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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Saturday, November 3, 2018

2018 looks like a different midterm to me

By Silvio Canto, Jr. November 3, 2018

We've heard for years about "first midterm blues" -- the president losing seats after his election. Recently, we saw it with  President Clinton in 1994 and President Obama in 2010

We did not see it with President Bush in 2002 but maybe that was an outlier or related to the patriotic reaction after 9/11. What happens in 2018? For some time, we've been hearing about "the blue wave". However, in recent days, we are hearing of a GOP enthusiasm boost that could make comparisons to the past useless.

The first obvious sign of a GOP boost is the U.S. Senate. As of today, Nevada is the only seat that the Democrats could flip. On the other hand, North Dakota and Missouri look like GOP flips. Indiana and Montana could flip to the GOP, too. In a worst case scenario, the GOP could end up with 52, or 55 in a best case scenario. I won't mention New Jersey, Michigan, and Florida where a surprise could also bring us a GOP victory............. Read more.........

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