Israel Iranian War

By Rich Kozlovich

Along with my thoughts, much of what appears here is from a subscription article by Kamran Bokhari, an analyst for Geopolitical Futures, so I can't link it for you, but I wanted to make sure he got credit for this analysis,  and you'll just have to take my word for what was said, or not, as it pleases you, 

The war between Iran and Israel is on hold. I don't say over because it's not over, it will never be over as long as Islam exists because Islam is at war with the world, in perpetuity, whether there's fighting or not.  Jihad is foundational to Islamic belief, and can take on many forms such as immigration jihad that's taking place throughout western civilization.  

Since Trump declared a cease fire (whatever happened to unconditional surrender) there's been all these claims the attack on the nuclear facilities have been a failure and has only set Iran's nuclear program back a few months.  Well, I wonder how they know that since it being reported even the Iranian government doesn't know how bad the damage really is.   It's being reported from intelligence sources their military leaders are hiding the true damage to their nuke sites from Iran's leadership.

It was obvious from the beginning Israeli intelligence has deeply penetrated all levels of Iran's government and military, so I think that assessment merits more credibility than CNN, and satellite image analysis will take time and isn't that same as eyes on the scene intelligence.   

One thing we need to grasp is Iran's government isn't harmonious, and as one writer noted:

Iran’s long-running internal evolution underway for nearly two decades and nearing an inflection point – has accelerated.

As for right now, their nuke program has been halted, and the damage to the political system is as meaningful as the damage to their nuke program, and what may well be a huge change in their military leadership, with a lot of junior officers moving up in the ranks quickly, and needing time to settle in and stabilize their commands.  Something I've just become aware of is the decades long dissent between the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the Artesh.

The IRGC is ideologically in harmony with the ruling Iranian clerics running the government with power to impose their views on both domestic and foreign policy, militarily as well as economically, and were created to protect the government from internal threats, and they've been brutal.

The Artesh is the traditional military and is forbidden from any political involvement, and for good reason from the view of the Iranian government.  It appears they're not true believers, and most government funding goes to the IRGC, not Artesh.  The Artesh was purged early on because it was believed they had loyalty to the Shah, but they weren't eliminated because they were needed to fight the Iran/Iraq war.  Eight years of economic and humanitarian devastation, but that war also transformed the IRGC into a parallel military and then dominant military.   

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei wanted to bring the "Artesh into ideological conformity with the regime by "appointing loyalist commanders and embedding clerics as advisers" into Artesh  I don't think that really worked to tell you the truth.  

But this may now change as it was the IRGC that pushing the proxy war for years, and now that's been crushed, the Assad regime is done, all destroying the "ring of fire" they created around Israel and now Israel has crushed Iran, and Artesh's only concern is national security, and it appears they're taking charge as the IRGC is being blamed for all these defeats. 

Iranians are Persian and look down on Arabs. Islam is an Arab movement and for centuries Persians had a history of Zoroastrianism, an ancient monotheistic religion that has more in common with Christianity and Judaism than Islam emphasizing the differences between good and evil, and the importance of doing good.  I’ve been reading that’s still a force in their culture, whether that’s true or not remains to be seen.  If it is, I’m inclined to think that would be the foundational force that generates regime change internally.  

One thing we need to be clear about.  It's not our job to fix the world.  Jews have a term for it: Tikkun Olam:

 "A Jewish concept defined by acts of kindness performed to perfect or repair the world. The phrase is found in the Mishnah, a body of classical rabbinic teachings. It is often used when discussing issues of social policy, ensuring a safeguard to those who may be at a disadvantage."

Well, we've tried that and it fails over the long run due to four things.  Geography, demography, economics, and foundational cultural paradigms we don't really understand.   

We’re too far away, we’re mostly confused about the issues all these various populations have, as a result we don't have the answers to their problems, and finally, we don’t have the money.  If we did understand the social complexities, and if we did have the money, it wouldn’t matter as all these endeavors are Lewis Carroll rabbit holes that can never be fixed or filled,  If regime change is to come, let them do it, or not, but it's clear Iran will not be allowed to have nuclear weapons.  

Here's all the articles I've been saving over this latest unpleasantry between Islam and the world, and let's start with The Man Who Owns the Current Iran Crisis, Barack Obama, followed up with Victor Davis Hanson's Ten Iranian Questions, and Glenn Harlan Reynolds, Five Takes on Bombing Iran.  

The conservative Republican reactions,  Cotton: Iran Should Not Retaliate Against Americans if They Want to Continue in Power, and Senate Majority Leader Thune: Iran ‘Rejected All Diplomatic Pathways to Peace’.  It must be noted there are those who see reality clearly, Pro-Israel Voters Rejoice: ‘Thank God We Voted for Donald Trump!’.  

Democrat Reactions: The Democrats have once again marched over the cliff in lock step, ignoring history, reality and sanity.  Why Would Anyone Vote for These People?

1. Democrat Party in Disarray After American Bombing of Iran
2.  Midnight Hammer vs. midnight yammer
3.  Alexandria Ocrazio-Cortex Calls for Impeachment of President Donald J. Trump 
4. Oh No! AOC and Other Unhinged Dems Say Trump's Iran Attack Is Clearly Grounds for Impeachment
5. AOC: Trump's Decision to Bomb Iran Was 'Disastrous'
6. Democrats Furious at Trump Decision to Bomb Iran’s Nuke Sites
7.  Cuck Schumer Breaks Silence, Opposes Trump Attack on Iran
8. 3 things that happened just this week that tell us Dems are insane
9. Jeffries: Trump ‘Failed’ to Bring Peace
10. Reactions Left Explodes… Massie: ‘Unconstitutional’
11. Obama Bro Tommy Vietor's Tantrum Insisting Obama's Iran Nuclear Deal WAS WORKING Blows UP In His Face

International Response: 

I'm never quite sure why these nitwits run to defend Iran, but the do, especially when nations like China, N. Korea, and Russia, all of which have zero moral values.   

