The UK, The 2024 Election, and The Collapse.

By Rich Kozlovich 

When the last election ended in the EU on June 30, 2024 I made a lot of observations, and predictions, (make sure to follow that link as there's much more there) which included my thoughts on the EU, France, Germany, the Nordic nations, and the UK, where-in I stated the Tories were going to be wiped out, and they were, and for all the right reasons,which I listed in that article.

1. Tories Got Immigration Wrong
2. Innocents knifed to death in the United Kingdom

So, why did the Brits vote in Labour instead of the Reform Party?   

Data Shows Farage’s Reform Supporters Are Actually The Only Ones NOT ‘Protest Voting.’ Polling data on the July general election in Britain reveals that most voters who voted for the Labour Party did so to get the Conservatives out of power, while those who voted for Nigel Farage's Reform Party did so because they actually believed in the party's positions. 

As reality set in the Tories decided maybe the Reform Party wasn't so bad after all, and wanted to strike a deal.  Yeah, right!   ‘Don’t Trust Them’ — Nigel Farage Rules Out Any Deal with Tories, Declaring Reform Party ‘Here to Stay’

 

I said with the Labour party taking over, believing their own press that they had a mandate, they would push all the far left agendas regarding energy, globalism, global warming, green agenda, immigration, their insane fight against Islamophobia, while Muslims are raping, robbing, and murdering innocent Brits, in total disregard for the rights of the Brits.  They're promoting antisemitism, transgenderism, anti capitalist economics, and it wouldn't be long before this far left government would destroy the UK economically, which was predicted, socially, culturally, and philosophically, and all of this would soon outrage the Brits.  And it's happening.

1. Starmer Suffers Worst Approval of Any New British Prime Minister in Half Century 
2. Left-Wing Starmer’s Britain Sees Economy Shrink Again
3. In the UK, death by physician
4. Now Britain’s Socialized Health Service Is Defending Pakistani Cousin Marriage
5. UK Must Avoid Complicity in CCP’s Forced Organ Harvesting, Says Rights Panel
6. British NHS Hospital ‘Accidentally’ Chops Off 6 People’s Limbs in 3 Years
7. The most popular boys’ name in England and Wales sounds the UK’s death knell
8. Great Replacement: White British Set to Become Minority  
9. Support For UK Labour Govt’s Agenda Plunges
10. UK Cut Fuel Payments to Seniors, Sent Money to Gaza
11. Eyewitness Report: Inside the U.K.’s Grand Islamist Festival of Contempt
12. UK government accused of covering up jihad terror ties of Southport suspect
13. Leading Labour MP Quits Party over ‘Off the Scale’ Sleaze Shown by Starmer 
14. Deported Albanian Criminal Sneaks Back into U.K., Wins Right to Stay as ‘Refugee’
15.  Study: U.K. Home to the Most Illegal Aliens of Any Country in Europe
16. Eco-Madness: Leftist UK Gov’t Green Housing Demands Could Cost Up To £36 Billion
17.  Britain’s New ‘Asylum’ Minister Just Attacked Donald Trump… It Didn’t End Well for Her.
18. UK: Judge Orders Victim of Pakistani Grooming Gang to Delete Her Request to Have Her Rapists Deported
19. British invasions, then and now 
20. Record Number of Millionaires Set to Flee Britain over Taxes
21. UK ‘Keyboard Warrior’ Sentenced to 3 Years in Prison over Posts Made on X  
22. Leftist UK Gov’t to Treat ‘Extreme Misogyny’ Like Terrorism: Report
23. Thought Crime: UK’s New Leftist Govt To Ban ‘Silent Prayer’ Near Abortion Clinics.
24. UK 1984: Gov’t to Encourage Police to Mass Record ‘Non-Crime Hate Incidents’: Report 
25. UK Riots: 11-Year-Old Child Arrested
26. U.K. Riots: Man Acquitted for Spreading Misinformation… in Pakistan?
27. Britain, Which Birthed American Ideas About Liberty, Has Embraced Despotism
28. Britain’s Labour Party Demands Decade in Power, Promising MASSIVE Tax Hikes – Just Like Kamala!
29. Netanyahu Reacts to UK Decision to Suspend Some Arms Exports to Israel
30. Man Jailed For 2 Years Over Stickers as PM Whines About ‘Democracy’
31. Tyranny in Britain 
32. No Farmers, No Food’ — UK Farmer Tractor Protest Descends on Labour Party Conference
33. The Birmingham Church of England no longer believes in Christ  
34. Church of England Priests Told to Change ‘Problematic’ Christmas Hymns: Report

And of course as with all leftists, nothing is ever their fault, as Starmer Blames Brexit for Turning Britain Into ‘Open Borders Experiment’.

