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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Friday, June 26, 2020

Video: How can we figure out the real fatality rate of COVID-19 and how lethal it is?

Wessam Atif | June 11, 2020



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Dr. Wessam Atif breaks down what we do and don’t know about the worldwide death rate, or case fatality rate, from COVID-19. The problem with simply compiling the rates published by the world’s nations is that they don’t always know what they are doing — and those stats may be calculated differently from nation to nation. “News flash: These numbers are mostly flawed and inaccurate,” Atif says in the video.

A more effective way to get a handle of the death rate is to study the case of the Diamond Princess cruise ship and its 3,711 passengers. This ship was quarantined in Japan during the early stages of the pandemic, creating what some see as a perfect environment for studying the virus. Among its attributes, according to Atif:
  • Whole population
  • Almost like a small village
  • No ethical concerns
  • Locked in with a virus for weeks
  • Everyone was tested
  • No other variables or confounding factors
  • Naturally randomized
“As a public health professional, this is by far the best type of study I could dream of,” he said.


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