcast..............useful idiot for the defeated Democrats and a traitor to the party he once led in a presidential election”. Also saying this "gutless, sanctimonious buffoon should remove himself from the Senate. As Oliver Cromwell put it,  “In the name of God, go!”  Well, he's done after January 2025 since he's not running again. He read the tea leaves and finds the people of his state agree with Billingsley, and Oliver Cromwell.  As of now there is one Democrat and one Independent running.  But.....get this....there are twelve Republicans.  Twelve!  I just have to say this again.....ya just gotta give it to those Republicans, they really know how to come together to defeat an enemy.  Update:  You just have to wonder what's wrong with the Republicans in Utah.  They couldn't stand Romney any longer, but instead of picking an actual conservative they've picked Rep. John Curtis, another Romney. He's a RINO.   (R)
10. Wyoming, John Barrasso has 1 Republican, and as far as I can tell, there are no Democrats or any other party candidates running against him. Ergo, this will continue to be a Republican seat.  (R) 

So, my conclusion for the Senate (updated 9/30 as a result of Larry Hogan saying he won't vote for Trump.) is there will be at least four Democrat seats that will go Republican, two that may still go Republican and the Republican seats will remain Republican.  If this goes the way I'm predicting what happens on the first day the Senate meets to decide on the party's leadership will be more than interesting. I'm not just expecting to see an explosion, I'm expecting to see a nuclear bomb go off.

But there's so much more to this election.

On February 13, 2024 Lewis Dovland published this piece on American Thinker, Don’t be fooled by apparent Democrat incompetence in the election, saying: 

Are the wheels really beginning to come off the Democrat’s chances of keeping the Presidency in 2024, or is it a ruse? It appears they are behind the eight-ball as to having a winning presidential candidate, but are they really? Do Not Be Fooled............The Democrats eat, sleep, and breathe hard-core politics. Yet their national ‘bench’ of candidates seems empty, seemingly opening the door to a Republican president who could undo their progressive Marxist gains since 2008. Still, they still have some aces up their sleeves and are playing several angles.

I've said in the past the bench of the Democrat party is so weak and shallow, if they're were a professional baseball team they'd be in the basement in the standings.  Which Dovland delves into noting that the Democrats have a conundrum as a party.  They have an incompetent, corrupt, and dumb President who has completely lost what little he had, and a VP who never had it at all, and what to do about it.  Now, there are potentially optional candidates including:

The oleaginous Gavin Newsome..... Valerie Jarrett, Susan Rice, Eric Holder, Hillary, and the Obamas. 

UPDATE 2/26/24:  I would like to draw everyone's attention to this new Democrat Governor of Maryland, Wes Moore! I think he's worth putting on your watch list. He's impressive on a lot of levels, including his record, and so too is his family. He could be the dark horse candidate that's sprung on the Democrats at the convention.  RK

All that's been articulated by a lot of people, but the fact is that "bench" is weak and shallow to the point of being meaningless.  Trying to convince either Biden or Kamala to step away is like spitting in the wind and expecting not to get wet. Both dumb as dirt with egos so large there's insufficient room left in their brains for intelligence, or understanding.  It seems to me Biden will be the nominee because they now don't have a choice, with this exception, which the author discusses saying:

The Democrat primaries are of zero value; the real candidate will be named at the convention.

Update 7/31/24:  Little did anyone know how prescient that statement was since now Joe Biden has been forced out and Kamala Harris has been anointed without one vote being cast in her favor. RK

A nominee named at the convention is exactly what I think will happen, they have no other choice. But all their options are at best weak bench relief pitchers, and not a one of them is a closer and a winner.......except for voter fraud.  

It took massive voter fraud to make Biden President, and things are so bad for the Democrats they will perpetuate an even greater effort at voter fraud in 2024, and I believe it will be so massive they'll make 2020 look legitimate. 

But this administration has been so abysmal, I don't think they can muster enough to keep the White House, but the down card may be different, and that will be the key.  So, here's what I think the back room boys will do.

I think they'll become convinced the White House is gone, and they will do all they can to keep the Senate and take back the House.  So, let's do a little recap. There are 20 Democrat seats, 3 Independent seats, which is in reality Democrat seats, and 10 Republican seats up for grabs in the Senate in 2024.

Update: 10/15/24:  It appears to me, as of right now anyway, the most of Republican seats will remain Republican, but not all, even if there are different faces.  As I pointed out at the beginning, of those 23 D/I seats, as of 10/7/24.

