By Rich Kozlovich
This "deal" Trump has negotiated is being lauded and touted as something great. Let the oil flow, ships can now start their engines, the world is safe now. It's being lauded as if it's going to stand the test of time. I think that might be just a bit premature.
As General Flynn has publicly taken the position:
“The regime in Iran is lying to you and your negotiators. Period, stop. Do not believe a word they say.”........... "General Flynn got it right. The Iranian negotiators were playing out a lesson taught by Mohammed himself. What the Iranians have been doing is engaging in the Islamic practice of hudna, the practice of calling for a truce while preparing for war."
Iran will not honor any agreement any more than did the Barbary pirates in the early 1800's. They cut a deal and then things changed, they renege because that's Islam. What's worse is Trump gave the impression to the civilian population of Iran he was going to take out this regime:
.....Trump told the Iranians, who were still demonstrating in the street by the tens of thousands, “Help is on the way”. But help did not come, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the multi-service primary force of the Iranian Armed Forces that is now thought to be running the country with an iron fist, murdered nearly forty thousand demonstrators and publicly executed many more, imprisoning and torturing others with extraordinary cruelty.
Thousands rose up and thousands were executed. Iranians face a reign of terror, and it's not going to stop with this agreement. As far as I can tell, this agreement doesn't require Iran to stop murdering their people, nor can it prevent it. And if it did, it wouldn't be enforceable. As it turns out this deal is already starting to unravel and it's not even in effect yet.
No nukes and no money? Right, but what about the billions in ‘humanitarian aid’. Of course those billions can only be used for humanitarian purposes, just like the billions Obama/Biden gave to Iran. In the past it appears that humanitarian aid in Iran meant supplying arms to terrorists organizations, but they'll be good this time. Right? Does anyone besides me find his abandonment of Lebanon troubling? And does it appear to anyone besides me his reasoning is very similar to the Islam/leftist rhetoric we've seen so often?
In spite of his "promises" to the Iranian people what he really wanted wasn't the elimination of a terror sponsoring regime, his plan was for a universal Abraham Accords in the Middle East, creating a binding economic environment that would overcome Iran's form of Islamic ideology. That's delusional.
With the views expressed by his son-in-law and Steven Witkoff I wondered why they were involved in the negotiations. Now we know. But his real goal.... at least it seems to me .......... is his desire to win the Nobel Peace Prize. You know, the one awarded to Yasser Arafat, Jimmy Carter, and Barack Obama.
History is the touchstone of truth and the creator of long term vision because the patterns of life repeat over and over again, people will be people, and Islam will never be a fit partner with western civilization. That's history and that history is incontestable. It appears Trump doesn't read history books.
Sadly, since it appears that President Trump's primary goal is a deal - ANY deal - we are going down the Neville Chamberlain path.
ReplyDeleteSometmes you don't have "a perfect option". Deal with it. Or perhaps you would prefer the tribal messes and bloody conflicts from "regime change" in a country with huge percentage of jihadists and competing forces were Iran to totally collapse -- and then see how happy the world is about their oil prices and economics. The Shah only temporarily held these in check. Yes indeed, "people will be people". Stop complaining.You do not have any viable better alternative.
ReplyDeleteActually these radicals aren't anything new. They've been around for a few hundred years under the rule of the Ottoman Empire, and when they became too big a problem, the Ottomans killed them.
DeleteThere is no viable alternative to what Trump is doing. Deal with it.
ReplyDeleteWhile I agree with your analysis to a point I cannot agree about the ending. Trump said it the other day "the American People have no stomach for war" and he's right about that. What good would it do to take this thing to the mat now and lose the upcoming elections? The Democrats would end the war very quickly. I suspect Trump knows this and he's playing for time with this deal. It's not about winning the Nobel Prize (he knows he'll never get that) but about holding a political majority going into the second half of his term.
ReplyDeleteBTW the rising inflation is not so much driven by rising energy prices but mostly by a new round of Qualitative Easing by the Federal Reserve. https://mises.org/mises-wire/money-supply-growth-2026-rises-multi-year-high-fed-pumps-new-qe But Trump is being blamed for it and it could cost him the majority come November. This is Jerome Powell's revenge; he's pulling a Nicholas Biddle on Trump (Biddle tried to drive Andrew Jackson from office by wrecking the economy when he ran the Second Bank of the United States).
At any rate invading Iran would not be like invading Iraq. Iraq was a big flat plain - Iran is a fortress sitting atop a mountain plateau. We know mountain fighting is the hardest thing we can do, and the Iranians would make the insurgency in Iraq look like a tea party. Trump is obviously trying to spare lives - especially our own.
I wish he wouldn't have suspending bombing strikes and I wish he would have gone after infrastructure. I wish he would have taken Kharg Island, or burned it out. I wish he would have taken the many islands in the Strait. But he doesn't want to hurt the Iranian People whom he still hopes will rise up and overthrow the Mullahs. But the Mullahs murdered 40,000 of them; kinda hard to risk being hanged when you have no weapons and no support. Trump tried to get weapons to them through the Kurds, who stole them.
Mr. Trump is between a rock and a hard place. He had to take action but now everyone is criticizing him for it.
No, this war won't be over when a deal is reached, but it will be an aristice. I suspect Trump will resume hostilities as soon as the elections are done. The Iranians just can't behave themselves because they are still trying to get that dude to climb up out of the well and start the end of days.
Some well made points.
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