The American consumer is resistant to marketing aimed at selling them electric and hybrid vehicles. For the first quarter of 2015, according to the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), Chevrolet sold 1874 Volts—its electric car introduced in 2010 with “high expectations.” That number might not sound so bad, until you read on to discover that it is equivalent to the number of Silverado pick-up trucks sold in one day.
In another report,
WSJ states: “Through June, the market share in the U.S. for hybrid
electric cars such as the Toyota Prius and C-Max and for electric vehicles such
as the Leaf accounted for 2.8% of industry sales. That is down from 3.6%
through the same period in 2014. Volumes of those vehicles fell 22% while
overall industry volumes rose, according to researcher Edmunds.com.”
“Recent sales data
show that consumers don’t want electric cars,” proclaims Investor’s Business Daily. “And these pitiful
electric-car sales,” it adds, “mind you, come despite the very generous $7,500
federal tax credit, along with various state incentives—Illinois offers rebates
up to $4,000.”
Manufacturers are
slashing prices, offering low-priced leases, and 0% financing. Despite the
deals, dealers view selling the existing electric vehicle inventory as a
“challenge.” But selling a used electric car, like Nissan’s Leaf, is even
harder. WSJ reports: “used Leafs aren’t attracting much demand.” Though
Nissan offers leaseholders $4,000 in incentives to buy the used model they are
driving, drivers are not snapping up the opportunity. When the leases expire
there is little market for the cars and dealers are returning them to the
manufacturer.
While demand for
electric vehicles has dropped, contrary to logic, investment in them hasn’t.
Earlier this year, USA Today said: “Automakers have already invested billions
to offer a wide spectrum of vehicle choices and improve fuel efficiency with
turbocharged engines, batteries and electric motors, multi-gear transmissions,
more aerodynamic designs and lighter materials. Companies have also spent
heavily to market eco-friendly vehicles and have no plans to stop developing
them.”
“Why,” you might
ask, “don’t manufacturers focus on building the cars consumers want?” The
answer: government regulations in the form of the CAFE Standard. The word CAFE,
here, means Corporate Average Fuel Economy and is the measure manufacturers
must meet to sell cars in the U.S.
First enacted by
Congress in 1975, the idea was to reduce energy use, thus preventing an
over-dependence on foreign oil and improving national security. In 2009, under
the Obama administration, the program morphed to include a higher focus on
tailpipe emissions with a two stage implementation process. Phase One demands a
23% improvement in pollution standards and a CAFE target of 34.1 miles per
gallon (MPG) by model-year 2016. Phase two calls for a further increase of
roughly 35% in pollution standards, equivalent to 54.5 miles per gallon by
2025.
While the exact
calculations are complicated, these standards are not meant to be met by each
vehicle, but by the entire fleet produced by each manufacturer. So a company
that makes small, fuel-efficient cars, such has Honda, easily meets the
requirements. While a company like Chrysler, known for its Ram trucks and American
muscle cars, faces an uphill climb. In fact, it is the CAFE Standards that made
the Chrysler/Fiat marriage attractive, as the Fiat fleet includes a 40-MPG car.
It is also what makes the Volt a good option for Chevy.
Manufacturers who
don’t comply with the regulations face fines—or they can buy credits. Either
way the costs ultimately get passed on to the consumer who dares to purchase a
vehicle based on his or her personal preference rather than the fuel-efficient
vehicles the government wants automakers to produce.
These government
regulations manipulate the markets and make winners and losers that would not
be the case if we had a true free market.
Interesting stories
emerge.
One is Ferrari,
which by the nature of the car, can’t meet the U.S. government regulations. As
one report on the topic declared:
“Ferraris are beautiful. They are fast. They are nimble. And they are thirsty.”
The hybrid LaFerrari gets 14 MPG.
Most readers are
not likely to buy one of the 499 LaFerrari cars built, but its story is
illustrative of the market manipulation.
Since 1969 Ferrari
has been part of the Fiat family, but that will soon change as Ferrari is being
spun off to make it an independent automaker. While the sale is reportedly being done “to finance expansion plans,” it will
remove the gas-guzzler from the Fiat Chrysler fleet—making meeting CAFE easier.
Yet, earlier this year, CEO Sergio Marchionne said: “the U.S. auto industry should ask the U.S. government
to push back fuel economy targets.”
While an
independent Ferrari will have challenges meeting CAFE without Fiat to help
create an acceptable average, another single focused manufacturer meets the
requirements handily—so well, in fact, it has credits to sell. I am talking
about Tesla, the car company that the Environmental Protection Agency smiles
upon because it produces only electric cars.
Most U.S. car
companies—like Fiat Chrysler—want the federal fuel economy mandates to be
watered down. Tesla wants the targets to be tougher.
Companies—like
Ferrari—that don’t meet the fleet standards can purchase compliance credits. CNN
Money reported: “Since Tesla sells nothing but electric cars, it is
rolling in the credits and is one of the few sellers.” The Los Angeles Times
(LAT) says: “Since 2008, the company has earned more than $534
million from the sale of environmental credits.” It adds: “Tesla has created a
brisk market in credits, selling to automakers that either don’t produce
electric cars or have made a strategic decision to buy credits and cap their
own sales of such vehicles.”
But it is not just
Ferrari that will have trouble meeting the 2025 standard. According to LAT,
Mitch Bainwol, chief executive of the Alliance of Automobile
Manufacturers—which represents companies like General Motors, Ford, Toyota,
Fiat Chrysler, and others—said: “While consumers have more choices than ever in
energy-efficient automobiles, if they don’t buy them in large volumes, we fall
short.”
With the American
car-buying public resistant to doing what the government wants them to do,
making a car that few can afford and that many of those who can don’t like (On
October 20 Consumer Reports pulled its “recommendation” of the Tesla Model S after owners
complained about a “range of issues”), Tesla is receiving a huge windfall from
its competitors while the standards drive up costs for consumers.
Addressing the
54.5-MPG for the 2025 model year, Marchionne said: “There is not a single
carmaker that cannot make the 54 number. The question is, at what price?”
The author of Energy Freedom, Marita Noon serves as the executive
director for Energy Makes
America Great Inc. and the companion educational organization, the Citizens’ Alliance for
Responsible Energy (CARE). She hosts a weekly radio program: America’s Voice for
Energy—which expands on the content of her weekly column. Follow her
@EnergyRabbit.
No comments:
Post a Comment