UK
Government: ‘No Global Cooling Over The Next Several Centuries
Dispute Over Relevance Of Falling Solar Activity
Dispute Over Relevance Of Falling Solar Activity
To ask Her Majesty’s Government what assessment they have made of (1) the
likelihood and timing of any future phase of global cooling, and (2) the
potential impact on the United Kingdom and global economies of any future
extensive glaciation; and what precautionary plans they have to limit any
damage they predict to the United Kingdom economy and its people from any such
extensive glaciation. --Lord Donoughue, House of Lords, 23 October 2013
The UK government has made substantial investment in research that concerns the likelihood and timing of future changes in global and regional climate… The slow changes in the Earth’s orbit are not, however, expected to cause any net global cooling over the next several centuries, which will be dominated by a warming global climate due to greenhouse gas emissions. --The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State, Department of Energy and Climate Change (Baroness Verma), House of Lords, 23 October 2013
Solar activity is falling more rapidly than at any time in the past 10,000 years, increasing the risk of a repeat of the Maunder Minimum which coincided with the “little ice age” of the 1600s, according to research by a leading British climate scientist. BBC reports on work by Mike Lockwood of Reading University have sparked furious debate about the implications of weaker solar activity for the climate. David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation said solar activity was an ongoing area of research, with the weak effect seen by Professor Lockwood in the data between low solar activity and severe cold winters in Europe questioned by other researchers, who had failed to find such a connection. --Graham Lloyd, The Australian, 1 November 2013
In the last two years, the scientific community’s openness to examining the role of the Sun in climate change – as opposed to the role of man – has exploded. Scientists are now rediscovering earlier works by scientists at the Danish National Space Center who as early as the 1990s published peer-reviewed articles demonstrating the Sun’s role in climate change. And by scientists at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Pulkovo Observatory, whose predictions in the last decade that global cooling would start in this decade are looking especially prescient. --Lawrence Solomon, Financial Post, 1 November 2013
New research carried out by and published in the journal Science is providing fascinating new insights about how the heat content of the oceans have been changing over the last few thousand years, as well as providing yet more evidence that the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age were global and not regional events. This work also comes to other fascinating conclusions. The temperature of intermediate ocean layers, between 500 and 1000 metres, has in general declined in the last 10,000 years from the early Holocene when ocean temperatures were about 2 deg C higher than they are today. --David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 1 November 2013
The Arcouzan glacier at the foot of Mont Valier (Pyrenees) has seen its surface gain nearly 3000 m2 at the end of the winter of 2012/13 which saw heavy snowfall. For the second year, the glacier has been growing. Its surface has increased from 1.8 hectares in 2011 to 2.2 hectares in 2012 to 2.5 hectares in 2013. This is what emerges from the third series of measurements of the glacier that has just been completed. --La Depeche, 28 October 2013
A new paper published in Nature finds that a majority of the outlet glaciers along the East Antarctic ice sheet have advanced in size over the past 20 years from 1990 to 2010. According to the paper, "Despite large fluctuations between glaciers—linked to their size—three [significant] patterns emerged: 63 per cent of glaciers retreated from 1974 to 1990, 72 per cent advanced from 1990 to 2000, and 58 per cent advanced from 2000 to 2010." --The Hockey Schtick, 28 August 2013
How should we interpret the growing disagreement between observations and climate model projections in the first decades of the 21st century? What does this disagreement imply for the epistemology of climate models?.. If the climate models are not fit for the purpose of transient climate projections, and they are not fit for the purpose of simulating or projecting regional climate variability, what are they fit for? –Judith Curry, Climate Etc. 30 October 2013
The UK government has made substantial investment in research that concerns the likelihood and timing of future changes in global and regional climate… The slow changes in the Earth’s orbit are not, however, expected to cause any net global cooling over the next several centuries, which will be dominated by a warming global climate due to greenhouse gas emissions. --The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State, Department of Energy and Climate Change (Baroness Verma), House of Lords, 23 October 2013
Solar activity is falling more rapidly than at any time in the past 10,000 years, increasing the risk of a repeat of the Maunder Minimum which coincided with the “little ice age” of the 1600s, according to research by a leading British climate scientist. BBC reports on work by Mike Lockwood of Reading University have sparked furious debate about the implications of weaker solar activity for the climate. David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation said solar activity was an ongoing area of research, with the weak effect seen by Professor Lockwood in the data between low solar activity and severe cold winters in Europe questioned by other researchers, who had failed to find such a connection. --Graham Lloyd, The Australian, 1 November 2013
In the last two years, the scientific community’s openness to examining the role of the Sun in climate change – as opposed to the role of man – has exploded. Scientists are now rediscovering earlier works by scientists at the Danish National Space Center who as early as the 1990s published peer-reviewed articles demonstrating the Sun’s role in climate change. And by scientists at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Pulkovo Observatory, whose predictions in the last decade that global cooling would start in this decade are looking especially prescient. --Lawrence Solomon, Financial Post, 1 November 2013
New research carried out by and published in the journal Science is providing fascinating new insights about how the heat content of the oceans have been changing over the last few thousand years, as well as providing yet more evidence that the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age were global and not regional events. This work also comes to other fascinating conclusions. The temperature of intermediate ocean layers, between 500 and 1000 metres, has in general declined in the last 10,000 years from the early Holocene when ocean temperatures were about 2 deg C higher than they are today. --David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 1 November 2013
The Arcouzan glacier at the foot of Mont Valier (Pyrenees) has seen its surface gain nearly 3000 m2 at the end of the winter of 2012/13 which saw heavy snowfall. For the second year, the glacier has been growing. Its surface has increased from 1.8 hectares in 2011 to 2.2 hectares in 2012 to 2.5 hectares in 2013. This is what emerges from the third series of measurements of the glacier that has just been completed. --La Depeche, 28 October 2013
A new paper published in Nature finds that a majority of the outlet glaciers along the East Antarctic ice sheet have advanced in size over the past 20 years from 1990 to 2010. According to the paper, "Despite large fluctuations between glaciers—linked to their size—three [significant] patterns emerged: 63 per cent of glaciers retreated from 1974 to 1990, 72 per cent advanced from 1990 to 2000, and 58 per cent advanced from 2000 to 2010." --The Hockey Schtick, 28 August 2013
How should we interpret the growing disagreement between observations and climate model projections in the first decades of the 21st century? What does this disagreement imply for the epistemology of climate models?.. If the climate models are not fit for the purpose of transient climate projections, and they are not fit for the purpose of simulating or projecting regional climate variability, what are they fit for? –Judith Curry, Climate Etc. 30 October 2013
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