The Pause is Real, and Has Been for Twenty Five Years

By Rich Kozlovich 

Over the years P&D readers have seen me state this catestrophic "warming" these Church of the Warming Globe misfits are screaming about is nonsense.  All of which they're doing it right now at Dubai, like the Pope telling the world because of "fossil" fuels the world's climate has "run amok" and changes need to be made.  And John Kerry who is getting "militant" over this because nations won't destroy their economy and go along with the insane policies he promotes.  

 

All of which if followed would put everyone back into caves.  And there would be plenty of room because the death toll worldwide would be massive.  

The world is not dangerously warming, and if it was mankind wouldn't be responsible for it, and CO2 does not warm the planet.  These people are at the center of the information world and must be aware of that, they can't possibly be that stupid.  What these "leaders" are is part of a worldwide kakistocracy of knaves and fools.

For years I've discussed what's being called "the pause" in warming.  Which is now been in place for the last 25 years, and by way of confirmation I'm republishing this.

On Thursday, February 28, 2013 I published this piece:

Lord Lawson Calls On Sir Paul Nurse To Acknowledge Global Temperature Standstill, which was a Press Release of 27/02/13. Letter to the President of the Royal Society London, 27 February:  In a letter to the President of the Royal Society, Lord Lawson has criticised Sir Paul Nurse for denying the reality of a global temperature standstill. 

Lawson was responding to a gratuitous attack by Sir Paul in a recent lecture at Melbourne University. In his speech, Sir Paul appeared to reject empirical evidence that the global warming trend of the 1980s and 1990s has come to a temporary halt since the beginning of the 21st century. In his letter, Lord Lawson writes: 

You claim that I “would choose two points and say ‘look, no warming’s taking place’, knowing that all the other points that you chose in the 20 years around it would not support his case”. That is a lie. I have always made clear that there was a modest degree of recorded global warming during the 20th century (see, for example, my book An Appeal to Reason, which you have clearly not taken the trouble to read). However, so far from choosing any arbitrary ‘two points’, I was drawing attention to the fact that this warming trend appears to have ceased, since – contrary to the predictions of what you describe as “consensus scientific opinion” – there has been no further recorded global warming at all for at least the past 15 years, as even the IPCC Chairman, Dr Pachauri, has now conceded. Whatever the precise reason for this, it cannot simply be dismissed or denied. Full letter

That was ten years ago! The pause is real, it's been with us for at least 25 years, and in point of fact, no one can tell us what the world's temperature is supposed to be, and if the worldwide temperatures a thousand years ago during the Medieval Warming Period is the standard, we're not even close to that global temperature.

Which brings up this.  

If the temperatures were far warmer then than they are now, and they were, then we need to ask if any of the disasters they're predicting for today occurred then?  Since there's not one iota of historical evidence there was, we must reason, those disasters never occurred.  If that's the case, and it is, then why should we believe these disasters are going to occur now?  

We shouldn't.

Satellite Data Reinstates Global Temperature Pause

Three (Perfectly Democratic) Reasons Donald Trump
Will Smother The Paris Climate Deal

Brought to you by Benny Peiser's Global Warming Policy Forum
 

Satellite data indicates a large fall in the temperature of the lower Troposphere back to pre-El Nino levels. This decrease has reinstated the so-called “pause” in lower atmosphere temperature. The decrease is seen in the land only data. Data from the sea shows a decline but not as much. This is expected given the ocean’s thermal lag. Data from the RSS group that provides satellite temperature services show that late-2016 temperatures have returned to the level it was at post-1998. This clearly shows the recent El Nino for what it is – a short term weather event. Now that it is over it can easily be seen that the lower Tropospheric temperature displays no long-tern trend between 1999 – 2016. --Dr David Whitehouse, GWPF Science Editor, 21 November 2016

  US President-elect Donald Trump is set to slash Nasa’s budget for monitoring climate change and instead set a goal of sending humans to the edge of the solar system by the end of the century, and possibly back to the moon. According to Bob Walker, who has advised Mr Trump on space policy, Nasa has been reduced to “a logistics agency concentrating on space station resupply and politically correct environmental monitoring”. This year Nasa’s Earth Science Division received $1.92 billion in funding, up nearly 30 per cent from the previous year. Its funding has gone up 50 per cent under President Barack Obama. At the same time Mr Obama proposed cutting support for deep space exploration by $840 million next year. --Nick Allen, The Sunday Telegraph, 20 November 2016

