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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Monday, January 5, 2015

Cause of Pause in Global Warming

By S. Fred Singer December 29, 2014

There has been essentially no global warming since 1998. Some would choose 1997, others would more conservatively use 2002 as the proper starting date, based on satellite data. Of course, this is quite unexpected, since CO2 -- a leading GHG, which climate models presume to cause anthropogenic global warming (AGW)-- has been increasing rapidly in the 21st century.

Even if we cannot readily find the cause for the “pause” -- as it is sometimes called -- we can be absolutely sure that it was not predicted by any of the dozens of the UN-IPCC’s General Circulation Models (GCMs). Therefore, logically, such non-validated GCMs cannot, and should not, be used to predict the future climate -- or as a basis for policy decisions…..(These two paragraphs are his introduction. Please read the body of this article as it truly gives – in my opinion – an insight as to how and why we should ignore the Warmists, before or after reading his conclusion.)

Conclusion

Regardless of any unsettled science details, it seems sure that current climate models cannot represent what is actually happening in the atmosphere -- and therefore one should not rely on predictions from such unvalidated models that are based simply on increases of carbon dioxide. It should be obvious that this discussion has important policy consequences since so many politicians are wedded to the idea that CO2 needs to be controlled in order to avoid “dangerous changes of the global climate.”


Now, after reading what Singer has had to say on this, explaining the science involved, please note the view of David Attenborough and his emotional appeal claiming global warming represents a danger so great that “never in the history of humanity in the last 10 million years have all human beings got together to face one danger that threatens us – never" and that “it’s desperately difficult, the dangers are apparent to anybody”, and “we can’t go on increasing at the rate human beings are increasing forever, because the Earth is finite and you can’t put infinity into something that is finite." “So if we don’t do something about it – the natural world that is – we will starve.”

Apparently he believes that an increase of 2 degrees centigrade will devastate the world. There are a couple of things that are apparent to me also. He must not have ever read a history book and only practices Preconceptual Science where the only thing he hears is in  agreement with their his views and ignores everything else. But either way - all that emotional appeal should be the first trigger of concern because it's the usual cover for those with arguments so shallow they can't be defended. After reading both articles ask yourself this – who do I trust? 

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