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De Omnibus Dubitandum - Lux Veritas

Thursday, November 8, 2018

The World as I See it: The 2018 Midterm

By Rich Kozlovich

We currently have an economy that's on a high speed railroad track being conducted by a President with a fifty percent favorable rating, who’s cutting regulations, cutting taxes, winning the trade wars and embracing a foreign policy that's putting the world on notice the U.S. is no longer playing checkers while they’re playing chess. With all that, how could the Republicans lose so much? Well, let’s take a look into how much was lost and why.

For two years I’ve been saying the midterms were going to be a blood bath for both parties. Well, I was right and I was wrong. The Republicans avoided the blood bath in the primaries and the Democrats avoided a bloodbath in the election.

Why?

For the Republicans I felt it was going to be in the primaries for five reasons.
  1. So many RINO’s were suffering from Trump derangement syndrome, and it was hard to tell them from Democrats.
  2. Too many Republicans were clearly intellectually and philosophically out of step with the direction of the party’s rank and file.
  3. For decades they promised to fix all the abuses of an over reaching federal government and its bureaucracy, and they didn’t.
  4. The promised to get spending under control, yet the spending by the Republican Congress was at least as bad if not worse than the Democrats.
  5. They didn’t fix any of what they've been promising, and the Republican base was fed up with them.
For the Republicans that scenario was largely avoided by so many dropping out fearing to face their constituents in the primaries, like Paul Ryan, who really was a huge disappointment to the Republican mainstream, and especially to conservatives.

For the Democrats I felt their blood bath would be during the midterm election. Their conduct and policy positions since Trump was elected would have been considered insane thirty years ago, and treason sixty years ago. They’ve conducted themselves like spoiled brats having a fit because they couldn’t have their way. What’s worse, is they’ve promoted incivility and violence, or at the very least, condoned both.

Couple that with all their lunatic leftist programs that would increase spending, increase taxes and increase the size of an already abusive government, one would have to wonder: How could any sane person possibly believe they would take either the House or the Senate?

As we all know by now, they took a hit in the Senate, but they took over the House. How did that happen, and most importantly, how bad is that?

First, how did it happen?

Let’s get this out of the way right off. It’s my view the only reason they held on to the Senate was because of the spectacle the Democrats made of themselves during the Kavanaugh hearings. It certainly wasn’t the Republican leadership that made that happen. Mitch McConnell and Lindsay Graham, even though they all partially redeemed themselves in the eyes of conservatives regarding Kavanaugh, they are not considered part of the long-term solution by conservatives. They’re considered to be a part of the long term problem, which has now been exacerbated by the election of Mitt Romney as Orrin Hatch's replacement from Utah.   

Kavanaugh saved the Senate.

Now on to the other election results.

Illinois is now a Republican waste land. The Republican governor destroyed any chance for his party by agreeing to a Democrat budget that was a “spit in the face of conservatives who elected him”. He’s being blamed for dragging down incumbent GOP congressmen as a result. Lesson? If you’re going to be unelected be unelected for the things you believe in and have the courage to stand up for.

Ohio elected Mike DeWine as governor, but the election was close from the beginning and if he hadn’t gotten Jon Husted to join him on the ticket that may not have happened.

Here's the big question Ohioans who voted for Cordray should be asking.  Who was Richard Cordray before this and what did he stand for? Cordray was the head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which became a corrupt and out of control unaccountable dictatorship, without any oversight by Congress. Which the Supreme court found unconstitutional.

Under his oversight his agency spent like drunken sailors, there was evidence of widespread discrimination against women and minority staffers while filing discrimination charges against companies, reinterpreted established rules to suit his aggressive belligerent attitude against private industry and his refusal to answer a Congressional subpoena.”

And we have to believe this is what he would have brought to any administration he ran in Ohio, and no one noticed? And yet it was still a close election.  Is this what Ohio wants?

DeWine thanked Ohioans and says he won’t let us down? Really? The truth is conservatives aren’t any more enamored with DeWine than they are with Renacci, who lost to Sherrod Brown, a far left Senator, who has dreams of running for President.

Renacci was a disaster from the beginning and a symptom of what’s wrong with the Ohio Republican Party. In his first year in the House he and a number of new Republican Congressmen signed a letter asking the Republican leadership to promote wind energy.    I knew then he was a waste, and he did nothing since then to change my mind, and he ran a stupid campaign. Ask yourself this: Can I remember what he stood for?

But think on this.  Only 16 of Ohio's 88 counties voted for Sherrod Brown resulting in a vote difference of 16,112 for Brown and 15,494 for Renacci.  That's not a tsunami, or a resounding vote of confidence. 

Scott Walker has been defeated by a “moderate” democrat who’s “a staunchly pro-public education Democrat”. This is a “moderate” Democrat who wants to increase “public school funding by $1.4 billion ……. freeze the school voucher program as a first step toward its eventual phase-out, strongly supports community schools that help meet the needs of students and families in the local community, and plans to place in statute requirements for teacher voice to be part of all education-related decision and policy-making initiatives.”

Teachers’ union President Ron Martin applauded union members saying: “Today is filled with possibilities and opportunities, leading us to a better future”……This victory belongs to you. But more importantly, it belongs to our kids.”  “We have lots of work to do now,” Martin said. “We have a partner who’s willing to listen to us, and we need to be there to provide the kind of advice and support that he will need to lead this state”.