This far left insanity isn't sitting well with a lot of Brits, and the contamination fills the entire structure of British governance.  There Will Not Always Be an England:

For many people, the nation-state is no longer the primary identity, but international relations are still based on Westphalian norm of theoretically sovereign states. And yet, today’s political orthodoxy requires that Western states be for everyone.....who control it force you to live under their tribal preferences even in “your own country.”

Working-class whites recently rioted in Britain after a Rwandan murdered three white girls. The Labour government and allied journalists seemed far less angry about the murders than about the riots......the government has arrested more than a thousand people, charged hundreds, and already sentenced some.  Prime Minister Keir Starmer harshly denounced the rioters and showed no sympathy for their concerns...[the] government..... pledged to empty prisons. However, after the riots, the government has captured, tried, and convicted its enemies with remarkable speed. Many did not even riot.

Judge Francis Rafferty said that even those who just watched a riot will be refused bail..... The same judge sent a man to prison for eight weeks for posting messages with images of Asians men, along with the message, “coming to a town near you.” The same judge spared a man who downloaded “indecent child images” because he supposedly showed “remorse.

On December 7th, 2024, Eric Utter published this piece on American Thinker, The ‘Second Battle Of Britain', saying:

Britain is slipping away. The progenitor of the free world, the United States included, is barely recognizable these days. Lack of reverence for life and an equally troubling tolerance for extreme antisemitism have combined with an almost total intolerance for those who oppose these evils to cast a malevolent pall over the U.K. 

It is not only life and Judaism that are threatened. Christianity is increasingly under assault, as well. The English Football Association (EFA) recently issued a ‘warning’ to one of its players for having the temerity to write “I Love Jesus” over his league-mandated rainbow flag armband. Meanwhile, another league player, who is a practicing Muslim, flatly refused to wear the rainbow armband altogether…with nary a complaint from the same association.

 In related news, a Catholic woman from Northern Ireland was recently convicted of praying in a ‘buffer zone’ outside an abortion mill. Convicted of praying. (She’s probably lucky she didn’t get life in prison, as she also held up a pro-life sign.)

He ends his commentary with these words:

 If it does not, somewhere, Churchill may be heard to utter, “Never in the field of human conflict have so many so cravenly surrendered to so few.”

If Winston Churchill was alive today, and saying the things he said then, he'd be in jail.   But Starmer thinks the UK should have a strong relationship with Communist China, and no one wants to put him in jail.  If he was alive and said this absolutely accurate description of what Islam brings to the world, all of the UK would have broken out in massive waves of violence:

“How dreadful are the curses which Mohammedanism lays on its votaries! Besides the fanatical frenzy, which is as dangerous in a man as hydrophobia in a dog, there is this fearful fatalistic apathy. Improvident habits, slovenly systems of agriculture, sluggish methods of commerce, and insecurity of property exist wherever the followers of the Prophet rule or live. A degraded sensualism deprives this life of its grace and refinement; the next of its dignity and sanctity. The fact that in Mohammedan law every woman must belong to some man as his absolute property - either as a child, a wife, or a concubine - must delay the final extinction of slavery until the faith of Islam has ceased to be a great power among men.

Individual Moslems may show splendid qualities. Thousands become the brave and loyal soldiers of the Queen: all know how to die. But the influence of the religion paralyses the social development of those who follow it. No stronger retrograde force exists in the world. Far from being moribund, Mohammedanism is a militant and proselytising faith. It has already spread throughout Central Africa, raising fearless warriors at every step; and were it not that Christianity is sheltered in the strong arms of science - the science against which it had vainly struggled - the civilisation of modern Europe might fall, as fell the civilisation of ancient Rome.”

I also stated that Farage's Reform Party would be come ascendant.  Well, that's happening also.