US president-elect Donald Trump has confirmed that among his first actions as president will be to “free up” and “fire up” the shale gas and “clean coal”, promising “millions” of jobs by beginning his assault on Barack Obama Clean Power Plan. In a video update on the Presidential Transition, Trump outlined some policy plans for his first 100 days in office, and his day one executive actions when he takes over the reins on January 20 2017. On energy, he said he would “cancel job-killing restrictions” on the production of American fossil fuel resources, including unconventional shale energy and the yet-to-move-beyond-conceptual clean coal. He said this would create “many millions” of jobs. --Renew Economy, 22 November 2016

The election of Donald Trump as the 45th president of the United States signals the beginning of the end of international climate alarmism. Trump’s victory has shaken the green movement to its core and will almost certainly lead to the Paris climate agreement’s unravelling. --Benny Peiser,Financial Post, 21 November 2016 

But if Trump does pull the US out of the futile UN programme to prevent manmade climate change — it’s an impossible objective with the developing world continuing rapidly to increase its exploitation and consumption of coal — perhaps a British cabinet might dare to question Westminster’s religious faith in the Climate Change Act. If Mrs May ever wanted to demonstrate real substance in her stated desire to represent the interests of “the just-managing ordinary workers” over the concerns of the “Westminster elite”, scrapping the Climate Change Act would hit the bullseye. Ask the Donald. --The Sunday Times, 20 November 2016

My liberal friends sometimes ask me why I don’t devote more of my science journalism to the sins of the Right. It’s fine to expose pseudoscience on the left, they say, but why aren’t you an equal-opportunity debunker? Why not write about conservatives’ threat to science? My friends don’t like my answer: because there isn’t much to write about. Conservatives just don’t have that much impact on science. I know that sounds strange to Democrats who decry Republican creationists and call themselves the “party of science.” But I’ve done my homework. I’ve read the Left’s indictments, including Chris Mooney’s bestseller, The Republican War on Science. I finished it with the same question about this war that I had at the outset: Where are the casualties? Where are the scientists who lost their jobs or their funding? What vital research has been corrupted or suppressed? What scientific debate has been silenced? --John Tierney, City Journal, Autumn 2016

From the Climate Policy Network

Global Warming Stopped 16 Years Ago

Met Office Quietly Releases Missing Data 

The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last week. The figures, which have triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures. The new data, compiled from more than 3,000 measuring points on land and sea, was issued quietly on the internet, without any media fanfare, and, until today, it has not been reported. This stands in sharp contrast to the release of the previous figures six months ago, which went only to the end of 2010 – a very warm year. --David Rose, Mail on Sunday, 14 October 2012

Global warming stopped 15 years ago and the average temperature has not risen at all since 1997, the Met Office said last night. But critics said the Met Office had released the figures onto the internet without publicity – in contrast to the attention it gave to those released six months ago that reinforced the case for global warming. Those figures went up to 2010 – the hottest year on record – and showed a continuing warming trend. Dr Benny Peiser of Lord Lawson’s Global Warming Policy Foundation said: “It is quite scandalous that the Met Office is misleading the public. The latest data proves beyond any doubt that there has been no warming [trend] over the past 16 years.” --John Ingham, Daily Express, 15 October 2012

 The data confirms the existence of a ‘pause’ in the warming. The impact of this pause within the climate dynamic community has been to focus increased attention on the impact of natural variability, particularly the impact of internal multi-decadal oscillations in the ocean.  The new climate model calculations for the AR5 have focused on trying to assess what it would take to accurately simulate these multi-decadal ocean oscillations and how predictable they might be.  These new observations and climate modeling results will hopefully impact the the IPCC AR5 deliberations so that we do not see the same overly confident consensus statements that we saw in the AR4.  --Judith Curry, Georgia Tech University, 14 October 2012

The Met Office says that the world has warmed by 0.03 deg C per decade since 1997 based on their calculation of the gradient in the Hadcrut4 dataset. But what the Met Office doesn’t say is that this is statistically insignificant. There is no case to be made for a statistically significant increase in global temperatures as given in the Hadcrut4 dataset between 1997 and August 2012. The Met Office says the 15-year standstill is not unusual. This is true but again the Met Office is being economical with the truth. --David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 15 October 2012  (emphasis added by me)