What’s wrong with the people of Wisconsin? Is this really what they think is good government, and good education?

So, what happened? Was it health care or public education that turned the state against him? I really can’t find anything that explains it clearly. But this I know. Tony Evers margin of victory was extremely small. The key is who he brings in to run his administration, and guess what? With few exceptions, they’ll all be radical Democrats, because he now owes the teacher’s union his job. It will be just like California, except he has to face a Republican legislature……but who knows what that means, since Republicans don’t know who they are most of the time, and without a strong leader to take the heat, they’ll probably buckle.

Then there’s voter fraud.    Monica Showalter says:

“There hasn't been too much in the way of contested elections based on claims of voter fraud in the Trump era, but hotly contested Texas is an exception. Here is James O'Keefe's Project Veritas video.”

She goes on to say:
"Project Veritas' undercover journalist, posing as the girlfriend of a potential DACA voter, visited a polling station in Travis County, Texas to ask election officials if he could vote. "If he has his ID that’s all he needs. If he’s registered," an election worker told the undercover journalist. “Right. It doesn’t matter that he’s not a citizen?" the PV journalist replied, adding that she had heard on the internet that he could not vote. "No, Don’t pay any attention to that. Bring him up here," the official said. Another woman, who appeared to be an election official, said that there was not an issue with DACA recipients voting, saying, "we got a lot of 'em."​"You've got a lot of them?" the journalist asked. "Mmhmm," the woman replied. "From early voter. We've got tons of them. Tons of DACA voters. Okay."
So, now let’s deal with how bad is this?

The left will crow and strut that this was an indictment of President Trump and his policies, but perhaps we should put this is a little perspective. No matter how much the left and the media crow about this election - this was not a blue tsunami wave!

It appears, as of today, Donald Trump lost 36 seats [Update: 37 seats] in the House and picked up two seats in the Senate, and the governorships still remain largely split.  That's not a tsunami.  However, Bill Clinton lost 54 House seats, 8 Senate seats and 10 governorships in the 1994 midterms. Barack Obama lost 63 House seats, 6 Senate seats and 29 governorships in the 2010 midterms. Now those were tsunamis.

But what will this mean? Now Trump has fewer “RINOs, Never-Trumpers and moderates, not on the same page with the president’s policies......” Congressmen who hated him for doing things they promised to do and didn't. Those Republicans who did get elected are far more on the same page with President Trump.

But what about the Democrats who’ve been chosen over Republicans? The number one question is – are they really united? Heretofore the Democrats knew how to rule. The all voted the way Nancy Pelosi told them to vote – or else!

Now we possibly see different Democrats in the making.  Those who won in red states didn’t run as typical Democrats. They clearly stayed as far away from Pelosi and Shumer and that crowd as possible. They presented themselves, and their position on issues, as being far more moderate and willing to work with Republicans. How will these Congressmen get along with their lunatic left resist everything colleagues? That will be interesting to watch, and the idea that Nancy Pelosi is a shoo in as speaker may be a bit premature, although I think she’s in.

But her being Speaker and lunatics like Maxine Waters chairing the Financial Services Committee, Elijah Cummings chairing the Committee on Oversight, Adam Schiff chairing the House Intel Committee Chair and Jerry Nadler as Judiciary Committee Chair, they will be gifts that keep on giving until the 2020 general election.

As Scott Morefield said on November 5th in his article, Four Reasons Why Democrats Winning The House Might Not Be So Bad:
“If they win the majority in the House, they get to pick the speaker, the chairmanships, and set the agenda. They get to investigate, hold hearings, subpoena Trump officials, and even - should the ever-growing wing-nut-wing of their party prevail - vote to impeach President Trump. Sure, the whole circus promises to be extremely entertaining and a gold mine for reporters like myself, but it’ll be ugly, and the chances of anything really conservative coming through are about the same as California going red. …………. Far from being “lights out” for Trump’s agenda, in some ways I think there could be a few silver linings to having to endure Democrat control of the House for the next two years, and they don’t all have to do with getting millions of clicks from the coming hilarious hijinks from the likes of Nancy Pelosi, Maxine Waters, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.”  
“Those of us who study politics understand the reasons why President Trump hasn’t yet been able to get some of the things he wants - reasons like squishy Republicans and the stupid filibuster rule in the Senate - but the average Joe who has better things to do than to keep up with this stuff all day simply sees a Republican House, Senate, and Executive branch and wonders why on earth Trump’s agenda keeps getting stalled. So yeah, Nancy Pelosi and Crazy Maxine wielding gavels will make far better foils than Paul Ryan and Jeff Flake ever did.” 
“Combine that with the fact that, especially with a stronger Senate majority, Trump’s agenda in many ways can and will continue unabated. Judicial appointments will keep rolling, regulations will keep disappearing, and governmental departments in the hands of the good guys will keep plugging along.”  
“If the Democrats take the House, expect President Trump’s approval ratings to rise bigly. Which could lead to…President Trump having an easier path to re-election in 2020”
There may be something to his analysis, especially when looking at this map showing how each county in every state voted.  That's not a picture of a Democrat tsunami.  Based on history, the potential for reversal is very real in 2020. 

 
But as the as the reporter in the movie Charlie Wilson's War said:

"We'll See!







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