New analysis:  I'm now back to believing there will be 5 Democrat seats that will go Republican one Republican seat that will go Independent, and I've moved another into the  50/50 category, making that 4, and two of those are Republican seats.  Right now there are 48 Democrats, 3 Independents, and 49 Republicans in the Senate, giving the Democrats a one seat majority.  

If the Republicans take the five I'm calling for them, and the four that are tossups go to the Democrats, along with the Independent taking a Republican seat that will make the Senate a 50/50 tie, meaning the Vice President  would be the tie breaking vote in the Senate.   I've come to the conclusion some of these seats will have to be taken on Trump's coattails.   But, since the Democrat/Independent contingent will vote in lock step, and too many RINO's who will typically vote with the Democrats, the Democrats will still control the Senate.  The actual numbers?  50 Democrat/Independents, anywhere from 6 to 10 RINO's at any give time, and 40 Republicans.  That gives the Senate a 60/40 potential edge over the Republicans.

I haven't done an analysis on the House, but the Republican House is filled with brainless, gutless, and feckless nitwits, which seeing it took two attempts to impeach Mayorkas, who was clearly guilty of high crimes and misdemeanors, demonstrates that.  As a result, they could lose the House. 

That means the Democrats will have to focus on the Senate, and if they lose the House, to work to take back, which I think the Republicans are more than capable of doing in spite of their fecklessness.   So we can expect all the chicanery and the massive voter fraud that will occur in 2024 to focus on the down card. Not enough to keep the White House, but enough to take the Congress.

The really big take away is the Democrats are a disaster, and are clearly working to destroy America, and it's institutions, and more are coming to that conclusion. The question is: Can Democrats muster enough fraudulent votes to overcome a massive voter rebellion against their party? Will there be a massive voter revolt against Democrats?   Save the Senate: Repeal the Seventeenth Amendment!

As the journalist in Charlies Wilson's War said: We'll See!

Is it the Drugs? It Must Be the Drugs!

By Rich Kozlovich

On January 22, 2024 Jack Hellner,  who I think is really an excellent writer and one of the best social analysts out there  (clearly a conservative)  published this article, Are Democrats really for a woman’s ‘right’ to choose?, asking if their "rallying cries of “justice” and “freedom” are just catchy slogans perfectly suited for unthinking and manipulatable masses"?  He goes on to say:

If you look far and wide, you won’t find many policies that lend credence to the notion that Democrats really believe that women should have the freedom of choice in how they live their lives..........Democrat policies are not about freedom, they just pervert the word for their agenda; the policies of Trump and other Republicans are better for everyone, but especially women and minorities, because they give more freedom, power, and money to the people.

Whether it's women, or any other demographic in America, it's hard to believe so many Americans still think that's the party of their grandfathers. It's really hard to understand why so many women, especially those who are Jews, Catholics, and blacks remain the backbone of that party. Everything the Democrat party stands for is antithetical to their best interests, both men or women of those demographics. 

Everything they run is a disaster.  They've turned America’s greatest cities into sewers of crime, violence, and economic disaster.  Didn't they notice that?  Yet those residents of those cities keep voting for those who are destroying their cities, forcing them to live lives of fear and trembling.  

In Oakland, California an iconic, successful, and profitable burger joint is closing because their customers are openly being robbed and threatened by thugs and the police are doing nothing about it, and considering the Democrat party's

I really wonder why so many people who have become materially successful, men and women, remain supporters of those who promote central economic planning, much higher taxes, more government control, more government intrusion and interference, unbridled spending, corruption, and a two tiered justice system, and believe all that's good economics?  History has shown....... It isn't..... It's Marxism.

 

Name one nation that embraced Marxism that was successful.  There's not a one.  That's history, that history is openly available and that history is incontestable, and yet there it is, they still give untold millions to the Dems. How did so many ignorant stupid people become so wealthy? 

I offer up Ackman the Barbarian as an example. After their attack on his wife he had a DEI epiphany, and you would think he had become enlightened, but nooooo, he still remains a Democrat giving a million dollars to Dem. Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota, to run against Biden.  A politician from a state that's a hot bed of leftist contamination.  Let's understand this.  Biden isn't the problem, it's the culture he represents, Biden is the symptom.  Even if Phillips changes parties to run on the " ticket, he's still a man of left, and part of the culture of the left.   As Herodotus outlined:  Culture is king, and leftism is Satanic in principle and practice, a culture of hate, envy, greed, lust, and violence.