1. China, Seeking Relevance, Blames U.S. for Iran’s Illicit Nuclear Activities
2. North Korea Calls Israel a ‘Cancer,’ Backs Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions
3. Russia’s Medvedev Blasts Trump After Iranian Military Strikes – Says “A Number of Foreign Countries Ready to Directly Supply Iran with Nuclear Warheads”
4. Iran’s Allies in Latin America Condemn Trump Strikes
5. U.N. Secretary General Condemns U.S. Strike on Iran as ‘Dangerous Escalation’
6. Norway and Anti-Semitism     
7. Russian Leader Claims Multiple Nations Are ‘Ready to Directly Supply Iran’ With Nuclear Weapons Following U.S. Attack  

Iranian Propaganda  

Iran is never at a loss for chest pounding and threats, and I love the post where Iran says Trump... and Israel... started this war and they will end it.  After decades of terrorist attacks and direct attacks they're somehow claiming innocence?  Yes, that's Islam.  No matter what vile thing they do that's acceptable since the Koran allows it.  But to retaliate against them is a rebuke to Allah, and therefore the wrong only belongs to those who defend themselves against Islamic horrors, which is why CAIR Condemns Trump’s Strike: ‘Illegal and Unjustified’, and the vicious murdering monsters of Hamas Condemns Trump Iran Strikes: ‘Brutal Aggression’ .

1. Uh-Huh: ‘Iran’s swift response forced enemy to end hostilities, Supreme National Security Council says 
2. Iran State TV Anchor to Trump: ‘You Started It, We will End It’
3. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi: US Will Have to Take Full Responsibility for Its Attacks on Iranian Nuclear Facilities 

Nukes:

 

Let's finally dispense with the lies they only wanted nukes for energy production.  They have unlimited energy resources and have no need for nuclear power.  One more thing.  It appears the International Atomic Energy Agency " has lost track of 400 kilograms (880 pounds) of Iranian uranium enriched to 60 percent."   What could possibly go wrong?

1. Ten nukes? And a June 15 'go' date? 
2. IAEA Declares Iran In Breach of Nuclear Obligations
3. Iran Threatens Head of U.N. Nuclear Agency for Revealing Enrichment
4. Khanna: Iran Will Walk from Nonproliferation Treaty, Boot Inspectors 
5.  Iran Vows Uranium Enrichment Will Continue
6. Israeli intel assesses that Iran’s nuclear program set back ‘several years,’ but not destroyed — official 
7. President Trump’s Bombing Iran’s Nuclear Sites Did Not And Will Not Start A War
8. Iran’s Atomic Energy Chief Wants to Restore Nuclear Industry After Airstrikes
9. Dissident Group Reveals Iran’s Covert Nuclear Bomb Program
10. US Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Sites Involved 125 Aircraft, 14 Bunker Busters Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi: US Will Have to Take Full Responsibility for Its Attacks on Iranian Nuclear Facilities 

Regime Change  

1. Is Iran Ready for Regime Change, And Is The NCRI The Right Way To Change?
2. Trump says he’s opposed to regime change in Iran, says it will bring ‘chaos’.  

Surrender?

Has Iran really surrendered, or is this just a stalling tactic.  Yes, they've surrendered in order to stall for time.  During the Barbary pirate days a US naval vessel crossed paths with a Barbary pirate naval vessel and a battle ensued.  The Muslims were losing so the struck their flag and surrendered.  The American ship stopped firing and moved closer, and the Muslim ship raised it flag and started firing.  That happened three times, and the America captain had enough the third time and blasted them to paradise.  Why did they do that?  Because Islam allows them to do it.  Any deception or lies to infidels is not only acceptable, it's encouraged.

1. Do the Iranians View This Ceasefire as a Temporary “Tactical Pause” Known as a “Hudna” in Islam? 
2. Mark Meadows on how Israel could cripple Iran financially 
3. Iran Effectively Surrenders to the United States 
4. End game for the Mullahs?
5. Shortest Term Ever? - Israel Decapitates New Chief of Iranian Armed Forces Right After He Takes Over for Last Chief, Whom They Also Killed  
6. IDF Chief: We Have Turned Iran’s ‘Ring of Fire’ Against It 
7. The Iranian Navy isn’t a match for the U.S. Navy—or an enraged world 
8. Israel to the leaders of Iran: What’s my name?!

Trump:

Trump is the reason why Putin made his moves while either Democrats or RINO's were in power.  They talked the talk but failed to walk the talk.  

1. Trump’s Iran Strike Shows Precisely Why Elections Matter 
2. The Iran strikes that proved the influencers wrong: Why Trump’s base never blinked
3. President Trump Cut Through the Noise 
4. The Trump Iran Strikes Were a Message to China 
5. President Trump’s Constitutional Strike Against Iran 
6. Trump’s precise, carefully calibrated strike sends a strong message
7. Trump just took back what Obama gave Iran
8. More than Iran: Was the U.S. strike a global power signal?
9. The Trump Iran Strikes Were a Message to China
10. Top Officials Speak at Pentagon: Trump Achieved What Many Before Could Not 
11. Trump: Iran Will Face ‘Force Far Greater’ If It Strikes Back
12. The world is turned upside down!
13. If You Oppose Donald Trump on Iran, You’re Backing Nukes