1. Farage’s Reform Party is Now Larger Than the Centuries-Old U.K. Conservative
2. Musk to Give $100 Million Farage’s Party?
3. Starmer wants new law to block Elon Musk from donating to Nigel Farage.
4. Can Farage Be Prime Minister? Yes, but a Lot of Things Have to Happen First
5. Farage ‘Absolutely’ Will Be Next Prime Minister, Predicts Reform Chairman as Party Surpasses Labour in Poll 
6. Farage’s Reform Party Gains Ground, Winning Another Seat From Labour
7. Is Britain getting ready for a Trump of its own?
8.  Farage: Conversation About Migrant Crime in Britain Has ‘Barely Started’, Demands UK ‘Get Tough’ Like Germany
9. In the U.K., Nigel's party is now bigger than the Tories  
10. Reversing the United Kingdom’s Death Spiral
11.  Jihad Never Sleeps Bruce Thornton
    

One more thing. Now that North Africa is facing a massive six year drought, and the many years of mismanagement, corruption, and a general round of incompetence of their governments, these nations are in trouble dealing with their food needs, all of which has been exacerbated by the Russo/Ukraine War as Ukraine was a major supplier of grain to Europe , Africa, and the Middle East.  Immigration issues are going to become even more pronounced. 

Let's add Ireland to this mix since the Irish are committing genocide against themselves. and it's difficult to understand Ireland's antisemitic foolishness, and they're not alone among European nations, and take notice no matter what western nation these Muslims invade violence and rape follows like night follows day.

1. The Second Irish Famine Will Be ‘Green’ - With kids going hungry, Gov wants to cull 10% of Ireland’s cattle for ‘climate targets’.  Environmentalism is just genocide misspelled. For Nuala O’Connor, a chef at a Barnardos centre in Dublin, food poverty in a young child is sometimes less about what they look like, and more about what they do. “Sometimes you just know by looking at them, that they are not getting what they need,” she said. “Then we have had children over time [who are] literally ravenous, literally taking it with their hands, they can’t get enough of it into their mouths and can’t get it in quick enough." Children are hungry. Time to get rid of the meat. Maybe if they’re hungry enough, they’ll eat more environmentally friendly bugs..................
2. Irish Pastor Prosecuted for Preaching Truth
3. Dead Girls, Islamic Terror and Government Crackdown
4. Ireland is on the verge of enacting the most draconian anti-speech law in the West
5. Ireland’s Corporate Tax and the Laffer Curve
6. The Virtuous Circle of Ever-Lasting Expansion of Domestic Demand and Labor Supply Is Broken: Yes, Ireland Really Is Dying

And closer to home, Michigan won’t be Michigan for much longer. 

Update, 12/31:  ‘There’s a Buzz’ — Nigel Farage’s New Year Message: We Can Make Britain Great Again

Oil: The Storm Before the Really Big Storm

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By Peter Zeihan on April 21, 2020 @ Peter Zeihan on Geopolitics 

West Texas Intermediate, the oil grade most associated with American production, plunged down to -$40 April 20. You read the right. For a while yesterday, sellers had to pay people forty bucks to take a barrel of crude.

As with any product, the business of oil isn’t a once-and-done. It must be produced, shipped and processed, and then the refined product must be shipped and retailed. What happened April 20 is a bottleneck in that process. Production surged ahead of pipeline shipping capacity, leaving some producers with nowhere to put their crude.

The real kicker is that this is not the “negative prices” outcome I predicted a couple weeks back. “All” the April 20 event was was a single facility in a single country running out of future leased storage capacity for the month of May. The April 20 price crash will happen again in the same place and it will be bigger: June WTI futures contracts are now spazzing, and America’s Cushing oil storage and transport nexus undoubtedly will be actually full by then. But even this is nothing but the warmup for the big show.

That will happen when the world runs out of storage.

Numbers are fuzzy in this corner of global oil markets. In part because everyone classifies and categories their oil storage capacity differently. In part because they should (gasoline storage is functionally different from raw oil storage). In part because some countries don’t share data because they’re lazy or secretive. But no one thinks there’s a whole lot of storage capacity left. Global oversupply of crude right now is over 20mpbd (with 30mbpd seeming to be the “average” guestimate). Most folks in the know are now musing that what storage remains will be filled up completely sometime in May or early-June.