Anyone who tells me they're an adherent of a "No Labels" political movement, I already know one of three things. They're lying, they're delusional, or their stupid, and probably all three.  And for the leaders of such a movement:  I believe they must be such world class grifters they make "The Yellow Kid", the world's greatest grifter, look honest.

Finally: I wonder how much drugs it takes to maintain that level of delusional stupidity? Otherwise I have no explanation for what's going on in their minds.  It must be the drugs.

New Hampshire: End of the Line!

By Rich Kozlovich 

On January 16th I published this piece, The Fat Lady Sung, And it's Over  saying:

"It ain't over till the fat lady sings"!  Well, the fat lady sung, and it's all over in Iowa, and Donald Trump won massively...."

What I should have titled that piece as, "It's Now Over, Period!"

There was a lot of talk about how cold it was in Iowa, and because there was so much snow many would stay home and not vote.  Where do these people live?  Iowa, just like Ohio, gets a lot of cold days and lot's of snow, and guess what?  They don't stay home, they're used to it, they know how to navigate it.  

As for the outcome, that was as predictable as night follows day, and if DeSantis and Haley had any class at all, they would have dropped out afterward just like Vivek did.  But they didn't because unlike Vivek, they've been attacking Trump making all sorts of claims, sounding more like Democrats than Republicans. 

DeSantis was already in trouble having to lay off staff , and neither he nor Haley got a Gary Hart bounce from Iowa.  DeSantis' polls are now in the toilet with Haley's polls not much better.

DeSantis claims he made mistakes in Iowa but the fact is, what he did, didn't do, or could have done, wouldn't have mattered.  Nothing can save him.  O'Reilly claims his problem was he's the worst campaigner since Herbert Hoover’.   I disagree.  

He lost because he betrayed the conservative base by running in the first place, and then criticized Trump's policies, successful policies, and in effect denigrated and insulted the base.  He made himself high smelling and low down to conservatives.  

 

He then had the nerve to claim the Democrats want Trump to be the nominee, which seems to me he's saying you must vote for me because Biden can beat Trump but he can't beat me.  Yeah, right, and I think he just might believe that.  That's the kind of thinking that occurs when listening to sycophants and hearing only what one wants to hear, failing to understanding what people really want, and what's really happening. 

 

I've said from the beginning I have no idea what was going on in his mind deciding to run against Trump.  Unlike Haley, he could have had a chance in 2028.  If he had waited that time could have given him a priceless opportunity to build a real and broad political base for such a run, and it's likely Trump would have helped him, or at the very least not opposed him.  As it were, he was sounding more and more like a Liz Cheney Never Trumper, along with both George Conway and Mitt Romney who think it's the Trump supporters who are out of touch with reality.   He's toast, and from now on.

 

Nikki Haley claimed Iowa was an aberration, and the media claimed the problem was that there were just entirely too many white people and Christians living in Iowa.  Outrageous!  How dare they vote for Trump?  Haley was sure New Hampshire was going to correct that aberration.  Well, she's wrong, and she's crashing in the New Hampshire polls also.  Hannah Bleau Knudson saying Trump towers over Haley.

Why? 

Well, Haley has no real following among conservatives in America.  For one thing she gushes over misanthropes like Bill Gates, and she's weak on every conservative issues of concern. She's sounds more like a Democrat, or at the very least a "Me Too" Republican.  

"She supports open borders. She is a supporter of amnesty. She was opposed to President Trump’s border wall in 2015. She had the audacity to say that in many cases, quote, ‘Illegal immigrants are more patriotic than American citizens.’ She also said illegal immigrants are not criminals. By definition, they are in fact criminals, and they are wreaking havoc on American communities every single day."

It's also clear her support really is coming from Democrats, and neo-con Never Trumpers.  She's "their" Republican candidate.  Her big donors are as delusional as Haley, pushing Democrats to switch parties in order to vote for her.  And as always, the Democrats just can't take a chance on fair play and actually letting the masses express their views, after all, they might not have the right view. 

How do people that stupid get so wealthy? 

There's talk claiming her refusal to attend another debate is big negative for her campaign.  Horsepucky.  It seems to me she realizes it just doesn't matter.  Plus, she's not very good at it.  With all the negatives her opponents keep beating her with, why bother?  And no matter what the the pundits are saying failing to do another debate won't have a thing to do with keeping her in the race. She's toast, and from now on.

