A symposium was held a few weeks ago in the U.K.,
sponsored by several academic institutions, with the participation of journal
editors, academics, business interests (pharmaceutical), among others. The
topic was of utmost importance and interest:
Nothing less! The sponsors were (all based in the UK): The
Academy of Medical Sciences, Medical Research Council, and Biotechnology and
Biological Sciences Research Council, and the Wellcome Trust.
In The Lancet’s April 11th edition,
editor-in-chief Dr. Richard Horton published his own perspectives on the symposium.
In what amounts to an editorial, entitled “What is medicine’s 5 sigma,” he
wrote:
“A lot of what is published
is incorrect.” I’m not allowed to say who made this remark because we were
asked to observe Chatham House rules. We were also asked not to take
photographs of slides. Why the paranoid concern for secrecy and
non-attribution? Because this symposium — on the reproducibility and
reliability of biomedical research — touched on one of the most sensitive
issues in science today: the idea that something has gone fundamentally wrong
with one of our greatest human creations.
The case against science is
straightforward: much of the scientific literature, perhaps half, may simply be
untrue. Afflicted by studies with small sample sizes, tiny effects, invalid
exploratory analyses, and flagrant conflicts of interest, together with an
obsession for pursuing fashionable trends of dubious importance, science has
taken a turn towards darkness. As one participant put it, “poor methods get
results”.
This is chilling information: the sum and substance of it
is that our edifice of scientific progress, the peer-reviewed
medical/scientific literature, is a can of worms rather than the gold standard
we thought it to be. Well, not all of us: we here at ACSH have often taken
pains to skewer published studies in “respected” journals which are clearly
flawed, data-dredged junk, and/or clearly devoted to propagating the
researcher’s career-oriented agenda, facts be damned. Indeed, a news article on this symposium referred to a citation
from yet another former editor-in-chief and her opinion of the sad state of
peer-reviewed publication:
Dr. Marcia Angell, a physician and longtime Editor in
Chief of the New England Medical Journal (NEMJ)[sic], which is
considered to another one of the most prestigious peer-reviewed medical
journals in the world, makes her
view of the subject quite plain:
“It is simply no longer
possible to believe much of the clinical research that is published, or to rely
on the judgment of trusted physicians or authoritative medical guidelines. I
take no pleasure in this conclusion, which I reached slowly and reluctantly
over my two decades as an editor of the New England Journal of Medicine.”
ACSH’s Dr. Gil Ross had this comment: “These editors,
charged with making the decisions of such publications, should clearly be
pointing the finger of guilt at themselves; yet, I saw no solutions being
offered. Dr. Horton’s comments in particular are nothing if not ironic, given
that he is responsible for possibly the worst publication decision in recent
times: Andrew Wakefield’s fraudulent ‘study’ in The Lancet in 1998 alleging
some link between the MMR vaccine and autism, which led to a significant
decline in vaccinations rates in the UK and globally. Another scientist notable
for pointing out the lack of support for much of the published medical
literature has been Stanford’s Dr. John Ioannidis, who tried to reproduce many published
studies and found that less than half were reproducible.”
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