And filled up it will be, because that is the express goal of the world’s largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia. The Saudi price war started out as a spat with the Russians over carrying the burden of a production cut. It has since expanded into the Saudis targeting the end markets of every single one of what the Saudis’ consider to be inefficient producers. The Saudis are directly targeting markets previously serviced not just by US shale and Russian, but those serviced by Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan and Libya and Iraq and Iran and Malaysia and Indonesia and Mexico and Norway and the United Kingdom and Nigeria and Chad and you get the idea.

As of this morning, there are still at least 24 supertankers carrying at least 50 million barrels of Saudi crude en route to the U.S. Gulf Coast. Most will arrive in May, seeking to fill up as much of what remains of U.S. storage as possible. Similar volumes are in route to Europe and even bigger volumes to Northeast Asia. In most cases the destinations are the transshipment nodes that enable distribution of inland-produced oil to coastal locations: Rotterdam, Suez, Singapore, Korea.

Assuming you’ve got deep pockets, and Saudi Arabia’s are some of the world’s deepest, it isn’t a stupid strategy. If the Saudis can push prices firmly negative, it will absolutely crush many of the world’s energy producers. My back-of-envelope math suggest some 20 million barrels per day of production capacity – one-fifth of global output – will go offline for years. And then Riyadh will have what it wants: the ability to raise prices as much as it wants and to reign supreme over the world of oil for at least several years. (There are still a veritable swarm of flies that will need to be dealt with in that particular ointment, but the Saudi plan seems sure of generating plenty of ointment nonetheless.)

The WTI price crash on April 20 confirms that if the Saudis didn’t realize the potential for their strategy’s explosive success before, they certainly do now. They have no reason to back down.

There are a few producers worthy of callouts.

• Canada’s Alberta province has the most to lose. Not only landlocked, it must sell all its oil into the American market that is already so saturated. Its production must be shut in for years.
• Venezuela was facing civilizational collapse due to mismanagement before oil prices tanked. As oil is the government’s only remaining income stream, this marks the end of Vene as a country.  Its oil will not come back for at least a decade, and even then only if an outside power first physically invades the place to rebuild the country from scratch.
• America’s sanctions regime against Iran has been so successful the country isn’t an oil exporter any longer. Its output will absolutely collapse this summer, and the country lacks the funds to bring in foreigners to help restart it or the skills to do the work itself.
• Russian fields are in swamps and permafrost. Drilling is only possible during the winter. Any shut-ins means the wells freeze solid, necessitating completely new drilling. Last time this happened it took the Russians nearly 15 years to get production back.
• Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan are both dependent upon other countries (in some cases, Russia) to transit their crude to market. High production costs plus finicky neighbors equals long-haul shut-ins.
• Nigeria is a mess on a good day, and the supermajors who have made Nigerian output possible have steadily moved offshore to get away from the chaos and violence. Once they turn off their wells, they won’t even consider returning until global prices rise to the point that they are once again willing to subject their staff to frequent kidnapping. That’s several years off.
• Iraq has been in a state of near civil war for some 15 years. The country is now producing over 4mbpd, the income of which helps hold the place together. Negative prices will remove the “near” from the country’s political condition and (at best) make the place a ward of the Arab states of the Persian Gulf.

It is also worth noting that the speed that this could all go from head-spinning to head-chopping is intensely short. Right now there’s still a fair amount of spare oil tankers to shuttle about the world. The Saudis have been leasing out every tanker they can find, so before long all the the world’s tankers will be full as well.

Oil has been a panacea for all sorts of inefficient, compromised, and in some cases evil regimes for decades. Huge demand in the West and Northeast Asia allowed a raft of previously insignificant or morally reprehensible leaders and societal situations to effectively print dollars out of the ground and count the industrialized world as a hungry customer. Not anymore. Demand patterns have shifted, the United States is now an exporter of crude oil and products, and the petro-economy that has kept ayatollahs and ideologues afloat is crumbling. Before anyone cheers it’s worth remembering that things will get a lot uglier before they have any hope of improving.

For a good idea as to the flavor of ugly, my new book Disunited Nations has full chapters on three of the world’s most distorted and bizarre oil-based economies: Russia, Iran and Saudi Arabia. Their struggle with the world-to-come is going to be a crazy ride.

Join Peter Zeihan and Melissa Taylor April 30th for an in-depth discussion and presentation on the impact of COVID-19 on global agricultural production and the stability of the world's food supply.

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