At the beginning of this campaign I wondered if her past history of infidelity was going to become an issue.  I knew about that, and even posted articles dealing with it years ago, but Trump certainly couldn't bring this up with his history.  I am a bit surprised it's coming up now, except South Carolina is next, and when she was Governor, her infidelity was common knowledge in her state.  

If she stays in, I'm betting that was going to be discussed with Republicans in that state.  But no matter, even Governor Sununu, who shot off his Never Trumper mouth about how she was going to crush Trump, and how damaging Trump is to the party and to the nation, is now forecasting her loss in New Hampshire. 

As Jack Hellner over at American Thinker observed, Nikki Haley and the Never-Trumpers couldn’t be more wrong about Trump saying:

He's "not a loser and has not harmed the Republican Party; he has given it a backbone, and his policies are popular because they were very successful."  

We'll come back to that, but let's start with the fact Joe Biden isn't Trump’s real opponent, and the more they attacked him, and the more they corrupted the legal system against him simply solidified their support because American's hate cheaters and bullies.

"Biden is a symptom, not a cause of America’s illness.  The cause lies in the embrace by the Democrat party of a Marxist/fascist hybrid collectivism, to be elevated by any means necessary..............Our enemies are within the gates; indeed, they have taken control of the gates and are opening them wide to nearly every external threat they can find.  They’re fully aware of the catastrophic consequences to our nation of their treachery and accepting of it as simply the cost of “fundamental transformation.” ..............Trump is the disruptor of all this.  He’s the only true threat to the existence and further hegemony of the “uniparty.”  However, unless we aim him toward the true enemy — the Democrat party as a whole....."

 

Steve McCann noted in his article, Donald Trump and the Fate of the Nation:

 

No American president since Abraham Lincoln has ever carried more scars of office than Donald Trump. However, it is these scars of battle, his larger-than-life persona, and the reality of dealing with a well-armed Democrat war machine that Trump, if he accepts the nomination, will face in November of 2024. Thus, thrusting him into a win or be solely responsible for the fate of nation situation.............There can be no question that Donald Trump harbors a deep affection for this country and its people. He, therefore, is well aware of the dire consequences for this nation and his legacy if he loses. It is vital that Trump, despite his ongoing legal battles, begins to immediately focus on doing everything he can to ensure a victory in November...........

 

Decades of leftist leadership is destroying America, but that can be reversed with strategic leadership. 

 

Without a monolithic black vote, Democrats can't get elected, and we're seeing a surge in black voter support for Trump.   Senators like Ted Cruz are endorsing Trump, and the big hit came when Senator Tim Scott's endorsed Trump.  He's black, he's Republican, he's conservative, he was initially a candidate, and he's from South Carolina where Haley was governor.  If she stays in, she'll be humiliated in South Carolina.  The fact is, Donald Trump owns the Republican party, so get over it, because the fat lady sung, and it’s over!!! 

 

Update:  DeSantis has dropped out and endorsed Trump.  He went on to say:

 

......that he "signed a pledge to support the Republican nominee, [and he] will honor that pledge....because we can't go back to the old Republican guard of yesteryear — a repackaged form of warmed-over corporatism that Nikki Haley represents.....The days of putting Americans last, of kowtowing to large corporations, of caving to woke ideology are over,"................

 

At this point I'm not going to beat on him, because I think that would be really tacky, but, as the reporter in Charlie Wilson's War said:  We'll see!  

 

As for Nikki, she says, ‘May the Best Woman Win’........

The Fat Lady Sung, and It's Over!

By Rich Kozlovich

"It ain't over till the fat lady sings"!  Well, the fat lady sung, and it's all over in Iowa, and Donald Trump won massively, which outraged Rachel Maddow saying Trump is a dangerous fascist, but his supporters are even worse.  Imagine that!  And why are they worse?  According to that MSNBC's resident racist, Joy Reid, Iowa has entirely too many whites and Christians. Imagine that. 

I often wonder if these nitwits even know what the definition of fascism is, because if they don't that means they're stupid.  If the do, and yet keep making that claim, it means they're deliberately lying and stupid.

Well, Maddow has just under 4 million viewers, and in a nation of 332 million people that means 328 million people didn't hear a thing she said, and the ones who did, already believed her nonsense, and like her, they're either stupid, or stupid liars.    So, who cares what she thinks?  And if I didn't read news sites I couldn't have known what she said, and I was even surprised to find she's still on the air. 

