Sunday, November 2, 2014

From Benny Peiser's Global Warming Policy Foundation

IPCC Powerless As Deadlock Over Climate Treaty Solidifies
Ritual IPCC Alarm Changes Nothing

The world is on course to experience “severe and pervasive” negative impacts from climate change unless it takes rapid action to slash its greenhouse gas emissions, a major UN report is expected to warn on Sunday. Yet despite the IPCC’s stark warnings, there is widespread agreement from climate change activists, sceptics and, privately, UK Government officials, that the summit in Paris is unlikely to achieve a legally-binding deal that will curb warming to the 2C level. --Emily Gosden, The Sunday Telegraph, 2 November 2014

Benny Peiser, of the climate-sceptic Global Warming Policy Foundation, said the IPCC report contents would not translate to agreement on a [binding] deal in Paris. “On the science there is no real discrepancy: the governments agree we should make sure warming isn’t more than 2C. But when it really comes to caps on their CO2 emissions there is simply no chance of a [legally binding] agreement whatsoever,” he said. “There are a number of countries that simply can’t afford to forgo the cheap energy they are sitting on, countries like India and China. They will make sure they can use the cheap fossil fuels they have under their feet.” --Emily Gosden, The Sunday Telegraph, 2 November 2014

Carbon Dioxide emissions must be reduced by almost half by 2030 or global temperatures will eventually rise by between 2C and 5C, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change will warn today. In its fifth report on climate change, the IPCC is also expected to say humans must pump no more than a further one trillion tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere if temperature change is to be kept below 2C. The body will say it will be clear within six years if the threat of“dangerous” climate change has been averted. --Michael Hanlon, The Sunday Times, 2 November 2014

Benny Peiser, director of the climate-sceptic Global Warming Policy Foundation, said the impact of CO2 levels on the atmosphere remained “open to question”. He added that, “mainly for economic reasons”, it was very unlikely big emitters such as India and China would be able to cap their emissions. He said: “There is a big scientific debate about the lack of global warming over the last 15 years. The question of what happens if we double the level of CO2, will it cause little more warming or much more warming, that remains an open question.”--Michael Hanlon, The Sunday Times, 2 November 2014

Scientists and officials are meeting in Denmark to edit what’s been termed the“most important document” on climate change. Concerns have been raised about the role of the government representatives here in Copenhagen. There are worries that government officials are trying to steer the science in a certain direction, to reflect their negotiating positions in the UN climate talks. One insider told BBC News that the chair of the IPCC, Dr Rajendra Pachauri, had to remind the delegates at one point that they were working on a summary for policymakers, not by them. --Matt McGrath, BBC News, 30 October 2014

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