Real crises end with a solution. Fake crises end when they become a real crisis.
Black
Lives Matter began as a fake crisis that used out-of-context viral
video clips to falsely claim that police shootings of innocent black
people were a national crisis. Black Lives Matter became a real crisis
when its riots looted, burned, and beat their way across major cities.
at the end of July asked voters which issues were most important to them when deciding who to vote for the big office in 2020.
59%
of voters said that violent crime was very important and another 27%
said that it was somewhat important. Racial and ethnic equality had
fallen behind with 52% of voters calling it very important and another
28% describing it as somewhat important.
86% of voters see
violent crime as a significant presidential election issue while 80% are
touting Black Lives Matter. The structural difference here is bigger
than that 6%. While Black Lives Matter has benefited from a non-stop
media push, violent crime has been lightly covered.
issue for voters, slightly behind the coronavirus, would be baffling to anyone who gets their reality from the media.
That
86% of voters aren’t worried about crime based on what they see in the
media, but because they feel personally threatened by what’s going on in
their own neck of the woods.
There is a huge difference between supporting BLM in the abstract or fearing crime personally.
The
Pew map of voter concerns shows that the election issues are tilting
away from big picture abstractions and are being dominated by concrete
issues that affect voters personally. With the exception of Supreme
Court appointments, the top 5 issues, the economy, health care, the
pandemic, and violent crime, are about the things that personally worry
Americans.
Meanwhile the abstractions have fallen off the
pyramid, with racial and ethnic equality coming in seventh place,
economic inequality, a Democrat favorite, falling to ninth, and climate
change and abortion coming in in the tenth and eleventh spots. All of
this is bad news for the Dems.
As the DNC convention approached, the creaky messaging machine had tilted against the riots.
The
New York Times and the Washington Post officially ended the embargo by
running negative stories about white BLM activists in Seattle, Portland,
and Washington D.C. And the media and Democrat officials began openly
voicing concerns that the violence would hurt their chances.
"The rioting has to stop," CNN's Don Lemon intoned, while writing
a proposed speech for
Biden to deliver on the air. "As you know and I know, it's showing up
in polls, it's showing up in focus groups, it is the only thing right
now that's sticking. And the Democrats are stuck with it.”
They are indeed stuck with it.
Mayor
Ted Wheeler of Portland, which has seen some of the worst of the
violent rioting, appeared to suggest that nothing was working, and
that it "will ultimately burn itself out."
The people whose businesses are being burnt out may be less sanguine about the crisis.
But
the Democrats have no answers to offer. Even those national figures who
didn’t explicitly embrace police defunding, a suicidal and unpopular
political strategy, can’t push too hard against it because a sizable
section of their activist base and media have been radicalized.
Democrat
efforts to split the difference, limiting police defunding measures and
playing numbers games, only led to more direct harassment with BLM
contingents showing up at their homes at night, yelling, screaming, and
intimidating elected officials. The pressure may not result in the
actual elimination of the police that the hate group’s activists demand,
but they ensure that the Democrats will continue trying to square the
circle, split the difference, and avoid a decision.
More
crucially, the Democrat donor base is also deeply divided. Rejecting BLM
too sharply would alienate George Soros, whose funding is not only
crucial to Democrat election efforts, but whose infrastructure makes up a
vital part of the American Left, but embracing it would alienate
moderate Democrat donors who want Biden to stop the chaos, not give it a
great bear hug.
Unlike Republicans, the Democrats are deeply
conflicted on this issue. And the conflicts are undermining Democrat
messaging and electability. The shift from BLM to violent crime is
particularly significant when it affects the black voters on whose
turnout Democrats depend.
Not only isn’t BLM effectively
mobilizing black voters (though it seems to be doing a great job of
radicalizing white college students and some of their blue region
suburban parents) but black voters are increasingly putting violent
crime ahead of BLM as an urgent issue. That reflects a national trend,
but it’s particularly devastating to the Democrat strategy in this
election.
Black urban voters are bearing the brunt of the violent
crime and they’re not hearing the Dems talking about the issue
dominating their neighborhoods and threatening their lives.
The Democrats are caught in a trap of their own making.
They’re
no longer able to turn off the violence. And mildly critical media
coverage won’t do it. Even if they could get some of the billionaires
who have been pouring money into radical groups to turn off the spigot,
there’s enough money to keep them going until November. The Democrats
barely managed to stop Bernie Sanders from becoming the nominee. They
can’t stop national riots by their usual backroom tactics. And they’re
too ideologically hagridden to use the police.
Black urban mayors
have shown the most willingness to confront the rioters and have the
most political immunity for cracking down on criminals, but as long as
Portland, Seattle, New York City, and other major cities are controlled
by feckless white progressives, the violence will go on.
And the riots and crime are not only shifting attention away from BLM, but from the pandemic.
People
can only focus on one crisis at a time, and the violence and chaos
consuming entire cities is becoming more visible than an invisible
virus. If this trend continues, then the Democrats will lose both of the
big issues that they expected to propel them to victory.
The Democrats sowed the winds of political terror, they’ve begun to reap the whirlwind.
Daniel
Greenfield, a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the Freedom Center, is an
investigative journalist and writer focusing on the radical Left and
Islamic terrorism.
Tags:
Black Lives Matter
Crime