Let's start with Chris Christie.  Even as stupid as he is, he knew what was coming and no matter what he would say afterwards, it wouldn't erase the humiliation of getting almost no votes, and finally did something smart for a change, and dropped out ahead of time. Something former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson failed to do and got less than 1% of the vote, even less than Ryan Binkley, and I have no idea who he is, but he got .07%.  How much less did Hutchinson get?  I have no idea, but get this:

“We plan on going to New Hampshire. I’ve got my flight booked there. But we’re going to reevaluate after this evening. We’ll see where we finally end up and if we’ve got the strength to carry on this campaign beyond Iowa,” Hutchinson told KCCI in Des Moines.

Remarkable, what's going on in this nitwit's head?

As for As of 11:30 pm ET, last night with 95% of the vote counted, Trump had 51.0%, Ron DeSantis came in a distant second, 21.3% and Nikki Haley getting 19.1%, and Vivek Ramaswamy also ran.  He ended up with 7.7%.  He wisely ended the pain, and I'm a bit surprised he didn't finish closer to Haley as he beat her up badly during the campaign. 

While Vivek Ramaswamy has dropped out, he has given his full endorsement to Trump, and Trump is being gracious in return saying, "He did a hell of a job".  Not only did he call Trump to tell him he was out and fully supporting him, he'll be appearing with him to campaign in New Hampshire. 

He'll get a spot in the administration if he wants it, no matter what he's said about that in the past.  Perhaps being appointed to be the "Gut the Deep State Czar" might be a good spot, especially to see who and what he really is, which I think was the knock on him.  He had history that concerned conservatives.   I found that whole campaign bizarre to tell you the truth, but then again, I've found this entire run by Republicans bizarre, especially DeSantis.   What is going on in their heads? 

DeSantis came in second, a distant second, and whined about it trying to put a smiley face on this failure for his staff.  Even claiming the media was in the tank for Trump.  Huh?  The media's in the tank for Trump?  Ya just gotta be kidden me!  He can't really believe that...can he?  If he does it further shows he's delusional, which I've believed from the beginning of his campaign, and he's toast from now on nationally.  However, at this point it seems clear he plans of staying in the race.  

I think that's called masochism?  

Talking about masochism, there's Nikki Haley, who practically groveled to the Iowa voters and they dumped her into third position, and probably only did as well as she did because Democrats could vote in the Iowa Republican primary, which is stupid, and she's the Republican candidate for Democrats.

Now she's dissing them and saying New Hampshire will correct these Iowa nitwits, and she's getting support from Never Trumpers Bill Kristol, and Governor Chris Sununu.  Now, let's see a show of hands on how many conservatives will change over to Haley due to those endorsements!  She actually thinks these Iowa results make this a two person race.  She must think Trump is going to drop out.  

Here's a thought worth noting.  Combined, DeSantis and Haley spent 72 million dollars, far more money than Trump to come in a far second and third.  Where's that money coming from?

Rand Paul has been ripping Haley, but Sununu says no one in America cares what Rand Paul thinks about Nikki Haley. Really?  Well here's what he thinks, Here, Here, and Here, and it ain't pretty.

Which in effect, affirms what I said from the beginning, she's not to be trusted.  While she seemed to have been outstanding as the Ambassador to the United Nations, she proved to be a leaky vessel, and turned on Trump for reasons I never understood, although here are her excuses, which I think tells the whole story on Nikki Haley.  

I think she's a as slippery as an eel, unwilling to state a man can't be a woman, and is on board with the climate change climatistas, and is weak on every issue that's important to conservatives.  She's a "make believe conservative", all too common among Republicans, and if Nikki Haley, is the Establishment’s last hope, they're toast.  But here's a thought worth exploring.

Final thought.  I've said over and over again I have no idea what's going on in the heads of these two nitwits.  If DeSantis had stayed out of it he had a chance in 2028, and he's still young enough, but Haley was toast from the beginning because she's shown just how untrustworthy she is.  Who were these two listening to?  Why would they believe they actually had a chance against Trump? 

Answer?   They weren't connected to the base, and isolated themselves in a echo chamber of head nodding self promoters, and now both are toast nationally, and DeSantis will be another also ran former governor like John Kasich who no one wants anything to do with, except the main stream media who trots him out like the talking head he is to smear Trump.  

The only political future I see for all these people is the No Labels Party, better named the No Future Party.